EPAC - blob watching

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RL3AO
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#21 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 10, 2008 7:21 am

A new area off the coast of Costa Rica with a 1005 mb low.

SECOND ANTICYCLONE OVER SWRN GULF OF MEXICO MAINTAINS MOISTURE
SWATH OVER NRN HALVES OF MEXICO AND GULF OF MEXICO. IT ALSO
KEEPS MODERATE OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION NEAR SECOND LOW PRES 1005
MB AT 09N86W NEAR COAST OF COSTA RICA. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN TWO
CENTERS OF CONVECTION...MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE FROM
ANTICYCLONE KEEPS AIR MASS FAIRLY DRY.
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC - blob watching

#22 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 10, 2008 8:15 am

Image

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Chacor
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#23 Postby Chacor » Sat May 10, 2008 10:51 am

DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE ALONG
THE ITCZ AND TODAY IS FOCUSED PRIMARILY AROUND TWO WEAK AREAS OF
LOW PRESSURE. A 1007 MB LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 NM SSW OF SAN
JOSE COSTA RICA NEAR 06N86W WITH WEAK LOW/MID-LEVEL ROTATION
NOTED IN THE CLOUD FIELD AND VIGOROUS CONVECTION ORIENTED
PRIMARILY E/W ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
DISORGANIZED AS IT MOVES W ABOUT 5-10 KT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
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#24 Postby KWT » Sat May 10, 2008 3:39 pm

Looks like this may be a blob to watch, still not sure anything wil lcome off it but we are so close to the start of the EPAC season that it can't exactly be ruled out either, esp with a weak low present as well.
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#25 Postby Meso » Sun May 11, 2008 5:24 am

Speaking of watching... Let the model watching start

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RL3AO
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#26 Postby RL3AO » Sun May 11, 2008 7:13 am

The recent convection has "buckled" the ITCZ north.

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