4th Of July Severe Outbreak Potential! Map & Details!

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Guest

4th Of July Severe Outbreak Potential! Map & Details!

#1 Postby Guest » Thu Jul 03, 2003 2:45 pm

Well right now its not looking good for outdoor activities on the 4TH for the Midwest/Upper OHIO Valley/ And Great Lakes Regions because as of right now SPC Has all of these regions in a pretty good threat for severe weather.....................The main threats will be large Hail and Damaging Winds................Tornadoes of course in this kind of set up cannot be ruled out either.............States in the higher risk area would be Most of Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, i70 North in IL,IN,OH, northeastern Nebraska....................Cities at the highest risk would be Chicago,IL, Detroit,MI, Quad Cities,IA, Toledo,OH, Green Bay,WI, Columbus,OH, Indianapolis,IN, Des Moines,IA, and Cleveland,OH....................Below i am adding the spc threat map that hopefully could change by tommorow....................This is unusuall to see this kind of widespread potential in early July.................And as i have said these are JUST the areas at highest risk meaning severe weather could be possible elsewhere especially close to the higher threats areas like in IN,OH,ILL,N.MO,NE And Southern South Dakota..............Check back in for further updates on this potential........................

SPC Severe Probability Map For The 4th Of July (Tommorow).
Image
0 likes   

Guest

#2 Postby Guest » Thu Jul 03, 2003 7:56 pm

I should have added this to start with but anyways i am adding the other threat map from SPC And the Watches and Warnings map as well............Remember to come and check these out often through tommorow night................And as always you can access all this info and the latest storm2k forecast by CLICKING the Link i have below my Signature..............:)

Image

Watches and warnings
Image
0 likes   

Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 03, 2003 9:44 pm

Evening Update: The spc has now included Northern Indiana and Northern Illinois in a Moderate risk for severe weather on Friday. A slight risk has been added southward like i said it should have been, to around BLoomington, Indiana. By 1 PM on Friday Cape Values are forecast to be around 2500-3000 from Central Indiana into Central Illinois and into Southern Iowa. Cape values will be around 3000-4000 from Northern Indiana and Northern Illinois into WIsconsin and Iowa. Li's will be around
-9 from Indiana and Illinois and -12 in Iowa and Northern Illinois. Some convective activity will likely start to develop by the 2 pm hour. The storms will likely be in the form of supercells and some shear will be present and could be enough for some short lived tornadoes. By 5 PM capes and li's are forecast to be the highest from Central and Northern Indiana and Illinois into Southern Wisconsin. Capes will be 3500-4000 in those areas with li's around -10 to -12. Storms will continue to strenthen and form into a multicellular cluster. There might still be a short lived tornado, but the main threat will definitely be heavy rain and strong damaging winds. The storms will organize into a squall line and possible derecho. One other area i am concerned about would be from Eastern Nebraska into Central Minnesota. Some strong and severe storms could form in these areas as well. So here is my outlook for severe weather: I would include a Moderate risk from Central and Northern Indiana into the NOrthern Half of Illinois, into Southern WIsconsin, all of Iowa, North into all of Lower Michigan, and the Eastern half of Nebraska. A Slight risk would surround these areas.
0 likes   

User avatar
Arizwx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 503
Joined: Sat Feb 22, 2003 7:03 am
Location: West Coast,U.S.A.
Contact:

#4 Postby Arizwx » Thu Jul 03, 2003 9:46 pm

IndianaWeatherOnline wrote:Evening Update: The spc has now included Northern Indiana and Northern Illinois in a Moderate risk for severe weather on Friday. A slight risk has been added southward like i said it should have been, to around BLoomington, Indiana. By 1 PM on Friday Cape Values are forecast to be around 2500-3000 from Central Indiana into Central Illinois and into Southern Iowa. Cape values will be around 3000-4000 from Northern Indiana and Northern Illinois into WIsconsin and Iowa. Li's will be around
-9 from Indiana and Illinois and -12 in Iowa and Northern Illinois. Some convective activity will likely start to develop by the 2 pm hour. The storms will likely be in the form of supercells and some shear will be present and could be enough for some short lived tornadoes. By 5 PM capes and li's are forecast to be the highest from Central and Northern Indiana and Illinois into Southern Wisconsin. Capes will be 3500-4000 in those areas with li's around -10 to -12. Storms will continue to strenthen and form into a multicellular cluster. There might still be a short lived tornado, but the main threat will definitely be heavy rain and strong damaging winds. The storms will organize into a squall line and possible derecho. One other area i am concerned about would be from Eastern Nebraska into Central Minnesota. Some strong and severe storms could form in these areas as well. So here is my outlook for severe weather: I would include a Moderate risk from Central and Northern Indiana into the NOrthern Half of Illinois, into Southern WIsconsin, all of Iowa, North into all of Lower Michigan, and the Eastern half of Nebraska. A Slight risk would surround these areas.


Michigan(DTW) by late eve,SE Ontario,Can and NW Ohio,including CLE by midnight.
0 likes   

Guest

#5 Postby Guest » Fri Jul 04, 2003 1:30 am

For my latest forecast on this click the link below my signature.................It was updated as of 2AM est.................Have a safe and happy 4th of July everyone and check back in through the day for updates.....................
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#6 Postby weatherlover427 » Fri Jul 04, 2003 3:36 am

0 likes   

User avatar
Colin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5086
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2003 4:17 pm
Location: Catasauqua, PA
Contact:

#7 Postby Colin » Fri Jul 04, 2003 10:30 am

Looks very nasty.........thanks for all the updates KOW and Joshua and IndianaWeather............ ;)
0 likes   

ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Jul 04, 2003 12:35 pm

There were two other Severe Thunderstorm Watches out early this morning, along with this Particularly
Dangerous Situation (PDS) Severe Thunderstorm Watch early this morning.

The watch box to the west of the PDS Weather Watch was "massive" in ariel coverage covering most of
South Dakota, southwestern Minnesota, northwestern Iowa and northeastern Nebraska.

A third was to the north of these two and was comparatively smaller and slender.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Fri Jul 04, 2003 2:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#9 Postby weatherlover427 » Fri Jul 04, 2003 2:31 pm

Yes I saw that one Tom. One of the biggest I can recall seeing. And Colin, you're welcome. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
Colin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5086
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2003 4:17 pm
Location: Catasauqua, PA
Contact:

#10 Postby Colin » Fri Jul 04, 2003 2:54 pm

Some watches surprise me with how much area they cover, especially PDS Watches.
0 likes   

Guest

#11 Postby Guest » Fri Jul 04, 2003 7:01 pm

Hello all..................Had a nasty severe storm (1st This year) pass through earlier and knock off my electric power for about 5 hours or so................Mainly High Winds and rain...............Still more storms to my west that has to pass through and that line coming into Ohio From Indiana has a couple of Tornado warnings with them and a number of severe thunderstorm warnings.........................My forecast is pretty much holding up so far...............Have a severe thunderstorm watch out untill 9PM.................

Image

Image

Image
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#12 Postby weatherlover427 » Fri Jul 04, 2003 11:07 pm

Youch KOW. :o How bad did the winds get in your area?
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#13 Postby weatherlover427 » Fri Jul 04, 2003 11:21 pm

TORNADO WARNING
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
1055 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES FOR THURSTON COUNTY UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

AT 1053 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW A SEVERE STORM WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS LOCATED OVER WALTHILL...OR ABOUT 24 MILES SOUTH OF SIOUX CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM THROUGH 1130 PM CDT INCLUDE...WALTHILL AND MACY.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...GO TO THE BASEMENT...OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL. HAIL AND STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1049 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CALHOUN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1044 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES WEST OF JOLLEY...OR ABOUT 40 MILES WEST OF FORT DODGE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...

NEAR JOLLEY AROUND 1105 PM...
5 MILES NORTH OF ROCKWELL CITY AROUND 1110 PM...5 MILES SOUTH OF MANSON AROUND 1115 PM AND NEAR KNIERIM AROUND 1125 PM.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

VERY STRONG WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN IOWA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1056 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...IDA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST IOWA

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 1056 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER HOLSTEIN...OR ABOUT 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HOLSTEIN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GALVA AROUND 1105 PM CDT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL AT 1054 PM 1 MILE NORTHWEST OF HOLSTEIN.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1044 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR POCAHONTAS COUNTY UNTIL 1115 PM...

AT 1044 PM RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER POCAHONTAS...OR ABOUT 29 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT DODGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...

NEAR POCAHONTAS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AROUND 1045 PM...7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAVELOCK AROUND 1055 PM AND NEAR ROLFE AROUND 1100 PM.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

LARGE HAIL CAN CAUSE INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. SEEK SAFETY INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN IOWA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1103 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR SAC COUNTY UNTIL 1140 PM...

AT 1100 PM RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAC CITY...OR ABOUT 37 MILES WEST OF FORT DODGE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

AT 1050 PM SPOTTERS REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WITH THIS STORM NORTHEAST OF SACT CITY.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MILES AN HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN IOWA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1100 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN WOODBURY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST IOWA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1100 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SALIX...OR ABOUT 4 MILES EAST OF WINNEBAGO...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
SALIX AROUND 1105 PM CDT SLOAN AROUND 1110 PM CDT SUTHERLAND AROUND 1130 PM CDT DANBURY AROUND 1145 PM CDT

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
1102 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR CUMING COUNTY UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

AT 1100 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT THE STRONGEST STORMS HAD SO FAR REMAINED JUST NORTH OF CUMING COUNTY. HOWEVER...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. STORMS COULD STILL DEVELOP SOUTH INTO CUMING COUNTY OR OUTFLOW WINDS MAY SPREAD SOUTH INTO THE AREA. STORMS TO THE NORTH WERE MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
1030 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CUMING COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA-THURSTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 1028 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF THURSTON TO 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF WISNER...OR ABOUT 15 TO 20 MILES EAST OF NORFOLK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WINNEBAGO...THURSTON WISNER...PENDER WALTHILL ROSALIE...MACY...BEEMER...BANCROFT

LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1049 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CALHOUN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1044 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES WEST OF JOLLEY...OR ABOUT 40 MILES WEST OF FORT DODGE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...

NEAR JOLLEY AROUND 1105 PM...
5 MILES NORTH OF ROCKWELL CITY AROUND 1110 PM...5 MILES SOUTH OF MANSON AROUND 1115 PM AND NEAR KNIERIM AROUND 1125 PM.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

VERY STRONG WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN IOWA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1050 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY UNTIL 1115 PM...

AT 1050 PM RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER HUMBOLDT...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTH OF FORT DODGE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...

NEAR THOR AROUND 1105 PM AND 10 MILES SOUTH OF RENWICK AROUND 1110 PM.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN IOWA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1056 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
IDA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST IOWA

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 1056 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER HOLSTEIN...OR ABOUT 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HOLSTEIN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...GALVA AROUND 1105 PM CDT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL AT 1054 PM 1 MILE NORTHWEST OF HOLSTEIN.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA NE
1106 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MONONA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT

* AT 1101 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF WHITING...OR ABOUT 24 MILES SOUTH OF SIOUX CITY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...CASTANA...TURIN...ONAWA...RODNEY UTE...SOLDIER...MAPLETON...MOORHEAD

FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1044 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR POCAHONTAS COUNTY UNTIL 1115 PM...

AT 1044 PM RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER POCAHONTAS...OR ABOUT 29 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT DODGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...

NEAR POCAHONTAS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AROUND 1045 PM...7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAVELOCK AROUND 1055 PM AND NEAR ROLFE AROUND 1100 PM.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

LARGE HAIL CAN CAUSE INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. SEEK SAFETY INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN IOWA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1103 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR SAC COUNTY UNTIL 1140 PM...

AT 1100 PM RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAC CITY...OR ABOUT 37 MILES WEST OF FORT DODGE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

AT 1050 PM SPOTTERS REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WITH THIS STORM NORTHEAST OF SACT CITY.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MILES AN HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR WESTERN IOWA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1100 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN WOODBURY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST IOWA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1100 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SALIX...OR ABOUT 4 MILES EAST OF WINNEBAGO...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... SALIX AROUND 1105 PM CDT SLOAN AROUND 1110 PM CDT SUTHERLAND AROUND 1130 PM CDT DANBURY AROUND 1145 PM CDT

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 639
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
720 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEBRASKA SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT FROM 720 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF HURON SOUTH DAKOTA TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MULLEN NEBRASKA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 637. WATCH NUMBER 637 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 720 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 635...WW 636...WW 638...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL AT SRN END OF S CNTRL SD MCS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SEWD INTO NEB DURING THE NEXT SVRL HRS...WHILE NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT ON ERN EDGE OF MCS EXTENDS SEVERE THREAT EWD ACROSS SE/E CNTRL SD. LOW LEVEL FLOW/BOUNDARY PATTERN QUITE WEAK...BUT STRENGTH OF DEEP WNWLY SHEAR AND DEGREE OF INSTABILITY SUGGEST CONTINUED STORM DEVELOPMENT/HIGH WIND AND HAIL THREAT THROUGH LATE EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29040.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 640
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
905 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA SOUTHERN MINNESOTA EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 905 PM UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF FAIRMONT MINNESOTA TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BEATRICE NEBRASKA.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 638...WW 639...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER ERN NEB/WRN IA DURING NEXT FEW HOURS...WHERE LOW LEVEL WARMTH/MOISTURE ADVECTION SHOULD INCREASE INVOF WEAK WSW/ENE-ORIENTED FRONT. OTHER STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH SE SD MCS WILL MOVE INTO NRN HALF OF WATCH AND DEVELOP EWD ALONG BOUNDARY STALLED W/E ACROSS SRN MN. MODERATE WNWLY DEEP SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH 50+ KT MID LEVEL JET CROSSING SD/MN...AND LOW LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
0 likes   

Guest

#14 Postby Guest » Sat Jul 05, 2003 12:34 am

Have another PDS Severe thunderstorm watch again tonight and a tornado watch as well.....................Below is the SPC map with them.........

Image
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#15 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Jul 05, 2003 12:38 am

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 641
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND EASTERN IOWA NORTHERN AND WESTERN ILLINOIS EXTREME NORTHEAST MISSOURI SOUTHERN WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1125 PM UNTIL 600 AM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

EXTREMELY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 125 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF LONEROCK WISCONSIN TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 639...WW 640...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER NOW DEVELOPING IN NRN/WRN IA EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS AS COLD POOL EVOLVES DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE SCALE ASCENT SHOULD BE MAINTAINED/ENHANCED BY GLANCING INFLUENCE OF NRN STREAM IMPULSE NOW OVER ERN SD. ASSOCIATED BAND OF 40-50 KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW SHOULD PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITH BOWING SEGMENTS/HIGH WINDS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO ALSO POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN WRN PART OF WW EARLY IN THE PERIOD...BUT MAIN THREATS SHOULD BE REGIONALLY DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29040.

...CORFIDI
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 16 guests