February 5-6: Super Tuesday Outbreak... 57 dead

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CrazyC83
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#201 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:13 pm

New watch farther east, again probably PDS...
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#202 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:14 pm

http://www.tornadoeskick.com/blog.html

Chaser Tony Lauback is in Memphis. This watch should kick him into duty.
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6

#203 Postby simplykristi » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:15 pm

A tornado watch that includes Memphis TN until midnight.

Kristi
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#204 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:17 pm

Yep. PDS Watch.

Image
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Re:

#205 Postby Bunkertor » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:17 pm

fact789 wrote:All Tornado Warnings need to be posted.


Yes. I´d suggest : At least the upper lines from "TORNADO WARNING MOC209-213-052215- " ISSUED and UNTIL to towns evolved. Advisory to the people could be left out, so scrolling and reading will be more comfortable.
Last edited by Bunkertor on Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6

#206 Postby simplykristi » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:17 pm

It''s a PDS watch.

Kristi

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 37
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 310 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF CAPE
GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO 25 MILES EAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...WW 35...WW 36...

DISCUSSION...COMPLEX SITUATION EVOLVING THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE OPEN WARM SECTOR FROM MS
NWD INTO WRN TN/KY. ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO NW MS
FROM AR/LA...AND INTO TN/KY/IL/INDIANA FROM THE W BY EARLY TONIGHT
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC SYSTEM NOW LOCATED FARTHER
TO THE W. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE
60S COVER A WIDE AREA...WHILE LOCAL VWP/S AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE WARM SECTOR.
THE NET RESULT WILL BE A THREAT FOR SCATTERED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY SUPERCELLS/BOW ECHOES WITH THE
LATER CONVECTION TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE THE DAMAGING
WIND THREAT WILL INCREASE AS WELL INTO TONIGHT AS THE MORE
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION MOVES E OF THE MS RIVER.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...THOMPSON
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#207 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:24 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
322 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 415 PM CST.

* AT 318 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS VERY
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR INDIAN POINT...OR NEAR KIMBERLING
CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SPARTA BY 345 PM CST.

THE TOWNS OF GARRISON...CHADWICK...OLDFIELD...KELTNER...BRUNER AND
ELKHEAD ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADIC STORM.
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6

#208 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:29 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
327 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HAMBURG...
NORTHERN CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...LAKE VILLAGE...DERMOTT...

* UNTIL 430 PM CST

* AT 327 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
TORNADO NEAR BERLIN...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF HAMBURG...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SNYDER BY 340 PM CST...
MONTROSE AND PORTLAND BY 345 PM CST...
MCMILLAN CORNER...8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DERMOTT AND 9 MILES
NORTHWEST OF LAKE VILLAGE BY 400 PM CST...
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#209 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:30 pm

The cell is Ashley County, Arkansas is the one to watch right now IMO.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re:

#210 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:35 pm

RL3AO wrote:The cell is Ashley County, Arkansas is the one to watch right now IMO.


Looks like its track is bending to the right a little, Greenville, MS could be in the path.
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6

#211 Postby simplykristi » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:38 pm

Has a tornado been confirmed in that cell? It looks rather ominous on radar.

Kristi
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6

#212 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:40 pm

simplykristi wrote:Has a tornado been confirmed in that cell? It looks rather ominous on radar.

Kristi


Nope just radar indicated.
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Re: Re:

#213 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:41 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:
RL3AO wrote:The cell is Ashley County, Arkansas is the one to watch right now IMO.


Looks like its track is bending to the right a little, Greenville, MS could be in the path.


I think north and west Greenville need to keep a watch out for bad weather.
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#214 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:42 pm

Stupid question, what does PDS mean?

What time would you guys say this outbreak really started today? I'm thinking 2:00 pm.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
337 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

ARC003-017-052230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080205T2230Z/
ASHLEY AR-CHICOT AR-
337 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
CHICOT AND NORTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTIES...

AT 337 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A TORNADO 6 MILES EAST OF
HAMBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS
REPORTED TORNADO DAMAGE EAST OF HAMBURG.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SNYDER AND PORTLAND BY 345 PM CST...
MONTROSE BY 350 PM CST...
MCMILLAN CORNER BY 405 PM CST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3358 9134 3352 9128 3357 9124 3350 9118
3346 9123 3343 9119 3327 9119 3311 9170
3321 9185 3338 9176 3341 9169 3341 9147
3352 9145
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 228DEG 41KT 3322 9166

$$

EEC
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#215 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:43 pm

New county.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
341 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN DREW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 415 PM CST

* AT 336 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO OVER
CENTRAL ASHLEY COUNTY JUST EAST OF HAMBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
TROY AROUND 350 PM CST...
JEROME AROUND 355 PM CST...
LAKE WALLACE AROUND 400 PM CST...
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6

#216 Postby simplykristi » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:44 pm

OK Thanks for the info.

Kristi
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6

#217 Postby simplykristi » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:45 pm

PDS - particularly dangerous situation.

Kristi
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Re:

#218 Postby RL3AO » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:46 pm

Cyclenall wrote:Stupid question, what does PDS mean?



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Particularly_dangerous_situation
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#219 Postby Bunkertor » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:47 pm

TV coverage, anyone ?
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#220 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:49 pm

Haven't found coverage yet..
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