95L moving now more WNW than due west

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cycloneye
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95L moving now more WNW than due west

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 07, 2003 6:19 am

This apparent change from a due west track will implicate various things.First it will go away from south america,then it will move into more warmer waters and it will pass more close to Puerto Rico than what the models are projecting and that is what I am watching from here very carefully.Will it be TD#4 or Claudette later today?Recon will provide the answer but the good news for the islands in the lesser antilles because of a drought that those islands haved experienced in recent months.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Jul 07, 2003 6:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Guest » Mon Jul 07, 2003 6:28 am

Still looks like its on a steady westward track to me...not sure if i see that northern compement - time will tell as always.
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#3 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jul 07, 2003 7:29 am

Cyc, I feel we have TS Claudette on our hands as I type. I have stopped just short of calling this in the early update. Even though the official track is still W, I see the additional N component in at least one loop I have looked at. This system will now obviously miss SA and continue into the E Carribean. Unfortunately on this one I think NHC is either being overly cautious or has been caught off guard. It is not a life threatening situation, but I hate to see them with "egg on their face". I have not seen a Quickscat pass over this area, but our sat anlaysis surface wind loop shows TS force winds at an obvious center. Banding features are appearing and the convection is growing. I may be putting my size 12 in my mouth and biting down, but I say HELLO TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE.

By the way has anyone been able to get into NRL this morning? I think it is/was down.
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#4 Postby Guest » Mon Jul 07, 2003 8:24 am

David,

They have changed the link.

Here it is

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
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ColdFront77

#5 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Jul 07, 2003 12:33 pm

The system was had a northerly component last night into early this morning.
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