-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak, Miss Valley/G'Lakes

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Re: Holy not quite 1/8/07 TX/-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak,

#121 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:04 pm

Nice Hook:Image


This is a very dangerous storm sorta reminding me of greensburg.
Last edited by Weatherfreak14 on Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#122 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:05 pm

AT 600 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
REPUBLIC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

ANYONE IN OR NEAR SPRINGFIELD SHOULD TAKE COVER NOW.
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#123 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:10 pm

SEL4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND WESTERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH OF VALPARAISO
INDIANA TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF GRAND RAPIDS MICHIGAN.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...WW 2...WW 3...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS IN NRN IL HAVE EVOLVED INTO LEWP-BEARING
MCS...WITH ONE LEWP CREST NOW NEAR CHI AND ANOTHER S OF MMO. GIVEN
EXISTING SFC-BASED INSTABILITY AND STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL WSWLY
WIND FIELD...EXPECT THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE ENE AT APPROX. 50
KTS AND POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY BOW-APEX
TORNADOES. FARTHER N... STORMS CONTINUE TO FORM ATTM IN PLUME OF
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED INSTABILITY EXTENDING ENE FROM FAR NRN IL/SE WI.
GIVEN STRENGTH OF DOWNSTREAM WIND FIELD AND LIKELIHOOD THAT
LAKE-INDUCED STABILIZATION WILL BE LIMITED...A THREAT MAY DEVELOP
FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/HAIL AND/OR A TORNADO OVER PARTS OF
WRN/CNTRL LWR MI.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.


...CORFIDI


SEL4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND WESTERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH OF VALPARAISO
INDIANA TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF GRAND RAPIDS MICHIGAN.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...WW 2...WW 3...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS IN NRN IL HAVE EVOLVED INTO LEWP-BEARING
MCS...WITH ONE LEWP CREST NOW NEAR CHI AND ANOTHER S OF MMO. GIVEN
EXISTING SFC-BASED INSTABILITY AND STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL WSWLY
WIND FIELD...EXPECT THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE ENE AT APPROX. 50
KTS AND POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY BOW-APEX
TORNADOES. FARTHER N... STORMS CONTINUE TO FORM ATTM IN PLUME OF
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED INSTABILITY EXTENDING ENE FROM FAR NRN IL/SE WI.
GIVEN STRENGTH OF DOWNSTREAM WIND FIELD AND LIKELIHOOD THAT
LAKE-INDUCED STABILIZATION WILL BE LIMITED...A THREAT MAY DEVELOP
FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/HAIL AND/OR A TORNADO OVER PARTS OF
WRN/CNTRL LWR MI.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.


...CORFIDI


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 072353
WOU4

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

TORNADO WATCH 4 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

INC017-039-049-085-087-091-099-103-113-131-141-149-181-080700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0004.080107T2355Z-080108T0700Z/

IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CASS ELKHART FULTON
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
MARSHALL MIAMI NOBLE
PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE
WHITE


MIC005-015-021-023-025-027-037-045-057-067-073-077-081-107-117-
121-123-139-149-159-080700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0004.080107T2355Z-080108T0700Z/

MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGAN BARRY BERRIEN
BRANCH CALHOUN CASS
CLINTON EATON GRATIOT
IONIA ISABELLA KALAMAZOO
KENT MECOSTA MONTCALM
MUSKEGON NEWAYGO OTTAWA
ST. JOSEPH VAN BUREN


LMZ043-046-080-844-845-846-847-874-876-878-080700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0004.080107T2355Z-080108T0700Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI

MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI

LAKE MICHIGAN MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM OFF SHORE TO
MID LAKE

ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI

SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI

HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI

GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI

LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID
LAKE

LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID
LAKE

LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO
MID LAKE

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW4
WW 4 TORNADO IN MI LM 072355Z - 080700Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55S VPZ/VALPARAISO IN/ - 55NNE GRR/GRAND RAPIDS MI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /6NNE BVT - 45W MBS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.

LAT...LON 40658786 43618600 43618419 40658613

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.


Watch 4 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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#124 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:12 pm

AT 604 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 3 MILES
WEST OF SPRINGFIELD...OR TWO MILES NORTHEAST OF REPUBLIC...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. ANYONE IN OR NEAR SPRINGFIELD SHOULD TAKE
COVER NOW.
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#125 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:13 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0018
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0611 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK...NW AR...SERN KS AND SW THROUGH NE MO AND
WRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 1...3...

VALID 080011Z - 080145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
1...3...CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR TORNADOES...A COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...LARGE
HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL PERSIST INTO MUCH OF THE
EVENING FROM NERN OK...SE KS...NW AR...SW THROUGH NE MO AND WRN IL.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS CONTINUE FROM NE
OK THROUGH SW AND NE MO. ACTIVITY IS TRAINING NEWD WITHIN ZONE OF
ASCENT ALONG CONFLUENT LOW LEVEL JET AXIS. DESPITE LOW LEVEL
DEWPOINTS ONLY FROM 55 TO 60...COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WITH -14 TO
-16 AT 500 MB IS CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE FROM 800 TO 1200 J/KG.
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW A CLUSTER OF HIGH BASED CONVECTION IN THE
DRYER AIR ACROSS WRN OK. THIS IS ASSOCIATED WITH STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ADVANCING
EWD. THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN FROM ERN OK...AR AND MO AS
THIS IMPULSE MOVES EWD AND OVERTAKES THE MOIST WARM SECTOR. THIS
WILL RESULT IN INCREASING ASCENT AND EXPANDING LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS
IN WARM SECTOR. THEREFORE...LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONE AND TORNADO THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS FROM NERN OK INTO SWRN AND
CNTRL MO AS DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE DEVELOPING WITHIN THE
FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

..DIAL.. 01/08/2008


ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...OUN...

40159022 38269185 36519315 35399397 35229545 35309662
36009677 36959622 39049345 40289168
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#126 Postby Bunkertor » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:14 pm

News coverage ?
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Re:

#127 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:16 pm

Bunkertor wrote:News coverage ?


Can't find any from Springfield.
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Re: Holy not quite 1/8/07 TX/-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak,

#128 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:20 pm

It is in Downtown Springfield right now
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Re: Re:

#129 Postby Bunkertor » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:21 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Bunkertor wrote:News coverage ?


Can't find any from Springfield.


Right - can´t find any either. KMOV now let the anchor out.
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Re: Holy not quite 1/8/07 TX/-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak,

#130 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:22 pm

The tornadic cell in Wisconsin has emerged into Michigan. TOR issued.
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Re: Holy not quite 1/8/07 TX/-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak,

#131 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:23 pm

Weatherfreak14 wrote:It is in Downtown Springfield right now


Confirmed or radar-indicated?
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Re: Holy not quite 1/8/07 TX/-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak,

#132 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:25 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Weatherfreak14 wrote:It is in Downtown Springfield right now


Confirmed or radar-indicated?


Confirmed 13 miles SW of town about 15 minutes ago. Also, confirmed on ground for at least 45 minutes.
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#133 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:26 pm

000
NWUS53 KMKX 080020
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
620 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TORNADO 3 NE NEW MUNSTER 42.61N 88.19W
01/07/2008 KENOSHA WI EMERGENCY MNGR

STATE HIGHWAY 50 AND COUNTY HIGHWAY O. 12 HOMES
DESTROYED...SOME WITH NOTHING BUT FOUNDATIONS LEFT. LARGE
TREES DOWN. ONE THREE-FOOT ROUND OAK TREE DOWNED WITH A
SMALL TRAILER WRAPPED AROUND IT.


&&

$$


Now that is just amazing. EF3 at least probably...
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#134 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:27 pm

Training effect now. McDonald county under 3rd TOR. Two TOR cells continue towards Springfield and eastern suburbs.
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Re:

#135 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:28 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Now that is just amazing. EF3 at least probably...


Just to think about a possible 3 or 4 in Wisconsin in January is very scary.
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Re:

#136 Postby Bunkertor » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:29 pm

RL3AO wrote:Training effect now. McDonald county under 3rd TOR. Two TOR cells continue towards Springfield and eastern suburbs.


Radio-stations seem to keep cool, yet.
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#137 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:30 pm

Springfield cell moving far enough away from radar. Continues to show nice hook.
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#138 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:40 pm

Image

EDIT: Still confirmed tornado with this cell.
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Re: Holy not quite 1/8/07 TX/-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak,

#139 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jan 07, 2008 7:44 pm

Another confirmed tornado heading for Springfield.

Image

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
STONE...NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

AT 639 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO TRACK A TORNADO
6 MILES SOUTH OF AURORA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.



EDIT: Greene County: PERSON TRAPPED IN HOUSE REQUIRING RESCUE. (SGF)
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Re: Holy not quite 1/8/07 TX/-Springfield, MO Tornado Outbreak,

#140 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Mon Jan 07, 2008 8:03 pm

I personally think this needs to be updated to a MDT risk by the SPC. Lots of supercells developing rightnow almost over the same areas. Springfield about to get it again.
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