Central Atlantic / Eastern Atlantic

[cycloneye]

Interesting

More interesting is that three models (GFS,CMC,EURO) haved been showing this low emerging West Africa.

[KWT]

Yep it is interesting though I doubt anything would form from this at this time of year, still a good month too early I suspect, still the ECM does have a decent wave on it which is certainly possible.

[Gustywind]

Yeah maybe nothing much that another wave ... if this verifies by the models , as a strong wave well organized, but day after day they seem very gorgeous and if this trend amplifies i would pay attention for our first TD at the end of June

[canegrl04]

So far,conditions seem to be setting up for an early start to the season-much like 2005.I wouldn't be surprised if the first TS came in July

[Gustywind]

So far,conditions seem to be setting up for an early start to the season-much like 2005.I wouldn't be surprised if the first TS came in July

Yeah absolutely agree 100% with you, that's pretty credible for me given what my untrained are seeing right now and why not for a cane in the beginning of Auguste 10/15

[HURAKAN]

Such a beautiful season ahead.

[Cyclone1]

Wow, potent waves.

[KWT]

Wow those waves are looking real impressive for the time of year, that looks more like late July than late May to be honest. I'm getting a strong feeling we are going to get quite a powerful cape verde season...

[MiamiensisWx]

So far,conditions seem to be setting up for an early start to the season-much like 2005.I wouldn't be surprised if the first TS came in July

Nope! Many non-2005 years feature an early season TS, followed by tranquility until August/September.

Anyone who throws 2005 around with regularity is incorrect for obvious reasons. It's highly anomalous. I'm not attempting to dissuade you from contributing; I'm merely stating the facts.

[Eyewall]

OOO looky at the GFS

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/images/gfs_85v_102l.gif

[Ed Mahmoud]

Systems that develop far East of the US, while having more time to intensify, also have more time to find a trough and recurve.

A busy CV season doesn't have to be a busy North American season.

[Cyclenall]

I'm seeing that more then one model continue to show something coming off Africa and becoming a TC. I don't remember seeing that type of thing in the models during late May before.

[Meso]

Another image of the one about to emerge..wow.

[Cyclenall]

^^^^
I saw that and thought "wow" right away.

[KWT]

Woah that wave is very powerful and large, really deep deep convection with it as well from that image above!

[punkyg]

which computer models develop this wave?

[KatDaddy]

I will be amazed should anything develop that far E for this time of year.

[boca]

I will be amazed should anything develop that far E for this time of year.

You'd better run the other way if something develops at out this sytem in the Eastern Atlantic in May or even June.

[cycloneye]

Never say never in the tropics!

[KWT]

Yeah thats true though its still probably a little soon for development in the E/C.Atlanic regions. However its not surprising that the ECM showed such a sharp wave in the central Atlantic on its run yesterday and its not surprising some models try and develop it, its a hefty wave!