Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

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RL3AO
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#101 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:52 pm

Major hook with the cell!

Image
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#102 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:55 pm

That could easily put down a strong or violent tornado...definitely an extremely dangerous situation there...
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#103 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:56 pm

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN WICHITA AND EASTERN WILBARGER COUNTIES...

AT 454 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 1 MILE SOUTHEAST
OF HARROLD. RADAR SHOWS THAT STORM SCALE ROTATION HAS INCREASED
SIGNIFICANTLY WITH A TORNADO POSSIBLE AT ANYTIME. THIS STORM IS
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH AND SHOULD MOVE JUST NORTH OF ELECTRA. TAKE
YOUR TORNADO PRECAUTIONS NOW!

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD...HAYNESVILLE
AND OKLAUNION.
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#104 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:57 pm

Pretty weak wording considering the radar scan...
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#105 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:57 pm

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN WICHITA AND EASTERN WILBARGER COUNTIES...

AT 456 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTER REPORTED A MULTI VORTEX TORNADO NEAR
COUNTY LINE ROAD AND HIGHWAY 287 WEST OF ELECTRA. TAKE COVER NOW!
THIS TORNADO IS MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH...TOWARD ELECTRA.


* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD...HAYNESVILLE
AND OKLAUNION.
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Re: Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

#106 Postby zaqxsw75050 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:57 pm

wow, that's a very nice looking hook(if you are not in the path)
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#107 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:57 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
456 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

TXC485-487-072200-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080407T2200Z/
WILBARGER TX-WICHITA TX-
456 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN WICHITA AND EASTERN WILBARGER COUNTIES...

AT 456 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTER REPORTED A MULTI VORTEX TORNADO NEAR
COUNTY LINE ROAD AND HIGHWAY 287 WEST OF ELECTRA. TAKE COVER NOW!
THIS TORNADO IS MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH...TOWARD ELECTRA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD...HAYNESVILLE
AND OKLAUNION.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT... THIS STORM LIKELY CONTAINS
DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS OR LARGER.

LAT...LON 3421 9899 3416 9891 3413 9883 3399 9878
3393 9913 3410 9924
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 263DEG 16KT 3406 9897

$$

JAMES
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Ed Mahmoud

Re:

#108 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Apr 07, 2008 4:59 pm

RL3AO wrote:Major hook with the cell!

Image



Looks like it will come very close to Electra, which is on both sides of 287.
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#109 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:01 pm

Warning has expired - it needs to be re-issued like NOW...
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#110 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:01 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...
EASTERN WILBARGER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 500 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT HAS ALREADY PRODUCED A TORNADO...NEAR
ELECTRA...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. TAKE COVER NOW!

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD...HAYNESVILLE
AND IOWA PARK.

I guess it lifted?
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

#111 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:02 pm

Foy, our field supervisor, and Mike, one of our lease operators, are on Turkey Creek Road off TX 25, and they say the tornado is huge.

They'd be about ten miles South of Electra.
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#112 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:04 pm

I hate to say this, but this I think is Mickey Mouse compared to the threat later in the week (especially Thursday)...
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Re: Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

#113 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:04 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:Foy, our field supervisor, and Mike, one of our lease operators, are on Turkey Creek Road off TX 25, and they say the tornado is huge.

They'd be about ten miles South of Electra.


Have they called the police or the NWS?
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#114 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:05 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0580
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0452 PM CDT MON APR 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NW TX...SW/CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 169...

VALID 072152Z - 072315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 169 CONTINUES.

RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL/LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA BETWEEN NOW AND 07/00Z.

INITIATION OF DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS NOW UNDERWAY ALONG DRY
LINE NEAR/WEST THROUGH NORTH OF WICHITA FALLS. LINGERING
INHIBITION/TENDENCY FOR WARMING ALOFT MAY BE INITIALLY SLOWING
INTENSIFICATION. BUT...AN INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW-LEVEL INFLOW
APPEARS LIKELY TO INCREASE CAPE TO 2000 J/KG IN THE VICINITY OF
ACTIVITY...LIKELY SUPPORTING RAPID STRENGTHENING OF UPDRAFTS IN THE
PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS. THIS WILL
BE ENHANCED BY INCREASINGLY DIFLUENT AND DIVERGENT UPPER
FLOW...WHICH APPEARS TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF SPREADING OUT INTO THE
SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS. AND...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SPREAD
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY 07/00Z...WITHIN FOCUSED
ZONE OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION.

..KERR.. 04/07/2008


ATTN...WFO...OUN...

34289954 34679954 35399908 35409771 34679761 33919805
33999911
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#115 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:08 pm

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR WESTERN
WICHITA AND EASTERN WILBARGER COUNTIES...

AT 507 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES EAST OF HARROLD...MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGE. RADAR ALSO SHOWED A SMALLER AREA OF POSSIBLE TORNADIC
ROTATION 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ELECTRA. TAKE COVER NOW!

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA...HARROLD...HAYNESVILLE
AND IOWA PARK.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

#116 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:10 pm

RL3AO wrote:
Ed Mahmoud wrote:Foy, our field supervisor, and Mike, one of our lease operators, are on Turkey Creek Road off TX 25, and they say the tornado is huge.

They'd be about ten miles South of Electra.


Have they called the police or the NWS?



They can't see it anymore, they never sw it lift, but there is now rain between them and the tornado/possible tornado.

They called it two tornadoes moving around each other.
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#117 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:11 pm

Wichita Falls - population 110,000 - in line for this supercell...
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

#118 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:14 pm

Cumulus getting a little more pronounced on the dry line South of there. At 4 pm, Abilene was 86ºF, about 30ºC, and the winds were from the South.
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Re: Another week of severe weather in the southern plains?

#119 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:19 pm

000
FLUS74 KOUN 072210
AWUOUN

AREA WEATHER UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
508 PM CST MON APR 07 2008

...WARNING DECISION UPDATE...

THIS WARNING DECISION UPDATE CONCERNS WICHITA COUNTY TEXAS.

LARGE CLASSIC SUPERCELL HAS STRONG TVS SIGNATURE APPROACHING
ELECTRA. SPOTTERS HAVE CONFIRM TORNADO. THIS STORM HAS MADE HARD
RIGHT TURN PAST 45 MINUTES. REFLECTIVITY STRUCTURE...VELOCITY
SIGNATURES...AND ENVIRONMENT POINT TOWARD CYCLIC TORNADO PRODUCTION
AS THIS STORM MOVES EAST-SOUTHEAST DOWN HIGHWAY 287.

FIRST MESO IS OCCLUDING AND NEW MESOCYLCONE AND BWER ARE FORMING
ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ELECTRA. THIS EVOLUTION WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING TORNADO THREAT FROM THE WICHITA FALLS AREA NORTH TO THE
RED RIVER OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. STORMS OF THIS TYPE OFTEN
PRODUCE STRONG TORNADOES AND ALL INTERESTS IN WICHITA COUNTY SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THIS STORM.

EXCEPTIONALLY DAMAGING HAIL IS ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
MESOCYCLONE PATH.


Edit to add- the OUN NWS page has terms as links, and BWER is bounded weak echo region, and area of very low radar reflectivity surrounded by high reflectivity, where the updraft is so strong rain and hail can't form.
Last edited by Ed Mahmoud on Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#120 Postby RL3AO » Mon Apr 07, 2008 5:19 pm

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
WICHITA COUNTY...

AT 517 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
WAS REORGANIZING 7 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ELECTRA...MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. ANOTHER TORNADO COULD DEVELOP FROM THIS NEW
CIRCULATION CENTER AT ANYTIME.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ELECTRA.
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