Florida Weather

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

NWS forecast highs in the upper 80s. Humidity will
make it feel hotter. Heat Index forecast of 95 degrees over south
florida:
http://www.accuweather.com/forecast.asp ... 2&metric=0

[NDG]

After yesterday's weather could this be an early rainy season for central FL? It could very well be if this early Bermuda ridge in the western Atlantic holds on through out the month of April.
Very summer like skies yesterday, while I was at the beach I watched the thunderstorm clouds build up inland from Indialantic Beach with the help of the cool seabreeze colliding with the much warmer inland air.

[Evil Jeremy]

It went from sun to lightning in just 30 minutes here, and it looks like the storms are starting to build up on the coastline.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Was a nice morning, but now its clouding up. Looks forboding to the north and east. (am at SR84/turnpike intersection)

[boca]

Has rainy season ever started in April in the past?

[HURAKAN]

[dizzyfish]

Morning update from NWS sounds like some of the storms today may be interesting...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
923 AM EDT WED APR 2 2008

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA EARLY THIS MORNING. SIMILAR
TO YESTERDAY 12Z RAOB DATA SHOWS A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS (LI ~-9C)
AND RATHER COLD TEMPERATURES (-13.3C AT 500MB) ALOFT. WEAKER WINDS VIA
RAOB DATA SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FASTER ONSET TO THE EAST/WEST COAST SEA
BREEZES WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND SEA/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS PROVIDING
FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL A POSSIBILITY
GIVEN THE COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND RATHER STEEP LAPSE RATES. IN
ADDITION A WEAK STEERING FLOW WILL SUPPORT SLOW MOVING STORMS...SO SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WILL ADD WORDING FOR GUSTY WINDS...
SMALL HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS INTO THE GRIDS/ZONES IN A MID MORNING
UPDATE...OTHERWISE ONGOING 40-50% POPS AS WELL AS TEMPERATURES LOOK
ON TRACK WITH NO OTHER CHANGES ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

[flwxwatcher]

Looks like we could get a repeat in Interior Central Florida of yesterdays Thunderstorms. Dizzyfish posted how this mornings soundings are unstable . In fact the 500 MB temps at Tampa are cooler today then yesterday so I wouldn't be surprised to see more hail reports. I need to look at the Calendar again is this April or June??

[flwxwatcher]

It looks like the chance for rain and Thunderstorms will continue at least through the week-end. Also,the SPC has Northern and a good part of Central Florida in the risk area for Severe Weather on day 4.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

[flwxwatcher]

SPC has placed a swath in the middle of Florida under the slight risk for Severe Weather Today.

Excerpt for the SPC discussion..

...FL/GA...
SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO INITIATE EARLY TODAY ACROSS S FL
WITH QUICKLY WARMING TEMPERATURES AND FAVORABLE DEW POINT READINGS
IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEVELOPING
CU FIELD...AND FURTHER VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT CAN BE EXPECTED AS
WARMING TEMPERATURES INCREASE SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY.

GIVEN SOUTHEASTERLY TO EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 10 TO 15
KT...EXPECT INITIAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SE COAST TO QUICKLY
MOVE INLAND. MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION WILL BE CLOSER TO THE SW
COAST OF FLORIDA AS WEST/EAST COAST SEA BREEZES CONVERGE.

COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT NEAR -12.5 TO -13.5 C AT 500 MB SHOWN ON 12Z
FLORIDA SOUNDINGS WILL PROMOTE STRONG UPDRAFTS GIVEN VERY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE AND WEAK UPPER DIVERGENCE. ALTHOUGH MARGINAL HAIL WILL BE
LIKELY...LIMITED SHEAR WILL LIMIT GROWTH POTENTIAL. EXPECT MAIN
THREATS OF STRONG WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. HIGH PWAT VALUES IN
COMBINATION WITH WEAK STEERING FLOW WILL BRING THE THREAT OF NEARLY
STATIONARY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

A SECOND AREA OF CONVECTION WILL INITIATE BY AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS
SRN GA AND NRN FL AS A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ANALYZED IN CENTRAL GA
MOVES SWD TODAY...STALLING NEAR THE FL/GA BORDER. AFOREMENTIONED
COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT...FAVORABLE INSTABILITY...AND SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPMENT WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED SEVERE DEVELOPMENT AS THESE
BOUNDARIES INTERSECT. 12Z SOUNDING PROFILES AT TLH/JAX ARE DRIER
ALOFT IN COMPARISON TO S FL...SO STRONG WINDS WILL BE MORE OF A
THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP.

..HART/HURLBUT.. 04/02/2008

[feederband]

So far quite...Everything to the south...85 degrees...Yesterday I thought everything was going to miss me then the sky fell...Lets see about today..

[Sanibel]

The last few days are a good example of mainland convection cells not making it offshore to Sanibel. There was heavy rain over I-75 15 miles or so away with a sharp divide between the crisp clear skies over the Gulf and Sanibel. We had hot sun and dry. Today too.


There's an early rainy season pattern here now.

[JonathanBelles]

The NWS has been missing their forecast highs, undershooting them by about 2-3 degrees. Yesturday, forecast was 82, actual was 85!!!

Today the forecast was/is... Late Afternoon: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce small hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Northwest wind around 8 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.


Current temp is 86!!!! busted on the temp again... Its the first time ive seen hail in the forecast....maybe ill get some!

[feederband]

Its the first time ive seen hail in the forecast....maybe ill get some!

We must of been just on the edge of some yesterday...We had a few pea size pieces when the wind gust were coming in...

[jinftl]

As the weather has warmed over Florida, water temps are responding all around the peninsula,

...water temp at Fowry Rocks (off Miami Beach) for the last 5 days...
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=fwyf1&meas=wtmp&uom=E&time_diff=4&time_label=EDT

...water temp off of Cape Canaveral for the last 5 days...
http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=41113&meas=wtmp&uom=E&time_diff=4&time_label=EDT

..water temp off of Venice, FL for the last 5 days...
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=venf1&meas=wtmp&uom=E&time_diff=4&time_label=EDT

[JonathanBelles]

Its HOTTT!!!!

[feederband]

Still nada...I might be in the dry slot today...

[flwxwatcher]

Still nada...I might be in the dry slot today...

Yep, its been pretty quiet so far along the I-4 corridor. I really thought it would have been a lot more active here today.

[JonathanBelles]

Unless something pops up, all im gonna get is the outflow boundary, but I can see the clouds, so I might get some action.

[JonathanBelles]

Some distant thunder coming out of this cell: