Development in Northwest Caribbean?

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Meso
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#21 Postby Meso » Sun Jun 01, 2008 2:08 pm

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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#22 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jun 01, 2008 2:13 pm

Well PP...unless I circled it for you, I dont know another way to show you..a "low" can be closed or not..the cmc closes it while the nogaps is in the process of closing it off if you look at the run..but keep looking as you say and you might be able to find something :wink:
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#23 Postby boca » Sun Jun 01, 2008 2:40 pm

Whatever vorticity is left in the NW Caribbean looks like it lessened over the last few hours and has moved inland.I don't feel that confident that something will develop down there anymore.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg
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#24 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 01, 2008 4:20 pm

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#25 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 01, 2008 4:28 pm

I still see some kind of broad cyclonic turning just NE of Belize. Does anybody see something in this area?

Here is a visible loop showing this turning:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 01, 2008 4:48 pm

If you ask me, the area looks very disturbed.
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#27 Postby stormy1970al » Sun Jun 01, 2008 5:21 pm

I think it bears watching. I know we need the rain in South Alabama badly along with neighboring States.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#28 Postby Innotech » Sun Jun 01, 2008 5:31 pm

Important question:

My family is tasking a week long vacation at GRand Isle as I stated earlier, from June 8-15. Will this disturbance cause rough seas in the Gulf close to shore? They plan on doing some deep sea fishing and I really have to come up with a decision to spend 100 on the charter or not. If seas are really rough, I dont feel very comfortable with going out there.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#29 Postby TheShrimper » Sun Jun 01, 2008 6:45 pm

Innotech, if you are spending only 100.00 for the charter, I wouldn't let him take y'all out in that canoe. Charters now down in the Keys are running between 1200.00- 1600.00, depending on the captain and the boats history. 100.00 ain't getting you out in the channel, unless your kayaking.
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#30 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Jun 01, 2008 6:54 pm

It appears** that there is some sort of spin near cozomel. More than likely something in the midlevels, but there is still a very nice upper anticyclone above this area.
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Re:

#31 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jun 01, 2008 6:57 pm

deltadog03 wrote:It appears** that there is some sort of spin near cozomel. More than likely something in the midlevels, but there is still a very nice upper anticyclone above this area.


Ya Chris..broad spin over the entire area..something may try to spin up..looks like a back and forth game between the EPAC and Atlantic..your turn, my turn kind of game...Very odd setup that I dont remember happening.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#32 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jun 01, 2008 7:21 pm

18z GFS develops another tropical storm off the Belize coast in a week and goes north into the Gulf...a lot of models jumping on board to a storm in the Gulf,,,

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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#33 Postby americanrebel » Sun Jun 01, 2008 7:30 pm

TheShrimper wrote:Innotech, if you are spending only 100.00 for the charter, I wouldn't let him take y'all out in that canoe. Charters now down in the Keys are running between 1200.00- 1600.00, depending on the captain and the boats history. 100.00 ain't getting you out in the channel, unless your kayaking.



There is a difference between The Keys and South Louisiana. Our cost of living is way lower than in the Keys. A house that cost a million dollars in the Keys cost about 1/5th of that here. $100 sounds about right for a charter here in Louisiana, it might be only for about 4 hours though.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#34 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Jun 01, 2008 8:09 pm

americanrebel wrote:
TheShrimper wrote:Innotech, if you are spending only 100.00 for the charter, I wouldn't let him take y'all out in that canoe. Charters now down in the Keys are running between 1200.00- 1600.00, depending on the captain and the boats history. 100.00 ain't getting you out in the channel, unless your kayaking.



There is a difference between The Keys and South Louisiana. Our cost of living is way lower than in the Keys. A house that cost a million dollars in the Keys cost about 1/5th of that here. $100 sounds about right for a charter here in Louisiana, it might be only for about 4 hours though.


Bingo :lol: It was that way in the Keys during 2005.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#35 Postby stormy1970al » Sun Jun 01, 2008 8:38 pm

I am pretty close to LA (AL) and charters with a number of people on them can be anywhere from $4800 for 12 people to $6800. Plus you need to also put away a portion for the deckhands tip.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#36 Postby TheShrimper » Sun Jun 01, 2008 8:49 pm

I don't care where the charter is. If you are taking out a 42 ft. Hatteras, it ain't running on air. Deisel down here is over 5.00/ Gal. and I don't reckon it's too much less up there. And I did forget about tipping the first mate, that's another 2 or 3 C-Notes. Now if you are on a head/party boat with another 20-30 people, yeh you could get in for that. But that Hatteras ain't leaving the dock for a hundred dollars.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#37 Postby HarlequinBoy » Sun Jun 01, 2008 8:55 pm

Ivanhater wrote:18z GFS develops another tropical storm off the Belize coast in a week and goes north into the Gulf...a lot of models jumping on board to a storm in the Gulf,,,

Image


Believe it or not my local AFD had mentioned a disturbance in the Gulf.

GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN
OPEN BUT RATHER HIGH AMPLITUDE LONG WAVE TROF OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS ON THURSDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL LIFT INTO THE MID AND
UPPER MS RIVER VALLEYS ON FRIDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
FRONT STALLING NEAR OR JUST WEST OF THE MIDSOUTH. THEREAFTER...
THE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT RIDGE BUILDS BACK NORTH...THIS TIME OVER
THE SOUTHEAST STATES. BOTH MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HINT AT A TROPICAL
SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO 8 TO 10 DAYS OUT.
TOO EARLY TO TELL AT THIS TIME...BUT IS INTERESTING NONETHELESS.
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#38 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Jun 01, 2008 8:57 pm

Shrimper, his family could be chartering a smaller boat that only takes 5 or 6 people. A lot of guides in this region run about $400-$500 per group based on 4 or more people. That equals to $100 for his share. We have tons of charter services that will take you out fishing for that amount of money here.
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#39 Postby stormy1970al » Sun Jun 01, 2008 10:35 pm

From one of our local news here in the Mobile area.

http://www.nbc15online.com/news/local/s ... d5cf4e9fb2

A frontal boundary in our region will help trigger some afternoon showers and storms for the start of our workweek. The rain is welcomed as both Mobile and Pensacola have a deficit in the rainfall department. Everyone won't see rain, but the showers will be scattered...so make sure to take the umbrellas. Highs on Monday will soar back into the low 90s.

Much of the week will remain hot...but the end of this upcoming week brings slighly cooler temps into the upper 80s. The cool down is courtesy of rain that is forecast to move inland from the Gulf.

We are in Hurricane Season....so make sure to have your hurricane supply kit ready.

Take Care,

NBC 15 Meteorologist Deitra Tate
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Re: Development in Northwest Caribbean?

#40 Postby Innotech » Sun Jun 01, 2008 11:57 pm

TheShrimper wrote:Innotech, if you are spending only 100.00 for the charter, I wouldn't let him take y'all out in that canoe. Charters now down in the Keys are running between 1200.00- 1600.00, depending on the captain and the boats history. 100.00 ain't getting you out in the channel, unless your kayaking.

sorry, its a 500$ Charter (100 per person). and its not the Keys. Grand Isle is a much cheaper place to charter.
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