Something VERY interesting.........and scary!!

Colin · #1 Postby **Colin** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 10:48 am

The last Hurricane that made landfall in New Jersey was in 1903, 100 years go. That's not the only ironic thing, but that year had a cool and wet June, and what did we have this year? A COOL AND WET June! And, that hurricane didn't weaken right away, it passed right over Eastern Pennsylvania STILL a hurricane before weakening to a Tropical Storm.

Now, with 2003 being the "Year of Extremes," I am kind of scared... :o

#2 Postby **wx247** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 1:53 pm

While some years have similar conditions and set-ups, the chances of the same thing happening again is rare. Not to say that it can't happen, but to get concerned right now is a little premature IMO.

JCT777 · #3 Postby **JCT777** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 2:17 pm

Colin - It's funny, I actually noticed the same thing the other day. I am not too concerned about a repeat 100 years later. But then again, you never know.

#4 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 3:28 pm

Of course anything is possible. Didn't last years pattern resemble this years pattern? I think it did-my point is it didn't happen last year. That being said I must also point out that A LOT of factors have to be "in a row" for a repeat like you are mentioning to happen. But, with this year acting like it has been, who knows??? I NEVER SAY NEVER especially if I am referring to the tropics.

ColdFront77 · #5 Postby **ColdFront77** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 3:46 pm

I think about repeat perfomances after a certain factor in meteorology occurs from time to time, but in reality having the same thing happen, (in this case a cool and wet June, then a hurricane that slowly weakens to a tropical storm after making landfall in New Jersey) probably will not happen.

As Garrett and David said... with the weather, anything can happen and we have fun monitoring it.

Colin · #6 Postby **Colin** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 6:20 pm

I know, but it is just ironic... I'm not really getting concerned at all, just thought it was something to point out.

ColdFront77 · #7 Postby **ColdFront77** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 7:43 pm

Alrighty, Colin. We just wanted to mention it, just in case you had a different feeling about it. No offense... all good.

Stormsfury · #8 Postby **Stormsfury** » Thu Jul 03, 2003 7:46 pm

A lesson learned from history ... if it happened before, it very well is possible and could happen again ...

SF

Colin · #9 Postby **Colin** » Fri Jul 04, 2003 10:12 am

SF, you are absolutely correct, and that's the point I was trying to make.

ColdFront77 · #10 Postby **ColdFront77** » Fri Jul 04, 2003 12:11 pm

I understand your point, Colin. But the same set up of two meteorological factors may or may not follow each other in the same year... which I would assume Stormsfury is referring to, as well.

Colin · #11 Postby **Colin** » Fri Jul 04, 2003 2:07 pm

Yes, you're right, Tom.........I was just pointing how ironic it was and the chances of something happening similar to that is very possible............

Something VERY interesting.........and scary!!

Something VERY interesting.........and scary!!

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