SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

[srainhoutx]

TORNADO WARNING
LAC019-023-212015-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0003.080221T1949Z-080221T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
149 PM CST THU FEB 21 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...WESTLAKE...SULPHUR...
NORTH CENTRAL CAMERON PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...SABINE NATIONAL WILDLIFE...GRAND LAKE...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 145 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES NORTH OF
SABINE NATIONAL WILDLIFE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF HACKBERRY BY 205 PM CST...
7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARLYSS BY 215 PM CST...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...SEEK
SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND
ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwat ... %20warning

[jasons2k]

That storm near Orange looks like it wants to hook...

[jasons2k]

[srainhoutx]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
LAC019-023-TXC245-361-212045-
/O.NEW.KLCH.SV.W.0027.080221T2020Z-080221T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
220 PM CST THU FEB 21 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PORT NECHES...NEDERLAND...GROVES...
CENTRAL GARDENS...
ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST ORANGE...ORANGE...BRIDGE CITY...
SOUTHWESTERN CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
NORTHWESTERN CAMERON PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 218 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PORT NECHES...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BRIDGE CITY BY 230 PM CST...
ORANGE AND WEST ORANGE BY 245 PM CST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

[srainhoutx]

Look what has popped up in SE TX this morning...snipet...


SPC AC 221255

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2008

VALID 221300Z - 231200Z


...SE TX AREA FIRST HALF OF TODAY...
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED THIS MORNING ABOUT 100 MI NW OF
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT IS MOVING SEWD OFF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
TX COAST. THE CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING WITHIN A PLUME OF 8 C/KM MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPE NEAR 1500 J/KG...IN ADVANCE OF A SRN
STREAM WAVE MOVING ENEWD FROM NE MEXICO. EXPECT THE CONVECTION TO
PERSIST UNTIL MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON WHILE SPREADING EWD INTO SE
TX. GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IN EXCESS
OF 40 KT...THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

From HGX concerning storms...


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
742 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2008

TXZ177>179-199-221445-
WALKER-SAN JACINTO-POLK-MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTSVILLE...SHEPHERD...COLDSPRING...
LIVINGSTON...CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...THE WOODLANDS...CONROE...
WILLIS
742 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING SOUTHERN WALKER...NORTHERN
TRINITY...SAN JACINTO...AND POLK COUNTIES...

AT 730 AM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM HUNTSVILLE TO MONTGOMERY...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH. THE STORMS WILL AFFECT
NEW WAVERLY...WILLIS...CONROE...COLDSPRING...LAKE
LIVINGSTON...POINT BLANK...SHEPHERD...AND LIVINGSTON BY 830 AM. HAIL
UP TO DIME SIZE...GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwat ... 0statement

[srainhoutx]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC089-239-481-221545-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0024.080222T1450Z-080222T1545Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
853 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN COLORADO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 853 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 20 MILES WEST OF NADA...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ROCK ISLAND...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARWOOD...
NADA...
EGYPT...
PIERCE...
EL CAMPO...

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwat ... %20warning

[Extremeweatherguy]

It is a little breezy outside right now with a few raindrops. Nothing severe up this way, but it definitely is on the chilly side. Temperatures in the lower 50s + breezy winds + rain drops = Brrr.

[Ed Mahmoud]

The 12Z WRF, GFS and Canadian all suggest warm but dry Southwest winds ahead of the next front, and suggest a dry frontal passage. No moisture, so no fun, but the 540 dm thickness line and 850 mb freezing line do briefly get into the Houston area, so a quick shot of cold, possibly with a frost, seems possible behind the front. Checking the AccuWx PPV raw GFS numbers, a 2.2ºC is predicted for IAH, so a frost is certainly possible.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Has anyone else noticed that it has been MUCH cooler than expected today? Hooks airport has only managed to reach as high of 53F so far, and IAH has only risen to 58F. As of 2pm the temperatures have actually fallen from the highs a bit, and Hooks is now at 51F and IAH is at 54F. These numbers are well below the forecasted high of 66F from this morning. Brrr..

[CajunMama]

What a beautiful start to the weekend! Now i've got to get outside and mow the backyard. 3 dogs and a yard..........

[Ed Mahmoud]

Might take the kids to Meyer Park after Mass. Maybe also pick up pre-emergent crabgrass killer, rake the lawn, and apply. I have a nice growing tree, went from about six feet tall to about 30 feet in 7 years, some variety of oak, that loses its leaves intermittently during the winter. It still has some green leaves on it, mostly on the bottom third of the tree.


I might also buy a lawn mower with a bag attachment. Mow the leaves instead of raking them. The current mower is supposedly a mulching mower, but when the grass is tall, as it can be when a rainy period keeps me from mowing, it leaves a line of clumped grass instead of finely cut trimmings.


Might be the leaves on the ground that I only rake about twice a month protecting from the several frosts we've had, but my lawn is still fairly green.

[Yankeegirl]

We went to the Downtown Aquarium yesterday... It was such a nice day to get out and check out downtown...

[Ed Mahmoud]

TWC has a 40% chance of t-storms this evening for where I live, NWS has 20%. I trust the NWS better. They seem more accurate, more often.

12Z WRF shows everything forming East of here

[southerngale]

Over the past couple of days (for tonight), NWS had 40% for here, then 50%, then back to 40%, and now it's at 30%. That's a pretty good chance it won't rain.

I haven't seen the sun yet today though.

[Diva]

So can someone please tell me if they think the rain will be out of the Beaumont area by 9:00 am tomorrow? I have an interview tomorrow and want to know what to expect weather wise.

[Yankeegirl]

huh... look at that little line of storms to the west... nice to know where the front is.... lol...

[Extremeweatherguy]

Those storms are going severe in a hurry. Quite a few warnings are up out west and hail over 1" in diameter is being indicated by radar in some of the cells. Things might get interesting if these storms hold on all the way to Houston.

[jasons2k]

Wow, I guess there was enough heat today to finally bust the cap. 90's in Austin/San Antonio with record highs, even 99 in Del Rio.

I hope the line can build just a tad NE so I can get some rain. I put fertilizer down Sunday and then realized the sprinkler system is dead....so I need rain to water it in.

[jasons2k]

Looks like the NE portion of the line is now weakening. Maybe a little rain but that's it for here.

[Yankeegirl]

Darn, the bear creek dome won again... it fell apart justas it hit the katy area.... like always!