HarlequinBoy wrote:It snowed today for a few hours. For about an hour it was pretty heavy!!
Not much accumulation.. just a dusting on the grass.
Check the Texas Winter Weather thread- the 12Z GFS is your friend later this week...
Winter Weather in the deep south thread
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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HarlequinBoy
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HarlequinBoy
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HarlequinBoy
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Well the NAM doesn't show 3 inches any longer.. but here's the latest from MEM.
Friday: Periods of snow. High near 39. Breezy, with a north northeast wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Friday Night: Snow likely before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday: Periods of snow. High near 39. Breezy, with a north northeast wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Friday Night: Snow likely before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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Brent
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Re: Winter Weather in the deep south thread
Hmmm.... 
MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. WILL
CONTINUE TO FOLLOW A BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF AS THEY HAVE BEEN
THE MORE CONSISTENT MODELS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO
INCREASE THAT AT LEAST AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL SEE LIGHT
SNOW THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE ECMWF IS
PREDICTING THAT FLURRIES COULD FALL AS FAR SOUTH AS THE CITY OF
MONTGOMERY. AS IT IS ALWAYS THE CASE THIS FAR OUT...THINGS CAN
CHANGE. FOR NOW...IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE SNOW WILL BE LIGHT IN
INTENSITY BUT COULD FALL THROUGH THE ENTIRE NIGHT. THIS IS BASED
ON LOOKING AT MODEL SOUNDINGS. THEY SHOW A SATURATED LAYER IN THE
LOW LEVELS IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...THE TOP OF
THIS LAYER BARELY REACHES -10 DEGREES. UNDER MOST CONDITIONS...YOU
NEED COMPLETE SATURATION IN THE -10 TO -20 LAYER FOR SNOW GROWTH
TO OCCUR.
Friday Night...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening. A chance of snow through the night. Lows around 29. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Saturday...Mostly sunny. Breezy at times. A slight chance of snow in the morning. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of snow 20 percent.
MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. WILL
CONTINUE TO FOLLOW A BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF AS THEY HAVE BEEN
THE MORE CONSISTENT MODELS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO
INCREASE THAT AT LEAST AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL SEE LIGHT
SNOW THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE ECMWF IS
PREDICTING THAT FLURRIES COULD FALL AS FAR SOUTH AS THE CITY OF
MONTGOMERY. AS IT IS ALWAYS THE CASE THIS FAR OUT...THINGS CAN
CHANGE. FOR NOW...IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE SNOW WILL BE LIGHT IN
INTENSITY BUT COULD FALL THROUGH THE ENTIRE NIGHT. THIS IS BASED
ON LOOKING AT MODEL SOUNDINGS. THEY SHOW A SATURATED LAYER IN THE
LOW LEVELS IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...THE TOP OF
THIS LAYER BARELY REACHES -10 DEGREES. UNDER MOST CONDITIONS...YOU
NEED COMPLETE SATURATION IN THE -10 TO -20 LAYER FOR SNOW GROWTH
TO OCCUR.
Friday Night...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening. A chance of snow through the night. Lows around 29. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Saturday...Mostly sunny. Breezy at times. A slight chance of snow in the morning. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of snow 20 percent.
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JonathanBelles
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HarlequinBoy
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Re:
fact789 wrote:Talked to my uncle in Nesbit, MS (just south of Memphis) and he had snow on the ground yesterday.
I live near Nesbit.. and yeah we had maybe 1/4 of an inch for a few hours.
It was a very pretty snow though. It fell heavily but had a lot of trouble sticking.
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HarlequinBoy
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Re: Winter Weather in the deep south thread
Well, well... what have we here? 
From Nashville NWS, this morning:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
FXUS64 KOHX 061253 CCA
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED WORDING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
417 AM CST THU MAR 6 2008
.SHORT TERM...OF COURSE, ALL EYES ARE ON THE GULF OF MEXICO LOW
PRESSURE AREA FORECAST TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT, AND THE
WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES,
INCLUDING THE CLARKSVILLE AREA FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER, AS FAR AS THIS MORNING IS CONCERNED, WE ARE
EXPERIENCING THE PROVERBIAL "QUIET BEFORE THE STORM"...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES AROUND THE FREEZING MARK.
EVEN THOUGH SURFACE FLOW WILL BE NORTHEAST TODAY, EXPECT SUNSHINE
TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER INTO THE 50S IN MOST AREAS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST,
WHERE SKIES WILL LIKELY BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
AS LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY, EXPECT A SURFACE TROUGH TO SET UP
SOMEWHERE OVER EASTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE, FROM NEAR PULASKI TO
CELINA. EAST AND SOUTHEAST FLOW TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS
WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHER DEW POINTS AND HIGHER TEMPERATURES TO OCCUR
OVER EASTERN AREAS, AND PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
ON FRIDAY TO FALL AS ALL RAIN. TO THE WEST OF THE TROUGH, IN AREAS
FROM NASHVILLE TO CLARKSVILLE EXPECT TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS TO
STEADILY COOL DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY, REACHING THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE 30S MOST LOCATIONS BY SUNSET.
EXPECT RAIN TONIGHT TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO SNOW IN THE
NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY, PROBABLY MIXING WITH SLEET AND
SNOW DURING THE MORNING AND TURNING TO ALL SNOW AND SLEET DURING
THE AFTERNOON. UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET COULD ACCUMULATE IN
NORTHWEST AREAS BY SUNSET. FURTHER EAST TOWARD NASHVILLE, THE RAIN
WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET DURING THE AFTERNOON, AND
TRANSITION TO A SNOW SLEET MIXTURE AFTER SUNSET FRIDAY. MEANWHILE,
MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST.
EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION TO SNOW AND SLEET OVER EASTERN
AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT, AS SURFACE LOW PULLS UP ACROSS EASTERN
TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL STEADILY FRIDAY NIGHT AND COLDER AIR SWEEPS
IN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW. ALONG WITH THE FALLING SNOW, EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO CHILL ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S
BY SUNRISE SATURDAY, WITH SNOW COVER PROBABLY HELPING TO KEEP MAX
TEMPS ON SATURDAY A FEW DEGREES BELOW MAV MOS READINGS.
.LONG TERM...A MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN APPEARS TO SET UP
NEXT WEEK, AND WILL LEAVE EXTENDED FORECAST PRETTY MUCH UNTOUCHED.
SEVERAL SYSTEMS SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE WORK WEEK, BUT
ARE DIFFICULT TO TIME. FOR NOW, WILL KEEP THINGS DRY UNTIL LATE WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE 56 39 43 28 / 0 70 100 80
CLARKSVILLE 50 37 39 23 / 0 70 100 80
CROSSVILLE 57 40 49 28 / 0 50 90 80
COLUMBIA 58 39 43 27 / 0 70 80 80
LAWRENCEBURG 60 40 44 27 / 0 70 80 80
WAVERLY 52 37 40 23 / 0 80 90 80
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR TNZ005-006-022>025.
&&
From Nashville NWS, this morning:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
FXUS64 KOHX 061253 CCA
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED WORDING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
417 AM CST THU MAR 6 2008
.SHORT TERM...OF COURSE, ALL EYES ARE ON THE GULF OF MEXICO LOW
PRESSURE AREA FORECAST TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT, AND THE
WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES,
INCLUDING THE CLARKSVILLE AREA FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER, AS FAR AS THIS MORNING IS CONCERNED, WE ARE
EXPERIENCING THE PROVERBIAL "QUIET BEFORE THE STORM"...WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES AROUND THE FREEZING MARK.
EVEN THOUGH SURFACE FLOW WILL BE NORTHEAST TODAY, EXPECT SUNSHINE
TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER INTO THE 50S IN MOST AREAS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST,
WHERE SKIES WILL LIKELY BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
AS LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST
STATES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY, EXPECT A SURFACE TROUGH TO SET UP
SOMEWHERE OVER EASTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE, FROM NEAR PULASKI TO
CELINA. EAST AND SOUTHEAST FLOW TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS
WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHER DEW POINTS AND HIGHER TEMPERATURES TO OCCUR
OVER EASTERN AREAS, AND PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
ON FRIDAY TO FALL AS ALL RAIN. TO THE WEST OF THE TROUGH, IN AREAS
FROM NASHVILLE TO CLARKSVILLE EXPECT TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS TO
STEADILY COOL DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY, REACHING THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE 30S MOST LOCATIONS BY SUNSET.
EXPECT RAIN TONIGHT TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO SNOW IN THE
NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY, PROBABLY MIXING WITH SLEET AND
SNOW DURING THE MORNING AND TURNING TO ALL SNOW AND SLEET DURING
THE AFTERNOON. UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET COULD ACCUMULATE IN
NORTHWEST AREAS BY SUNSET. FURTHER EAST TOWARD NASHVILLE, THE RAIN
WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET DURING THE AFTERNOON, AND
TRANSITION TO A SNOW SLEET MIXTURE AFTER SUNSET FRIDAY. MEANWHILE,
MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST.
EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION TO SNOW AND SLEET OVER EASTERN
AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT, AS SURFACE LOW PULLS UP ACROSS EASTERN
TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL STEADILY FRIDAY NIGHT AND COLDER AIR SWEEPS
IN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW. ALONG WITH THE FALLING SNOW, EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO CHILL ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S
BY SUNRISE SATURDAY, WITH SNOW COVER PROBABLY HELPING TO KEEP MAX
TEMPS ON SATURDAY A FEW DEGREES BELOW MAV MOS READINGS.
.LONG TERM...A MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN APPEARS TO SET UP
NEXT WEEK, AND WILL LEAVE EXTENDED FORECAST PRETTY MUCH UNTOUCHED.
SEVERAL SYSTEMS SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE WORK WEEK, BUT
ARE DIFFICULT TO TIME. FOR NOW, WILL KEEP THINGS DRY UNTIL LATE WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE 56 39 43 28 / 0 70 100 80
CLARKSVILLE 50 37 39 23 / 0 70 100 80
CROSSVILLE 57 40 49 28 / 0 50 90 80
COLUMBIA 58 39 43 27 / 0 70 80 80
LAWRENCEBURG 60 40 44 27 / 0 70 80 80
WAVERLY 52 37 40 23 / 0 80 90 80
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR TNZ005-006-022>025.
&&
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HarlequinBoy
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Brent
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Re: Winter Weather in the deep south thread
Mmmmm... me likey.
http://www.alabamawx.com/?p=5931
A winter storm is developing over the South/Central U.S. that will eventually affect a wide area.
The low-pressure area at the surface is just now developing and its future track will depend greatly on who gets snow and how much. One of our main weather models positions the surface low near the Mississippi/Alabama border at midday Friday with the center near Birmingham at nightfall and along the Tennessee/North Carolina border at midnight tomorrow night.
This would indicate that any snow flurries in Alabama would be a Saturday morning event or maybe late Friday night.
Another major model (the GFS) takes the low on a more southerly track passing across SE Alabama at midday Friday and into NW Georgia at nightfall Friday. By midnight, it has the low near Asheville, North Carolina and at daybreak near Raleigh. This track would give us a better chance of snow.
We are working fast and furious on the afternoon forecast and we hope to be more definitive at that time.
Early this afternoon precipitation had already broken out over South Missouri, NW Arkansas, Eastern Oklahoma, as well as North/Central and Central Texas. Even a few thunderstorms over Central Texas.
The precipitation is wintry precipitation over extreme North/Central Texas, Southern Oklahoma, extreme North Arkansas and South Missouri. Some Winter Storm Warnings have been posted for some of that area including parts of North Arkansas.
Nothing going on at the moment. The nearest precipitation to the west was near Little Rock and College Station, Texas.
Here in Alabama the raiin should become mixed with or changing to snow over the north at some point Friday night with snow showers or flurries continuing during the morning. The better chance of any accumulating would be over the extreme north, but we have an excellent of seeing flurries or snow showers late Friday night and Saturday morning, even down into Central Alabama. Indeed, one of the models hints at some flurries all the way down to near the coast.
A lot of snow fans are getting very impatient and I understand that. We will have an increasing number of updates as the event gets closer.
http://www.alabamawx.com/?p=5931
A winter storm is developing over the South/Central U.S. that will eventually affect a wide area.
The low-pressure area at the surface is just now developing and its future track will depend greatly on who gets snow and how much. One of our main weather models positions the surface low near the Mississippi/Alabama border at midday Friday with the center near Birmingham at nightfall and along the Tennessee/North Carolina border at midnight tomorrow night.
This would indicate that any snow flurries in Alabama would be a Saturday morning event or maybe late Friday night.
Another major model (the GFS) takes the low on a more southerly track passing across SE Alabama at midday Friday and into NW Georgia at nightfall Friday. By midnight, it has the low near Asheville, North Carolina and at daybreak near Raleigh. This track would give us a better chance of snow.
We are working fast and furious on the afternoon forecast and we hope to be more definitive at that time.
Early this afternoon precipitation had already broken out over South Missouri, NW Arkansas, Eastern Oklahoma, as well as North/Central and Central Texas. Even a few thunderstorms over Central Texas.
The precipitation is wintry precipitation over extreme North/Central Texas, Southern Oklahoma, extreme North Arkansas and South Missouri. Some Winter Storm Warnings have been posted for some of that area including parts of North Arkansas.
Nothing going on at the moment. The nearest precipitation to the west was near Little Rock and College Station, Texas.
Here in Alabama the raiin should become mixed with or changing to snow over the north at some point Friday night with snow showers or flurries continuing during the morning. The better chance of any accumulating would be over the extreme north, but we have an excellent of seeing flurries or snow showers late Friday night and Saturday morning, even down into Central Alabama. Indeed, one of the models hints at some flurries all the way down to near the coast.
A lot of snow fans are getting very impatient and I understand that. We will have an increasing number of updates as the event gets closer.
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Brent
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Re:
HarlequinBoy wrote:Anybody care to chime in on predictions for Little Rock, Memphis, and Nashvegas?
Little Rock-5 to 7 inches
Memphis-2 to 4 inches
Nashville-2 to 4 inches
Just some random guesses...
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southerngale
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Re: Re:
Brent wrote:HarlequinBoy wrote:Anybody care to chime in on predictions for Little Rock, Memphis, and Nashvegas?
Little Rock-5 to 7 inches
Memphis-2 to 4 inches
Nashville-2 to 4 inches
Just some random guesses...
Beaumont?
Choose your words wisely.
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Brent
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Re: Winter Weather in the deep south thread
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
300 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-071000-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...
RUSSELLVILLE...MOULTON...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...
GUNTERSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN...LYNCHBURG...
FAYETTEVILLE...WINCHESTER
300 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING...
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. THERE IS
STILL UNCERTAINTY REGARDING WHEN THIS CHANGEOVER WILL OCCUR...AND
FOR HOW LONG SNOW WILL CONTINUE BEFORE TAPERING OFF. AS A
RESULT...IT IS TOO SOON TO SAY HOW MUCH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
HOWEVER...LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR INCREASINGLY LIKELY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
ACCUMULATION...AND THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS OVERALL...ARE LIKELY
TO BE IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...ESPECIALLY ATOP THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
ACCUMULATED SNOWFALL COULD CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY MUCH OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AS
TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO REACH ABOVE FREEZING. THOSE WITH TRAVEL
PLANS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING ARE URGED TO REMAIN AWARE OF
WEATHER CONDITIONS AS THEY DEVELOP AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING IF ICY CONDITIONS DEVELOP ON ROADWAYS... BRIDGES...OR
OVERPASSES.
ALTHOUGH THIS WEATHER SITUATION IS GRADUALLY COMING INTO BETTER
FOCUS...UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS...SO INTERESTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
TENNESSEE VALLEY ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR FUTURE WEATHER
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE
LATEST UPDATED INFORMATION.
Birmingham:
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...INTERESTING FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY AND HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON TRACK AND SPEED OF SURFACE
LOW. WILL LEAN CLOSER TO THE NAM THIS RUN WITH THE SURFACE LOW
PASSING ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS AND SHIFTING NORTHEAST FRIDAY
NIGHT. UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO PASS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. EXPECT RAIN LIKELY ACROSS THE
NORTH AND CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH TO START OUT THE FORECAST
AND THEN AS THE COLD AIR SPREADS IN TOWARDS MIDNIGHT...A MIXTURE OF
RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH...THEN GRADUALLY
SPREAD SOUTHWARD. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE AND WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES.
MAIN CONCERN IF ANY WOULD BE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS. LIGHT
SNOW OR FLURRIES WILL END SATURDAY MORNING BUT STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE 30S. HIGHS
SATURDAY 35 TO 45. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS PORTION OF
THE FORECAST CLOSELY.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
300 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-071000-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...
RUSSELLVILLE...MOULTON...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...
GUNTERSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN...LYNCHBURG...
FAYETTEVILLE...WINCHESTER
300 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING...
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. THERE IS
STILL UNCERTAINTY REGARDING WHEN THIS CHANGEOVER WILL OCCUR...AND
FOR HOW LONG SNOW WILL CONTINUE BEFORE TAPERING OFF. AS A
RESULT...IT IS TOO SOON TO SAY HOW MUCH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
HOWEVER...LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR INCREASINGLY LIKELY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
ACCUMULATION...AND THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS OVERALL...ARE LIKELY
TO BE IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...ESPECIALLY ATOP THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
ACCUMULATED SNOWFALL COULD CREATE TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY MUCH OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AS
TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO REACH ABOVE FREEZING. THOSE WITH TRAVEL
PLANS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING ARE URGED TO REMAIN AWARE OF
WEATHER CONDITIONS AS THEY DEVELOP AND USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING IF ICY CONDITIONS DEVELOP ON ROADWAYS... BRIDGES...OR
OVERPASSES.
ALTHOUGH THIS WEATHER SITUATION IS GRADUALLY COMING INTO BETTER
FOCUS...UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS...SO INTERESTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
TENNESSEE VALLEY ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR FUTURE WEATHER
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE
LATEST UPDATED INFORMATION.
Birmingham:
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...INTERESTING FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY AND HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON TRACK AND SPEED OF SURFACE
LOW. WILL LEAN CLOSER TO THE NAM THIS RUN WITH THE SURFACE LOW
PASSING ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS AND SHIFTING NORTHEAST FRIDAY
NIGHT. UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO PASS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. EXPECT RAIN LIKELY ACROSS THE
NORTH AND CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH TO START OUT THE FORECAST
AND THEN AS THE COLD AIR SPREADS IN TOWARDS MIDNIGHT...A MIXTURE OF
RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH...THEN GRADUALLY
SPREAD SOUTHWARD. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE AND WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES.
MAIN CONCERN IF ANY WOULD BE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS. LIGHT
SNOW OR FLURRIES WILL END SATURDAY MORNING BUT STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE 30S. HIGHS
SATURDAY 35 TO 45. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS PORTION OF
THE FORECAST CLOSELY.
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JonathanBelles
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Re: Re:
southerngale wrote:Brent wrote:HarlequinBoy wrote:Anybody care to chime in on predictions for Little Rock, Memphis, and Nashvegas?
Little Rock-5 to 7 inches
Memphis-2 to 4 inches
Nashville-2 to 4 inches
Just some random guesses...
Beaumont?
Choose your words wisely.
thats a typo right?
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southerngale
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Re: Re:
fact789 wrote:southerngale wrote:Brent wrote:
Little Rock-5 to 7 inches
Memphis-2 to 4 inches
Nashville-2 to 4 inches
Just some random guesses...
Beaumont?
Choose your words wisely.
thats a typo right?
Nope! I was just asking for Brent's prediction for Beaumont in inches. I was just joking though... although we do have a *slight* chance to see some flurries. I don't think I'll ever be able to mention snow here in inches. It may be just to my north, east, west, or south, but not here.
Local forecast:
A strong cold front will push through our area tonight with rain and a few thunderstorms likely. No severe weather is expected, however, some of the storms will be locally heavy with rainfall totals in isolated spots between one and two inches. Colder air will take over tonight with some rain lingering into Friday morning. With rather cold air aloft, there is even some risk of snow flurries especially over the Lakes early Friday morning until around noon Friday.
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Re: Winter Weather in the deep south thread
YES! Breeze is doin' the Snoopy dance!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
400 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
...MAJOR WINTER STORM POSSIBLE IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM LATE
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE TEXAS GULF COAST...
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP THE EAST
COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING A SWATH OF WINTRY WEATHER FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TO NEW ENGLAND.
IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN. COLDER
AIR WILL GRADUALLY SPILL INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH...CHANGING
THE RAIN TO SNOW. THIS TRANSITION TO SNOW WILL OCCUR FIRST IN THE
NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE MID STATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE
CLARKSVILLE AREA. THEN...THE SWITCH TO SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
REST OF THE MID STATE BY FRIDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL FALL THROUGH
THE NIGHT AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
ALTHOUGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE MID STATE WILL HAVE
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...EXACT AMOUNTS ARE UNCERTAIN. IF THE TRACK
OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CHANGES EVEN SLIGHTLY...SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES IN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS
THAT ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE ALABAMA
BORDER...TO AS MUCH AS 5 OR 6 INCHES IN THE CLARKSVILLE AREA.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
400 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
...MAJOR WINTER STORM POSSIBLE IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM LATE
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE TEXAS GULF COAST...
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP THE EAST
COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING A SWATH OF WINTRY WEATHER FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TO NEW ENGLAND.
IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN. COLDER
AIR WILL GRADUALLY SPILL INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH...CHANGING
THE RAIN TO SNOW. THIS TRANSITION TO SNOW WILL OCCUR FIRST IN THE
NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE MID STATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE
CLARKSVILLE AREA. THEN...THE SWITCH TO SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
REST OF THE MID STATE BY FRIDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL FALL THROUGH
THE NIGHT AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
ALTHOUGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE MID STATE WILL HAVE
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...EXACT AMOUNTS ARE UNCERTAIN. IF THE TRACK
OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CHANGES EVEN SLIGHTLY...SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES IN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS
THAT ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE ALABAMA
BORDER...TO AS MUCH AS 5 OR 6 INCHES IN THE CLARKSVILLE AREA.
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HarlequinBoy
- Category 5
- Posts: 1400
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
- Location: Memphis
I'll believe it when I see it..
3-5 inches is forecast here.
PHILLIPS-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HELENA...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE
347 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT
CST FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
FRIDAY NIGHT.
RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. COLDER AIR SHOULD BE DRAWN SOUTHWARD INTO
THESE AREAS DURING FRIDAY MORNING ALLOWING THE RAIN TO MIX WITH
SNOW. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW AND BECOME HEAVY WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 3
AND 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES BY
MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
3-5 inches is forecast here.
PHILLIPS-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HELENA...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE
347 PM CST THU MAR 6 2008
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT
CST FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
FRIDAY NIGHT.
RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. COLDER AIR SHOULD BE DRAWN SOUTHWARD INTO
THESE AREAS DURING FRIDAY MORNING ALLOWING THE RAIN TO MIX WITH
SNOW. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW AND BECOME HEAVY WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 3
AND 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER TO FLURRIES BY
MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
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HarlequinBoy
- Category 5
- Posts: 1400
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
- Location: Memphis
If this busts I won't be shocked.. I've never seen them use heavy snow here before.
Tonight: Periods of rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 38. Breezy, with a north northeast wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday: Periods of rain and snow, becoming all snow after noon. High near 39. Breezy, with a north northeast wind between 15 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Friday Night: Periods of snow, mainly before midnight. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 28. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tonight: Periods of rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 38. Breezy, with a north northeast wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday: Periods of rain and snow, becoming all snow after noon. High near 39. Breezy, with a north northeast wind between 15 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Friday Night: Periods of snow, mainly before midnight. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 28. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
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