PurdueWx80 wrote:this is going to be huge. the only negative i see for a major outbreak is that perhaps the upper system will move eastwards slower than forecast now, which would affect the development and progression of the surface low (i.e. delaying it until tomorrow night, when limited instability fades). the dew points down there, already, are in the 60s to near 70. almost unreal. the threat to the east coast on wednesday is high, too, i believe.
with this, and the heavy snow across the plains/midwest, voter turnout will likely be very low in states with primaries tomorrow. it does look like chicagoland will escape the heaviest snow during polling hours, though.
and not to be ignored is the wintry side of this storm. if the heavy snow has a duration as long as i think it might, this will be crippling come wednesday morning across the upper midwest and lakes.
Interesting you mention the east coast. What do you see, at this time, for us? I know SPC decided to go with a Day 3 SLT Risk, just to be on the safe side...but if it is anything like the last front, just a low topped squall line that doesnt really do much until it pushes off the coast. It'll be warmer, and convective debris will be a major factor, but what are we currently looking at, in your opinion? (BTW, I lie between New Bern and Morehead City).