Severe weather outbreak - May 29-31

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Re:

#221 Postby Category 5 » Thu May 29, 2008 10:58 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:That could easily be an EF4 or EF5 tornado on the ground...


I wouldn't jump to that conclusion without daylight. We didn't know how bad Greensburg was until the sun came up. Reports are indicating a violent tornado, but I want to see it lit up first.
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#222 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 29, 2008 10:59 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1054 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

KSC157-300415-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-080530T0415Z/
REPUBLIC-
1054 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT
FOR REPUBLIC COUNTY...

AT 1050 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NARKA TO BELLEVILLE TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORWAY...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF CONCORDIA TO 20 MILES NORTH OF
CONCORDIA TO 12 MILES WEST OF CONCORDIA...MOVING EAST AT 54 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BELLEVILLE...COURTLAND...SCANDIA...NORWAY...NARKA...CUBA AND AGENDA.

STRONG DAMAGING WINDS GREATER THAN 60 MPH WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM.
FOR YOUR SAFETY MOVE INDOORS NOW...AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OF 80 MPH OR GREATER MAY OCCUR WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM. WINDS IN EXCESS CAN PRODUCE AS MUCH DAMAGE AS A
TORNADO...TAKE COVER NOW.


THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO REPUBLIC COUNTY FROM THE
WEST.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 4000 9736 3965 9737 3965 9782 3965 9792
4000 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0354Z 252DEG 47KT 4017 9755 3988 9757
3963 9782

$$

CAVANAUGH
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#223 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 29, 2008 10:59 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:10:45 but the hook seems to be merging into the bow...


What happens when it does this ?
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#224 Postby Category 5 » Thu May 29, 2008 11:01 pm

Bunkertor wrote:
Ed Mahmoud wrote:10:45 but the hook seems to be merging into the bow...


What happens when it does this ?


Hopefully the cell becomes absorbed and I can go to bed.
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#225 Postby RL3AO » Thu May 29, 2008 11:01 pm

Base velocity is showing some 65-70 kt winds at 4500 ft with the bow echo in Republic County.
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#226 Postby Category 5 » Thu May 29, 2008 11:02 pm

This line may have hurt Fairbury, by turning the cell into them.
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#227 Postby btangy » Thu May 29, 2008 11:06 pm

Nasty looking cell approaching NW side of Des Moines...

The National Weather Service in Des Moines has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
northern Dallas County in central Iowa...

* until 1130 PM CDT.

* At 1050 PM CDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 11 miles south
of Dawson... or 36 miles west of Des Moines... moving east at 43 mph.

* The tornado will be near...
Minburn... Perry and Dallas Center by 1110 PM CDT...
Bouton by 1115 PM CDT...
Woodward by 1120 PM CDT...
Granger by 1125 PM CDT...
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#228 Postby Category 5 » Thu May 29, 2008 11:08 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1105 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

NEC067-095-151-300430-
/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080530T0430Z/
SALINE NE-GAGE NE-JEFFERSON NE-
1105 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
JEFFERSON...NORTHWESTERN GAGE AND SALINE COUNTIES...

AT 1102 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AND
STORM SPOTTERS CONFIRM A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR
JANSEN...OR 19 MILES WEST OF BEATRICE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 37 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...WESTERN...SWANTON...PLYMOUTH...DE
WITT...WILBER AND CLATONIA.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. IF
YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4017 9729 4062 9729 4056 9691 4053 9690
4052 9687 4032 9674 4011 9713
TIME...MOT...LOC 0405Z 230DEG 32KT 4026 9707

$$

MAYES/CZ
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#229 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 29, 2008 11:14 pm

That beast has been on the ground for like 3 hours...
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#230 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 29, 2008 11:14 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1112 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

NEC067-095-151-300430-
/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080530T0430Z/
SALINE NE-GAGE NE-JEFFERSON NE-
1112 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...WEST CENTRAL GAGE AND SOUTHEASTERN SALINE
COUNTIES...

AT 1111 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AND
STORM SPOTTERS CONFIRM A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR
PLYMOUTH...OR 12 MILES WEST OF BEATRICE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 48 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...PLYMOUTH...NORTH OF HARBINE...RURAL
WESTERN GAGE COUNTY...DE WITT.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. IF
YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#231 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu May 29, 2008 11:17 pm

:uarrow:

Omaha radar still shows a couplet, but maybe not as impressive as a few minutes ago. Headed in general direction Beatrice.
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#232 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 29, 2008 11:19 pm

*OT* Oh no, now 2" hail over here.
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Re:

#233 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu May 29, 2008 11:20 pm

Bunkertor wrote:*OT* Oh no, now 2" hail over here.



Not really OT, thread title just has severe and a date period.

The 5 cm hail is falling in Hamburg?
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#234 Postby btangy » Thu May 29, 2008 11:22 pm

Beatrice is a relatively large town (pop: 12,921). I agree that the rotational couplet is decreasing in intensity, but there still could be a significant tornado on the ground. Now it is rain wrapped and well after dark so it remains a very dangerous situation.
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#235 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 29, 2008 11:24 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1116 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

NEC025-109-131-153-155-159-300445-
/O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0069.000000T0000Z-080530T0445Z/
SARPY NE-CASS NE-SAUNDERS NE-OTOE NE-LANCASTER NE-SEWARD NE-
1116 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN SEWARD...NORTHERN LANCASTER...NORTHWESTERN OTOE...EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN SAUNDERS...CASS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN SARPY
COUNTIES...

AT 1115 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM
LINCOLN TO SYRACUSE AND WEEPING WATER. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORTED AREAS OF DAMAGE AND SEMI TRUCKS BLOWN OFF THE ROAD IN THIS
AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR WEEPING WATER.
STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OUTSIDE OF THE STORMS BOTH WEST OF LINCOLN AND
ALSO NORTHEAST OF THE STRONGER STORMS NEAR PLATTSMOUTH. THE STORMS
WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH BUT REDEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHWEST.

BESIDES STRONG WINDS VERY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY IN THIS ACTIVITY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...SOUTH BEND...LOUISVILLE...MURRAY AND
PLATTSMOUTH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4079 9723 4104 9707 4103 9588 4062 9599
TIME...MOT...LOC 0416Z 220DEG 45KT 4110 9680 4095 9610

$$

CHERMOK
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Re: Re:

#236 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 29, 2008 11:25 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:
Bunkertor wrote:*OT* Oh no, now 2" hail over here.


Not really OT, thread title just has severe and a date period.

The 5 cm hail is falling in Hamburg?


No, not in Hamburg, near Cologne / Düsseldorf. The cell was travelling from the swiss border to the north throughout the night and finally delivered...reports from skywarn and UWZ.

It carried violett warnings the whole time which is little under MDT in U.S 4 unconfirmed tornado reports, yet.
Last edited by Bunkertor on Thu May 29, 2008 11:28 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#237 Postby Category 5 » Thu May 29, 2008 11:25 pm

NA NA NA NA, NA NA NA NA, HEY HEY HEY, GOODBYE!



SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1120 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

NEC067-095-300430-
/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080530T0430Z/
GAGE NE-JEFFERSON NE-
1120 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND WEST CENTRAL GAGE COUNTIES...

AT 1115 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME WEST CENTRAL GAGE COUNTY...OR 8 MILES
WEST OF BEATRICE...MOVING EAST AT 44 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4034 9698 4035 9696 4035 9691 4038 9691
4043 9681 4034 9676 4034 9675 4032 9674
4022 9692
TIME...MOT...LOC 0420Z 251DEG 38KT 4026 9684

$$

MAYES/CZ
Last edited by Category 5 on Thu May 29, 2008 11:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#238 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu May 29, 2008 11:25 pm

btangy wrote:Beatrice is a relatively large town (pop: 12,921). I agree that the rotational couplet is decreasing in intensity, but there still could be a significant tornado on the ground. Now it is rain wrapped and well after dark so it remains a very dangerous situation.


Latest warning says it is West of Beatrice, and moving East, but says mainly rural areas will be effected. Not quite sure of that reasoning.


/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080530T0430Z/
GAGE NE-JEFFERSON NE-
1120 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND WEST CENTRAL GAGE COUNTIES...

AT 1115 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME WEST CENTRAL GAGE COUNTY...OR 8 MILES
WEST OF BEATRICE...MOVING EAST AT 44 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY.



I guess, technically, the 'otherwise' means they are including Beatrice, but usually warnings are more explicit.
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#239 Postby Category 5 » Thu May 29, 2008 11:27 pm

It appears to be fully merging into the line, signs of rotation are starting to diminish.
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Re: Next severe outbreak - May 29-31 - Overnight derecho?

#240 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu May 29, 2008 11:31 pm

Category 5 wrote:It appears to be fully merging into the line, signs of rotation are starting to diminish.



But a small, but impressive, bow is starting to head for Beatrice. Wind damage seems probable, and a tornado may still be on the Northern tip of that bow, from viewing NWS radar without any cool software.


One of these days, maybe for the 2009 season, I might look into that...
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