Wed., 9th of April 08 till Friday 11th outbreak-thread

[6SpeedTA95]

Approaching McAlester, OK. Nickel hail reported by news chaser.

look at that radar we should have a tornado warnin shortly on that storm

[6SpeedTA95]

There it is, tornado warning pittsburg county

[CrazyC83]

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 105 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
SAN ANGELO TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTH OF BROWNWOOD TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW
180...WW 181...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO OCCUR ALONG SURFACE
BOUNDARY FROM NEAR MAF-ABI. FROM THERE SOUTHWARD...THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO AFFECT REGION. CAPE AND VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN
QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES WELL AFTER DARK.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART


SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 105 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
SAN ANGELO TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTH OF BROWNWOOD TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW
180...WW 181...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO OCCUR ALONG SURFACE
BOUNDARY FROM NEAR MAF-ABI. FROM THERE SOUTHWARD...THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO AFFECT REGION. CAPE AND VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN
QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES WELL AFTER DARK.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 100041
WOU2

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008

TORNADO WATCH 182 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC033-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-115-135-137-151-173-207-227-
235-253-267-307-317-319-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-411-413-415-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-465-100700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0182.080410T0045Z-080410T0700Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BORDEN BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR EDWARDS FISHER
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KIMBLE
MARTIN MASON MCCULLOCH
MENARD MIDLAND MITCHELL
NOLAN PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE


ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW2
WW 182 TORNADO TX 100045Z - 100700Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
105WSW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/ - 45N BWD/BROWNWOOD TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /45ESE FST - 46E ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

LAT...LON 32150212 33839894 31079894 29390212

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.


Watch 182 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

[Texas Snowman]

New tornado warning near Sweetwater, Texas.


-----

Tornado Warning
TORNADO WARNING
TXC151-253-100130-
/O.NEW.KSJT.TO.W.0034.080410T0055Z-080410T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
755 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN JONES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
EASTERN FISHER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT

* AT 754 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES SOUTH OF
SYLVESTER...OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF SWEETWATER...MOVING EAST
AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
NOODLE AND THE INTERSECTION OF US-180 AND RANCH ROAD 126 BY 805 PM
CDT...
TRUBY AND STITH BY 810 PM CDT...
HODGES AND ANSON BY 815 PM CDT...
HAWLEY BY 820 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. IF NO
BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. IF IN
MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3254 10028 3281 10043 3293 10022 3296 9998
3295 9990 3253 9972
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 262DEG 48KT 3262 10019

[CrazyC83]

Awaiting the 0100Z update.

[6SpeedTA95]

yeah SPC is a little busy tonight lol

[6SpeedTA95]

Man guys check out the convective explosion just south, west and southwest of wichita falls

[Texas Snowman]

WFAA.org reports intense rotation 4 miles SE of Decatur.

If this supercell continues to be tornadic as it moves into the I-35 corridor, don't know how much longer luck can hold out before a really bad strike occurs somewhere.

Not trying to be alarmist, but it's moving into more populated areas of N. Texas.

And of course, that's without knowing yet how bad the situation was/is near Breckenridge.

Tx Snowman

[6SpeedTA95]

WFAA.org reports intense rotation 4 miles SE of Decatur.

If this supercell continues to be tornadic as it moves into the I-35 corridor, don't know how much longer luck can hold out before a really bad strike occurs somewhere.

Not trying to be alarmist, but it's moving into more populated areas of N. Texas.

And of course, that's without knowing yet how bad the situation was/is near Breckenridge.

Tx Snowman

Indeed, heading right smack towards denton.

[CrazyC83]

SPC AC 100100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT WED APR 09 2008

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NRN TX ...S CNTRL AND SERN
OK INTO EXTREME WRN AR...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

...SRN PLAINS THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...

EARLY THIS EVENING A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE TN VALLEY THROUGH
CNTRL AR INTO SERN OK...THEN SWWD AS A CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED
BOUNDARY THROUGH NWRN TX AND SERN PARTS OF WRN TX. A DRYLINE EXTENDS
FROM NEAR SANDERSON NWD TO NEAR MIDLAND WHERE IT INTERSECTS THE WARM
FRONT. COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH ERN NM. WV IMAGERY INDICATES
LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING NEWD THROUGH ERN OK...AND THIS FEATURE
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT. IN WAKE OF THIS FEATURE
THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS ACCOMPANYING UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH
AND IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE LOW THAT WILL LIFT ENEWD ALONG THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE. SIGNIFICANT TORNADO THREAT APPEARS HIGHEST THIS
EVENING FROM NERN TX INTO ERN OK WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION AND
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET. THESE DISCRETE
STORMS HAVE BECOME SURFACE BASED WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED
BY VERY LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
EAST INTO WRN AR DURING THE EVENING.

OTHER STORMS ARE DEVELOPING FARTHER WEST WITHIN ZONE OF INCREASING
DEEP LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EJECTING UPSTREAM WAVE. INITIAL
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN COOL SECTOR ALONG AND NORTH OF SW-NE
ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS WRN THROUGH NWRN TX INTO SWRN OK.
MODERATE MUCAPE...8+ C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ELEVATED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT
FOR VERY LARGE HAIL WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS WRN
TX AS THE COLD FRONT INTERCEPTS MOIST AXIS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
DRYLINE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE MORE STRONGLY FORCED AND WILL LIKELY
EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS AS IT MOVES NEWD THROUGH CNTRL
AND NRN TX...REACHING SRN OK BY LATE IN THE PERIOD. POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR EMBEDDED ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING LEWPS AND SUPERCELLS
WITH AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SWATHS OF DAMAGING WIND IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..DIAL.. 04/10/2008

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0106Z (9:06PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[CrazyC83]

SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 183
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
805 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 805 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT
SMITH ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 179...WW 180...WW
181...WW 182...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED INTENSE/SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN OK INTO WESTERN AR. THESE STORMS ARE IN
REGION OF STRONG ASCENT AHEAD OF SUB-SYNOPTIC SURFACE LOW. VERY
STRONG WIND FIELDS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN THE RISK
OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART


SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 183
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
805 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 805 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT
SMITH ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 179...WW 180...WW
181...WW 182...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED INTENSE/SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN OK INTO WESTERN AR. THESE STORMS ARE IN
REGION OF STRONG ASCENT AHEAD OF SUB-SYNOPTIC SURFACE LOW. VERY
STRONG WIND FIELDS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN THE RISK
OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 100103
WOU3

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 183
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
805 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008

TORNADO WATCH 183 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC057-061-071-081-083-097-109-113-115-127-133-149-100800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0183.080410T0105Z-080410T0800Z/

AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HEMPSTEAD HOWARD JOHNSON
LITTLE RIVER LOGAN MONTGOMERY
PIKE POLK POPE
SCOTT SEVIER YELL


OKC089-100800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0183.080410T0105Z-080410T0800Z/

OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

MCCURTAIN


TXC387-100800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0183.080410T0105Z-080410T0800Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

RED RIVER


ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW3
WW 183 TORNADO AR OK TX 100105Z - 100800Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE FSM/FORT SMITH AR/ - 35SSW DEQ/DE QUEEN AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /29NE FSM - 28W TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

LAT...LON 35749305 33589384 33589541 35749466

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.


Watch 183 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

[6SpeedTA95]

new outlook from the national weather service

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT WED APR 09 2008

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NRN TX ...S CNTRL AND SERN
OK INTO EXTREME WRN AR...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

...SRN PLAINS THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...

EARLY THIS EVENING A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE TN VALLEY THROUGH
CNTRL AR INTO SERN OK...THEN SWWD AS A CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED
BOUNDARY THROUGH NWRN TX AND SERN PARTS OF WRN TX. A DRYLINE EXTENDS
FROM NEAR SANDERSON NWD TO NEAR MIDLAND WHERE IT INTERSECTS THE WARM
FRONT. COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH ERN NM. WV IMAGERY INDICATES
LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING NEWD THROUGH ERN OK...AND THIS FEATURE
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT. IN WAKE OF THIS FEATURE
THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS ACCOMPANYING UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH
AND IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE LOW THAT WILL LIFT ENEWD ALONG THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE. SIGNIFICANT TORNADO THREAT APPEARS HIGHEST THIS
EVENING FROM NERN TX INTO ERN OK WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION AND
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET. THESE DISCRETE
STORMS HAVE BECOME SURFACE BASED WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED
BY VERY LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
EAST INTO WRN AR DURING THE EVENING.

OTHER STORMS ARE DEVELOPING FARTHER WEST WITHIN ZONE OF INCREASING
DEEP LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EJECTING UPSTREAM WAVE. INITIAL
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN COOL SECTOR ALONG AND NORTH OF SW-NE
ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS WRN THROUGH NWRN TX INTO SWRN OK.
MODERATE MUCAPE...8+ C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ELEVATED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT
FOR VERY LARGE HAIL WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS WRN
TX AS THE COLD FRONT INTERCEPTS MOIST AXIS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
DRYLINE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE MORE STRONGLY FORCED AND WILL LIKELY
EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS AS IT MOVES NEWD THROUGH CNTRL
AND NRN TX...REACHING SRN OK BY LATE IN THE PERIOD. POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR EMBEDDED ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING LEWPS AND SUPERCELLS
WITH AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SWATHS OF DAMAGING WIND IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS ISOLATED TORNADOES.

[6SpeedTA95]

Sirens should now be sounding in Denton Texas.

[Texas Snowman]

New tornado warning for storm near Broken Bow in McCurtain County. western Arkansas is going to get in the game soon.

[6SpeedTA95]

Several impressive cells moving through SE oklahoma right now.

[6SpeedTA95]

Storm just north of Seminole oklahoma is showing some mid level rotation now. It's rapidly gaining strength.

[somethingfunny]

Hmm...Grayson County, TX next in line?

[6SpeedTA95]

Hmm...Grayson County, TX next in line?

Storms going up in the wichita falls vcty

[Texas Snowman]

WFAA.org said baseball size hail was reported in Decatur at 7:55 p.m.

I think that from radar trends, Sanger to the north of Denton is really under the gun, then Pilot Point, and maybe Sherman in Grayson County, which is up in my neck of the woods.

Tx Snowman

[Texas Snowman]

Sorry, it was tennis ball size hail, not baseball size hail.

Don't guess there's much difference in what those two can do to a roof or a car or a person.

Something funny, yeah, I think you're right - southern and central Grayson County (Sherman?) will be under the gun if this storm continues to hold together and remains tornadic.

Tx Snowman