Category 4 and 5 hurricanes

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Derek Ortt

#21 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Feb 06, 2008 1:48 pm

yeah, any basin that relies solely upon the Dvorak (including the East Atlantic), should know that it is subject to large errors.

As for the Indian Ocean... well... I just need to remind everyone that IMD is in charge of the official best track there. That may be subject to 100KT error
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Squarethecircle
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#22 Postby Squarethecircle » Wed Feb 06, 2008 3:45 pm

:uarrow: Although luckily it seems that no one ever uses the IMD's figures anyway. I certainly don't.

It wouldn't kill them to just LOOK at the storm...
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Cyclone1
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#23 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Feb 06, 2008 6:58 pm

Yes... They lost me with Sidr.
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MiamiensisWx

Re:

#24 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Feb 07, 2008 4:48 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:Yes... They lost me with Sidr.

Sidr was likely a Category 5 cyclone (SSHS) at its peak intensity. Winds were probably 140 kt.
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Squarethecircle
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#25 Postby Squarethecircle » Thu Feb 07, 2008 4:55 pm

:uarrow: Exactly. What would make you think there is a dispute?
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CrazyC83
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Re: Re:

#26 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Feb 07, 2008 6:40 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:
Cyclone1 wrote:Yes... They lost me with Sidr.

Sidr was likely a Category 5 cyclone (SSHS) at its peak intensity. Winds were probably 140 kt.


Based on the T7.2 estimate and similar looks for Atlantic storms, my estimate is 150 kt at peak intensity (although I think it weakened greatly to 115 kt at landfall).
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Squarethecircle
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#27 Postby Squarethecircle » Thu Feb 07, 2008 8:42 pm

:uarrow: Really? I would not go any further than 140 knots.
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