New! Pictures From the AMS 28th Conference on Hurricanes
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- wxman57
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New! Pictures From the AMS 28th Conference on Hurricanes
Besides Derek and myself, who here is going to be attending the AMS hurricane conference in Orlando this coming week (Apr. 28-May 2)? I'll have a poster session there on Thursday afternoon. Looks like a lot of interesting presentations. Only one of me and 4-5 presentations going on at once each day. Even evening sessions. Should be a busy week.
Meeting web site:
http://ametsoc.org/MEET/fainst/200828Hurricane.html
Program Listing:
http://ams.confex.com/ams/28Hurricanes/ ... ed_471.htm
Meeting web site:
http://ametsoc.org/MEET/fainst/200828Hurricane.html
Program Listing:
http://ams.confex.com/ams/28Hurricanes/ ... ed_471.htm
Last edited by wxman57 on Wed Apr 30, 2008 8:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: AMS 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
I would LOVE to go! Too bad I live in Texas. 

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http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/138161.pdf
This is the manuscript describing what I will be presenting. About the differences in structure of Katrina and Rita
This is the manuscript describing what I will be presenting. About the differences in structure of Katrina and Rita
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- Evil Jeremy
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Re: AMS 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
I would love to go, but unfortunately I don't have a drivers license yet lol.
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Re:
Derek Ortt wrote:http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/138161.pdf
This is the manuscript describing what I will be presenting. About the differences in structure of Katrina and Rita
Interesting article. Looks like a hurricane in a more moist environment is more likely to be larger than in a drier environment. Katrina had a lots of outer rainbands compared to Rita.
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- wxman57
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Re: AMS 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Some pictures from the conference during the session on Hurricanes and Climatology. Bill Read sat with us at the poolside cookout this evening wearing sandals, shorts, and a t-shirt that said "Meteorologist - off duty". I didn't ask him if I could post it so I'm not going to put it here, just the cropped image below. He still has trouble remembering where his "office" is. Can't get used to the idea that it's the NHC now and not the Houston/Galveston NWS. 
A cropped shot of Bill Read's t-shirt:

I think Bill Gray gave the most entertaining presentation I've seen. He started out by saying:
"Today I want to talk about salt!" He talked about the thermohaline circulation.
Here's a shot of Dr. Gray, Dr. Phil Klotzbach, and Dr. Chris Landsea listing to one of the presentations in yesterday's session on hurricanes and climatology:

Some slides from Dr. Gray's talk:

His poke at those who improperly identify trends where no trend exists. His graphic proving that by 2050 there will be zero landfalling major hurricanes due to increasing C02. Note that as C02 has risen since 1924, the average annual number of landfalling major hurricanes has decreased from 0.93/yr to 0.52/yr. His point is that you can skew the data to show any kind of trend you want.

And his conclusion:


A cropped shot of Bill Read's t-shirt:

I think Bill Gray gave the most entertaining presentation I've seen. He started out by saying:
"Today I want to talk about salt!" He talked about the thermohaline circulation.
Here's a shot of Dr. Gray, Dr. Phil Klotzbach, and Dr. Chris Landsea listing to one of the presentations in yesterday's session on hurricanes and climatology:

Some slides from Dr. Gray's talk:

His poke at those who improperly identify trends where no trend exists. His graphic proving that by 2050 there will be zero landfalling major hurricanes due to increasing C02. Note that as C02 has risen since 1924, the average annual number of landfalling major hurricanes has decreased from 0.93/yr to 0.52/yr. His point is that you can skew the data to show any kind of trend you want.

And his conclusion:

Last edited by wxman57 on Thu May 01, 2008 6:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- wxman57
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Cyclone1 wrote:Klotzbach looks like he's falling asleep.
I think he was reading the meeting schedule to decide what presentation to go to next. There are 4 presentation rooms. Presentations run 15 minutes each. People move from room to room to catch certain talks.
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one problem with the multi-decadal cycle theory
Research using sediment records by Professor Jeffery Donnely from Woods Hole shows that there are no multi-decadal cycles beyond the one observed in this century. There are, however, cycles on the millenial timescale and we are in an active phase according to his research
Research using sediment records by Professor Jeffery Donnely from Woods Hole shows that there are no multi-decadal cycles beyond the one observed in this century. There are, however, cycles on the millenial timescale and we are in an active phase according to his research
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Re:
Derek Ortt wrote:one problem with the multi-decadal cycle theory
Research using sediment records by Professor Jeffery Donnely from Woods Hole shows that there are no multi-decadal cycles beyond the one observed in this century. There are, however, cycles on the millenial timescale and we are in an active phase according to his research
Millennial is 1000 years, correct. According to his research when did this active phase begin and predicted to end on the millennial scale?
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- Blown Away
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Derek Ortt wrote:the active phase began about 300 years ago according to Donelly
Does he have a website or link to his research? Since he concludes we are generally in the beginning of an active phase what does he say about the future? Sounds interesting.
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- vbhoutex
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Re: New! Pictures From the AMS 28th Conference on Hurricanes
Looks like it would have been a very interesting conference to attend.
2 years ago, I met a young man in Austin when I was there on business and a severe t-storm rolled through. We were both watching the storm from a "safe" vantage point just outside the building. I don't remember his name, but he told me in the course of our conversation that he was Klotzbach's best friend. He knew a lot about Gray's research etc. The reason I am writing about this?? Because Philip Klotzbach looks just like the dude I met. I am now wondering if it was him, especially since I had told him I was with Storm2k and a weather enthusiast, and he was trying to conceal his identity for some reason.
2 years ago, I met a young man in Austin when I was there on business and a severe t-storm rolled through. We were both watching the storm from a "safe" vantage point just outside the building. I don't remember his name, but he told me in the course of our conversation that he was Klotzbach's best friend. He knew a lot about Gray's research etc. The reason I am writing about this?? Because Philip Klotzbach looks just like the dude I met. I am now wondering if it was him, especially since I had told him I was with Storm2k and a weather enthusiast, and he was trying to conceal his identity for some reason.
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- wxman57
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Re: New! Pictures From the AMS 28th Conference on Hurricanes
vbhoutex wrote:Looks like it would have been a very interesting conference to attend.
2 years ago, I met a young man in Austin when I was there on business and a severe t-storm rolled through. We were both watching the storm from a "safe" vantage point just outside the building. I don't remember his name, but he told me in the course of our conversation that he was Klotzbach's best friend. He knew a lot about Gray's research etc. The reason I am writing about this?? Because Philip Klotzbach looks just like the dude I met. I am now wondering if it was him, especially since I had told him I was with Storm2k and a weather enthusiast, and he was trying to conceal his identity for some reason.
Maybe it was Phil. He looks very young, like a college freshman, but he's probably 23 or so. Very young for a PhD. He would have been just starting work on his PhD 2 years ago.
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Some of Prof Donnelly's publications
Donnelly, J.P., 2005, Evidence of Past Intense Tropical Cyclones from Backbarrier Salt Pond Sediments: A Case Study from Isla de Culebrita, Puerto Rico, USA: Journal of Coastal Research, SI42, p. 201-210.
Donnelly, J.P., and Webb III, T., 2004, Backbarrier sedimentary records of intense hurricane landfalls in the northeastern United States. In: Murnane, R. and Liu, K. (eds.), Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past Present and Potential, New York: Columbia Press, pp. 58-96.
Donnelly, J.P., J. Butler, S. Roll, Micah Wengren, and T. Webb III, 2004, A backbarrier overwash record of intense storms from Brigantine, New Jersey: Marine Geology, v. 210, p. 107-121.
Donnelly, J.P., 2005, Evidence of Past Intense Tropical Cyclones from Backbarrier Salt Pond Sediments: A Case Study from Isla de Culebrita, Puerto Rico, USA: Journal of Coastal Research, SI42, p. 201-210.
Donnelly, J.P., and Webb III, T., 2004, Backbarrier sedimentary records of intense hurricane landfalls in the northeastern United States. In: Murnane, R. and Liu, K. (eds.), Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past Present and Potential, New York: Columbia Press, pp. 58-96.
Donnelly, J.P., J. Butler, S. Roll, Micah Wengren, and T. Webb III, 2004, A backbarrier overwash record of intense storms from Brigantine, New Jersey: Marine Geology, v. 210, p. 107-121.
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