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Meso
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#141 Postby Meso » Thu May 29, 2008 7:11 am

Image
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Re: Central Atlantic / Coast of Africa

#142 Postby punkyg » Thu May 29, 2008 8:58 am

what do yall think of the second wave?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/rgb-l.jpg
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#143 Postby Gustywind » Thu May 29, 2008 12:37 pm

Hi punkyg glad to see you , monsters waves very muscled AWESOME punkyg, but its seems that they're emerging rounds after rounds without calm, hé hé hé...maybe ours firsts TDs in June ?,Hope the very best looking at these monster twaves :roll: :eek: :eek:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/rb-l.jpg :rarrow: are we in AUGUST??! :double:
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#144 Postby Gustywind » Thu May 29, 2008 1:05 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 291750
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU MAY 29 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 29W/30W S OF 15N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT.
WELL DEFINED INVERTED-V CURVATURE AHEAD OF A SURGE COMING OFF
THE COAST OF AFRICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N 28W-31W. 8-)
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#145 Postby KWT » Thu May 29, 2008 1:10 pm

They certainly are impressive waves for the time of year, not even a hint of SAL as of yet that would normally totally inhibit these waves from about this time through to late July so thats a very interesting situtation to find ourselves in.
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#146 Postby RL3AO » Thu May 29, 2008 1:11 pm

Some of the stuff coming off of Africa in the past few weeks has been crazy.
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Re:

#147 Postby Gustywind » Thu May 29, 2008 3:26 pm

KWT wrote:They certainly are impressive waves for the time of year, not even a hint of SAL as of yet that would normally totally inhibit these waves from about this time through to late July so thats a very interesting situtation to find ourselves in.

Definitively, what a situation!!!!I wonder if we were in August :oops: :eek: all seems ok just water temps and more favorable winds just that....for the future 3 weeks... one of them can pass in a window quickly if this trend continues, should it verifies first, but given what i'm seeing i'm a little amazed :double: the waves are pushing themselves days after after days suspciously, things to watch maybe earlier than predicted for sure :roll:
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#148 Postby KWT » Thu May 29, 2008 3:27 pm

IF we were in August we'd have almost certainly have had a tropical system develop from that large wave that came off Africa about 24hrs ago IMO.
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Re:

#149 Postby Gustywind » Thu May 29, 2008 3:28 pm

RL3AO wrote:Some of the stuff coming off of Africa in the past few weeks has been crazy.

Oh Yeah since mid april waves are cooking steadily for the happiness of our eyes for the moment .... :P
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Re:

#150 Postby Gustywind » Thu May 29, 2008 3:33 pm

KWT wrote:IF we were in August we'd have almost certainly have had a tropical system develop from that large wave that came off Africa about 24hrs ago IMO.


Oh yeah my friend or more these waves are nasty tremendous sometimes these numbers of huge waves are pretty rare in august and in September in some poor or inactive season.....that doesn't that the one poor can't be a cane too, but your understood what i mean....AWESOME waves are churning near us, let's see what happens during the next 2 weeks, this will gave us a better idea of the pattern :idea: :) :cheesy:
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Re: Central Atlantic / Coast of Africa

#151 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu May 29, 2008 4:19 pm

I guess you mean this one -- pretty impressive!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/rb-l.jpg
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#152 Postby KWT » Thu May 29, 2008 4:25 pm

Yep thats the one, if this was August I'd expect that either one of those big waves could become a strong tropical system. However the fact we are in May makes those potent waves even more impressive, really deep convection in both of them and they are pretty large in coverage as well. The 1st one will probably poof sooner rather then later though I reckon.
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Re: Central Atlantic / Coast of Africa

#153 Postby punkyg » Thu May 29, 2008 4:27 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:I guess you mean this one -- pretty impressive!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/rb-l.jpg

Is that the latest pic of the wave? if so then its holding up well.
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#154 Postby RL3AO » Thu May 29, 2008 4:30 pm

No. That image is 15 hours old.

Anyway, its gone poof.

Image
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#155 Postby KWT » Thu May 29, 2008 4:33 pm

Well that looks a little more like what it should do in late May RL3AO. still the fact we did have such a large wave is a good teaser for what will happen later in the season.
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Re: Central Atlantic / Coast of Africa

#156 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu May 29, 2008 4:42 pm

Just noticed, it is still the 06Z image from way, early this morning.
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Re: Central Atlantic / Coast of Africa

#157 Postby Gustywind » Thu May 29, 2008 5:21 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:I guess you mean this one -- pretty impressive!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/rb-l.jpg


Absolutely the best with my untrained eyes no doubts....AWESOME, if it's already that only in may, we can bet for 3 cat 5 in august or earlier better than Dean and Felix :eek: :lol: ... :cheesy: awfull hope i'm wrong and my thoughts craziest than a CAT 6 :grrr: :lol: :spam:
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#158 Postby Gustywind » Thu May 29, 2008 8:32 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 292359
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU MAY 29 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED PAST THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 31W S
OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. TPW PRODUCTS CONTINUE TO SHOW A
WELL-DEFINED DEEP-LAYERED MOISTURE SURGE EXTENDING FROM THE
TROPICS NWD TO ABOUT 21N EVEN THOUGH THERE IS VERY LITTLE
SIGNATURE IN CONVECTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. A SMALL INFLECTION
IS NOTED WITHIN THE ITCZ AND ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS
CONCENTRATED ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS ITSELF.
LOW-LATITUDE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 44W/45W S OF 8N...ABOUT 450 NM
E OF FRENCH GUIANA...MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS CONTINUED TO
BECOME MORE WELL-DEFINED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS...SPECIFICALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MOISTURE FIELD. IT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA BY THIS TIME
TOMORROW AND WILL LIKELY INCREASE TSTM COVERAGE OVER THE GUIANAS
OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY
WITHIN THE ITCZ.

At each round right now they are at least defined twave
AN UPPER HIGH IS LOCATED FARTHER S NEAR THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS AND IS PULLING SOME UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE
TROPICS BACK TOWARDS AFRICA. HOWEVER...DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS
SCANT E OF 60W AND THUS ALL DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO THE
ITCZ. :wink: :cheesy: 8-)
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#159 Postby Gustywind » Fri May 30, 2008 7:59 am

000
AXNT20 KNHC 301157
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W/34W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT.
MIMIC-TPW SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED DEEP-LAYERED MOISTURE SURGE
EXTENDING FROM THE TROPICS NWD TO ABOUT 16N EVEN WITH A WEAK
SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANY CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATED
ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS AND FURTHER SOUTH.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W S OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS
POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON MIMIC-TPW. THE WAVE IS AT A VERY
LOW AMPLITUDE AND SO EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ...SATELLITE
SIGNATURE IS INDISCERNIBLE. ANY CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATED ALONG
THE ITCZ AXIS.
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#160 Postby KWT » Fri May 30, 2008 12:13 pm

Indeed Gusty as you said in another post above it seems like every update there is at least one fairly well defined wave, even though this update appears to be against that idea!
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