http://www.net-waves.net/weather/td95.php
And they intensifie it to a hurricane but I would wait about that until it gets to the NW caribbean and ships model generally are overagressive many times..
Update of model plots:All are clustered into NW caribbean
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cycloneye
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Update of model plots:All are clustered into NW caribbean
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wxman57
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Looks Like TS Now
It sure looks like T.S. Claudette now. Visible loops show a well-defined circulation and storms growing near the center. It's certainly much better developed than Bill was when they named him. But this storm is not in the middle of the Gulf, so they may wait for recon tomorrow. I'd say chances of it being Claudette are in the 90% range now.
Oh, and a NW movement beyond day 4 looks good, given the weakening ridge to the north by then. This one could easily hit the U.S. next weekend. It's just a question of how big it'll get by then.
I just hope the NHC leaves it alone until tomorrow mornign so I don't have to go to work in an hour.
Oh, and a NW movement beyond day 4 looks good, given the weakening ridge to the north by then. This one could easily hit the U.S. next weekend. It's just a question of how big it'll get by then.
I just hope the NHC leaves it alone until tomorrow mornign so I don't have to go to work in an hour.
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Derek Ortt
Agree with you about wanting NHC to wait. I dont want to have to go into work either. I have a 20-30 minute drive to Virginia Key, east of Miami
I disagree that this looks like Claudette though; however, this does have the potential to become Claudette. If the convective canopy expands as it very well may in the overnight hours, I would not be surprised to see a TD by 5 A.M.
As for the long term track, it all depends upon the ridge. I have noticed that the models often turn these systems too quickly to the north. I am more inclined to believe a Honduran or Belize landfall at this time, mainly due to the fast forward motion. However, this is 4 to 5 days out, so I could be way off
I disagree that this looks like Claudette though; however, this does have the potential to become Claudette. If the convective canopy expands as it very well may in the overnight hours, I would not be surprised to see a TD by 5 A.M.
As for the long term track, it all depends upon the ridge. I have noticed that the models often turn these systems too quickly to the north. I am more inclined to believe a Honduran or Belize landfall at this time, mainly due to the fast forward motion. However, this is 4 to 5 days out, so I could be way off
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Rainband
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southerngale
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Rainband
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html this is on weather central!!!!! On STORM2K!!!!southerngale wrote:Could someone please post a good visible loop?
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southerngale
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Rainband wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html this is on weather central!!!!! On STORM2K!!!!southerngale wrote:Could someone please post a good visible loop?
Thanks Rainband
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wx247
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It is a battle between dry air and moist air right now. We shall see what happens in the next few hours. In any case, there is something to watch.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Rainband
Your most welcome!!!!!!!southerngale wrote:Rainband wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html this is on weather central!!!!! On STORM2K!!!!southerngale wrote:Could someone please post a good visible loop?
Thanks Rainband
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