2008 Severe Weather Thread

[HarlequinBoy]

I'm assuming that's a tornado in that satellite? Amazing! I'm in Lumberton near Beaumont. Waiting ---not so very patiently for this yukky stuff to get here so that it will end. I'm fascinated w/the weather but it skeers me too!!

No, those are just clouds in the general shape of a tornado...

[JenBayles]

No need for us in Houston to worry about what's happening up north. Take a look at the increasing strength of the southern end of that squall line. THAT's what we need to worry about. Whhoooooo hooooo!!!

[HarlequinBoy]

^This thread is for all storms though, so the storms north of Houston can still be discussed.

But the squall line really is increasing in intensity so the worst is probably yet to come.

[JenBayles]

My intention was not to stifle conversation about the entire storm; merely pointing out that it has yet to begin in the Houston metro area.

[r22weiss]

Looks like the main threat is going to be wind and hail. The cold front just pushed through Katy. Temp went from 71 to 62 in 3 min and still dropping. Yet, no thunderstorms yet.

There is still a tornado threat east of the cold front, especially with those storms Northeast of Houston.

[HarlequinBoy]

Upwards of 4 inch per hour rain rates in Rusk County, impressive.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Looks like the main threat is going to be wind and hail. The cold front just pushed through Katy. Temp went from 71 to 62 in 3 min and still dropping. Yet, no thunderstorms yet.

There is still a tornado threat east of the cold front, especially with those storms Northeast of Houston.

But storms in the warm sector, that could have been tornadic, were few and far between. The cap basically held, and most of the storms are post-frontal.

[r22weiss]

But storms in the warm sector, that could have been tornadic, were few and far between.

Very true. We can thank the low clouds for the cap staying around.

[Yankeegirl]

its raining here, but not too much in the way of anything severe... yet....

[JenBayles]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
803 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE UPDATED THE SATZFPHGX TO TRIM THE TORNADO WATCH ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES. SATWCNHGX STATES THAT TORNADO WATCH 58
REMAINS VALID THROUGH 9 PM FOR THE 15 REMAINING CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN 2/3RDS COUNTIES...ALONG WITH BAYS AND NEAR SHORE WATERS.

COLDER AIR WORKING ITS WAY IN WITH SURFACE CF CURRENTLY ANALYZED
ALONG A NORTHERN MATAGORDA BAY TO NORTHERN HARRIS COUNTY TO NEAR
KLFK LINE. TORNADO THREAT IS DIMINISHING AS WE HEAD INTO THE 8 PM
HOUR...MOST LIKELY ISOLATED HAILERS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CWA
AT THIS POINT.

MAIN LINE OF PRECIPITATION MAY FORM INTO AN MORE EASTERN CWA
SQUALL LINE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...BULK OF PRECIPITATION
OFF THE COAST AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH AMPED UP W-SW WINDS IN ITS
WAKE. SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY OVER ARKLATEX REGION TO LIFT OUT OVER
CENTRAL MS VALLEY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...DRAGGING MAIN BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

[vbhoutex]

Temp dropped suddenly here when it came through too. I don't know the exact timing since I was inside. Now at 51ºf here at the house. Waiting for the storms to arrive. Looks like it could get a little nasty, but not nearly as bad as was originally expected I hope. Weather underground radar has shown at least one very shortlived tvs signature to our NW between I-10 and 290. I hope it was an anamoly on the radar since it was so quickly gone.

[HarlequinBoy]

SVR for Shreveport..

[Yankeegirl]

quiet here... just a light cold rain.... i guess its all over...

[Bunkertor]

http://www.wzforum.de/forum2/read.php?2,1295873,1296107#msg-1296107

[JenBayles]

Well shoot. The Bear Creek Dome holds again. We got less than a garden-variety storm. What a bust.

[Ed Mahmoud]

But storms in the warm sector, that could have been tornadic, were few and far between.

Very true. We can thank the low clouds for the cap staying around.

I wonder if there is a vice versa factor as well. It always seems like low clouds are slow to erode when the cap is stronger in the morning. At least around here.

[southerngale]

... A Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect until 1115 PM CST
for Orange and eastern Jefferson counties...

At 1050 PM CST... National Weather Service Doppler radar continued to
indicate a line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging
winds in excess of 60 mph. These storms were located along a line
extending from sea rim State Park to Nederland and Vidor... moving
east at 60 mph.

Locations in the path of this storm include Port Arthur... Sabine
Pass... Bridge City... Orange... and Mauriceville.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect for the warned area. If a tornado
is spotted... act quickly and move to a place of safety in a sturdy
structure... such as a small interior room.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 am CST Sunday morning for
southwestern Louisiana and southeast Texas.

Lat... Lon 2990 9386 2985 9391 2980 9390 2972 9393
2962 9426 3011 9422 3023 9372
time... Mot... loc 0451z 286deg 62kt 2990 9386 2946 9391

[HarlequinBoy]

[Brent]

CONCERNING THE SEVERE THREAT...A 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET OVER THE MID
MS VALLEY WILL MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE TN AND OH VALLEYS CREATING
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE REGION. LIFT WILL BE
ENHANCED FROM THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE JET ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY AND THIS ALONG WITH THE STRONG SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A SEVERE
THREAT WITH THE SQUALL-LINE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF THE
SQUALL-LINE THIS AFTERNOON SHOW IMPRESSIVE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES
WITH ABOUT 50 KT AT 850 MB AND RESULTANT 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES AROUND
30 KT. THIS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH SUPERCELLS AHEAD
OF THE LINE AND PERSISTENT ROTATING STORMS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE. IF
SUPERCELLS INITIATE EAST OF THE SQUALL-LINE...THEN AN ISOLATED
STRONG TORNADO OR TWO MAY OCCUR ACROSS SRN AND CNTRL AL. A POTENTIAL
FOR WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL LIKELY EXIST AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE SQUALL-LINE ADVANCES
EWD ACROSS THE REGION. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE GREATEST ACROSS
SRN AND CNTRL AL IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WHEN INSTABILITY WILL
BE MAXIMIZED WITH THE THREAT CONTINUING EWD INTO WRN GA BY EARLY
THIS EVENING.

[HarlequinBoy]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
115 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TRANSYLVANIA...
MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TALLULAH...
CENTRAL ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 200 AM CST

* AT 115 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 15 MILES EAST OF RAYVILLE TO 14 MILES EAST OF WINNSBORO...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
WAVERLY BY 120 AM CST...
MONTICELLO AND TENDAL BY 125 AM CST...
TALLULAH BY 140 AM CST...
MANSFORD...OMEGA...SONDHEIMER AND ALSATIA BY 145 AM CST...
FITLER AND EAGLE BEND BY 200 AM CST...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK
ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO
MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO
A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.