310
WFUS51 KILN 040040
TORILN
OHC027-040130-
/O.NEW.KILN.TO.W.0016.080604T0040Z-080604T0130Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
840 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CLINTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...
* UNTIL 930 PM EDT.
* AT 836 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF OGDEN...MOVING EAST AT 31
MPH. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS WERE RECEIVED AS THIS STORM
PASSED THROUGH SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY AND GREENE COUNTIES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILMINGTON... http://www.whiotv.com/video/15178118/index.html
NEW VIENNA...
SABINA...
June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
FAR NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 840 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
LAFAYETTE INDIANA TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ATHENS OHIO. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 435...WW 437...WW
438...WW 439...WW 440...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ALONG/N OF AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ACROSS CNTRL IND AND SRN OH EARLY THIS EVENING WHERE
PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WAS MAXIMIZED. AIR MASS IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RECOVER THROUGH THE EVENING AND GIVEN MLCAPES
OF AROUND 2000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE VERTICAL SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 60
KTS...SUPERCELL STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. ADDITIONALLY...GIVEN
PRESENCE OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND MOIST LOW-LEVEL PROFILES...A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL AND
DMGG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...RACY/THOMPSON
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
FAR NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 840 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
LAFAYETTE INDIANA TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ATHENS OHIO. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 435...WW 437...WW
438...WW 439...WW 440...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ALONG/N OF AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ACROSS CNTRL IND AND SRN OH EARLY THIS EVENING WHERE
PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WAS MAXIMIZED. AIR MASS IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RECOVER THROUGH THE EVENING AND GIVEN MLCAPES
OF AROUND 2000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE VERTICAL SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 60
KTS...SUPERCELL STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. ADDITIONALLY...GIVEN
PRESENCE OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND MOIST LOW-LEVEL PROFILES...A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL AND
DMGG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...RACY/THOMPSON
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
FAR NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 840 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EDT.
good call, considering sern Ohio is probably going to get waves of supercells.
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Re: June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
Judging by NWS radar, it appears there is a hail core and couplet crossing from Indiana to Ohio. Wonder if there's been a sighting...
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SPC issued a severe thunderstorm warning for the U.S.
Just in the moment, polls closed in SD. A quite uncommon way to praise the democratic nominee.
0 likes
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: SPC issued a severe thunderstorm warning for the U.S.
Bunkertor wrote:Just in the moment, polls closed in SD. A quite uncommon way to praise the democratic nominee.
Warnings for 95% of the US (and since when does the NWS have jurisdiction over Canada and Mexico?) in that gaffe...
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Re: SPC issued a severe thunderstorm warning for the U.S.
CrazyC83 wrote:Bunkertor wrote:Just in the moment, polls closed in SD. A quite uncommon way to praise the democratic nominee.
Warnings for 95% of the US (and since when does the NWS have jurisdiction over Canada and Mexico?) in that gaffe...
I don't think the area is hatched.
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Re: June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
Time for me to start thinking about a safety plan tonight.
------------
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
805 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTHERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT.
* AT 805 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NIANTIC...OR ABOUT 17 MILES WEST OF DECATUR...MOVING
EAST AT 26 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NIANTIC... HARRISTOWN... WARRENSBURG... DECATUR...
MOUNT ZION... FORSYTH... LONG CREEK... OREANA...
------------
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
805 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTHERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT.
* AT 805 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NIANTIC...OR ABOUT 17 MILES WEST OF DECATUR...MOVING
EAST AT 26 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NIANTIC... HARRISTOWN... WARRENSBURG... DECATUR...
MOUNT ZION... FORSYTH... LONG CREEK... OREANA...
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Re: June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
Supercells are popping up going westward in Indiana. I bet the region between ILX and Indy is going to fill in rather quickly.
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Category 5
- Category 5
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- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
- Location: New Brunswick, NJ
- Contact:
Re: June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
Confusing language.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
906 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
VAC041-087-040115-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080604T0115Z/
CHESTERFIELD VA-HENRICO VA-
906 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN HENRICO AND EAST CENTRAL CHESTERFIELD COUNTIES...
AT 906 PM EDT...A TORNADO WAS NOT REPORTED. TORNADO WAS INDICATED ON
RADAR NEAR MEADOWVILLE...OR NEAR CHESTER...MOVING EAST AT 34 MPH.
WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3742 7738 3744 7721 3741 7723 3739 7724
3739 7726 3738 7725 3733 7728 3736 7741
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 274DEG 30KT 3739 7732
$$
WAMSLEY
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
906 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
VAC041-087-040115-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080604T0115Z/
CHESTERFIELD VA-HENRICO VA-
906 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN HENRICO AND EAST CENTRAL CHESTERFIELD COUNTIES...
AT 906 PM EDT...A TORNADO WAS NOT REPORTED. TORNADO WAS INDICATED ON
RADAR NEAR MEADOWVILLE...OR NEAR CHESTER...MOVING EAST AT 34 MPH.
WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3742 7738 3744 7721 3741 7723 3739 7724
3739 7726 3738 7725 3733 7728 3736 7741
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 274DEG 30KT 3739 7732
$$
WAMSLEY
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
SPC AC 040059
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008
VALID 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NRN MO...CENTRAL AND
PARTS OF SRN IL...SRN HALF OF IND...SWRN OH AND NRN/NERN KY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...
...SYNOPSIS...
18Z GFS/NAM MAINTAIN LIKELIHOOD FOR FURTHER AMPLIFICATION OF LARGE
SCALE TROUGH ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH...NOW
LOCATED JUST OFF THE WA/ORE COAST...MOVES SEWD WITH ACCOMPANYING
STRONG WNWLY FLOW ALOFT INTO CA/WRN NV. DOWNSTREAM A BAND OF 50-60
KT WSWLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES
THROUGH THE MID MS TO OH VALLEYS.
...OH VALLEY WSWWD TO LOWER MO VALLEY/OZARKS TO SRN PLAINS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER ERN KS EARLY
THIS EVENING WITH THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER OH VALLEY
BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. A SECOND IMPULSE CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS WRN KS/
OK PANHANDLE WILL TRANSLATE EWD TO THE MID MS VALLEY BY LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD. FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THESE IMPULSES WILL
SUPPORT A STRENGTHENING SWLY LLJ EXTENDING FROM THE SRN PLAINS
THROUGH THE OZARKS TO OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION. SURFACE
ANALYSIS INDICATED A LOW OVER NERN KS WITH A BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD
THROUGH NRN MO TO CENTRAL IL AND SRN IND TO NERN KY. ADDITIONAL
BOUNDARIES WERE ANALYZED FROM CENTRAL IL INTO SWRN OH...AND FROM
WEST CENTRAL IL TO NRN IND AND THROUGH LAKE ERIE. ACTIVE CORRIDOR
FOR SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG THE FORMER BOUNDARY THAT
EXTENDED FROM NRN MO THROUGH LOWER OH VALLEY WHERE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS GREATER WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S. THE
IMPULSES TRACKING EWD WILL SUPPORT ONGOING AND NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT
ALONG THIS CORRIDOR THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A TENDENCY FOR CONVECTION
TO BACKBUILD INTO THE LLJ AXIS ACROSS ERN KS TO MID MS VALLEY.
STRENGTHENING LLJ THROUGHOUT THIS REGION BENEATH STRONG WLY MID
LEVEL FLOW WILL MAINTAIN STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL
SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...SOME TORNADIC...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR ONE
OR MORE MCSS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO THE OH VALLEY. ALTHOUGH
DAMAGING WINDS...SOME SIGNIFICANT...AND HAIL WOULD THE PRIMARY
THREATS WITH THE MCSS...STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD ALSO RESULT IN
A CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES WITH ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITHIN
ANY LINE SEGMENTS/BOW STRUCTURES.
FARTHER SW...WRN KS IMPULSE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT ONGOING CLUSTER
OF TSTMS...NOW MOVING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KS/NWRN OK...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY LIKELY ALONG A PAIR OF SURFACE BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING SWWD FROM NERN KS THROUGH CENTRAL/ERN KS INTO FAR NRN OK.
A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER CENTRAL/ERN KS /MLCAPE EXCEEDING 2500
J/KG/...WITH VERY LITTLE CAP SUGGESTS NEW DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR
SWWD FROM ERN KS AND ONGOING STORMS IN SWRN KS/NWRN OK WILL BE
MAINTAINED AS THEY TRACK ENEWD THIS EVENING. VERY LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS ACTIVITY.
...MID ATLANTIC REGION...
A CORRIDOR OF MOISTURE RETURN NWD THROUGH ERN VA TO SERN PA COMBINED
WITH SURFACE HEATING AHEAD OF THE EWD MOVING MCV/SHORT WAVE
TROUGH...NOW APPROACHING THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...HAS AIDED IN
DESTABILIZATION. TSTMS DEVELOPED ALONG THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ZONE/MOISTURE AXIS...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY PEAKING IN INTENSITY FROM
NOW THROUGH ABOUT 02Z. THEREAFTER...BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING/
STABILIZATION SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE BASED ACTIVITY.
A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS MAY REACH PARTS OF PA SWD THROUGH MD TO
NRN VA AS A POTENTIAL MCS DEVELOPING OVER THE OH VALLEY LATER THIS
EVENING/TONIGHT MOVES EWD INTO THIS REGION LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS EWD INTO SRN NEB/NRN KS...
THE MID LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THIS REGION COMBINED WITH A COLLECTIVE
COLD POOL ATTENDANT TO ONGOING CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVER SWRN NEB INTO
WEST CENTRAL KS SHOULD SUPPORT A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS THIS
EVENING. DOWNSTREAM MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
INDICATING STRONG DCAPE VALUES /1200-1800 J/KG/ SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AS THIS ACTIVITY PROGRESSES EWD. LARGE
HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE GIVEN STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND 40 KT SUPPORTIVE OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS.
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NERN CO
LATER THIS EVENING...AS ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A GREAT BASIN SHORT WAVE
TROUGH SPREADS EWD OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD ALSO BE
SEVERE.
..PETERS.. 06/04/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0115Z (9:15PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008
VALID 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NRN MO...CENTRAL AND
PARTS OF SRN IL...SRN HALF OF IND...SWRN OH AND NRN/NERN KY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...
...SYNOPSIS...
18Z GFS/NAM MAINTAIN LIKELIHOOD FOR FURTHER AMPLIFICATION OF LARGE
SCALE TROUGH ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH...NOW
LOCATED JUST OFF THE WA/ORE COAST...MOVES SEWD WITH ACCOMPANYING
STRONG WNWLY FLOW ALOFT INTO CA/WRN NV. DOWNSTREAM A BAND OF 50-60
KT WSWLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES
THROUGH THE MID MS TO OH VALLEYS.
...OH VALLEY WSWWD TO LOWER MO VALLEY/OZARKS TO SRN PLAINS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER ERN KS EARLY
THIS EVENING WITH THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER OH VALLEY
BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. A SECOND IMPULSE CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS WRN KS/
OK PANHANDLE WILL TRANSLATE EWD TO THE MID MS VALLEY BY LATE IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD. FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THESE IMPULSES WILL
SUPPORT A STRENGTHENING SWLY LLJ EXTENDING FROM THE SRN PLAINS
THROUGH THE OZARKS TO OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION. SURFACE
ANALYSIS INDICATED A LOW OVER NERN KS WITH A BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD
THROUGH NRN MO TO CENTRAL IL AND SRN IND TO NERN KY. ADDITIONAL
BOUNDARIES WERE ANALYZED FROM CENTRAL IL INTO SWRN OH...AND FROM
WEST CENTRAL IL TO NRN IND AND THROUGH LAKE ERIE. ACTIVE CORRIDOR
FOR SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG THE FORMER BOUNDARY THAT
EXTENDED FROM NRN MO THROUGH LOWER OH VALLEY WHERE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS GREATER WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S. THE
IMPULSES TRACKING EWD WILL SUPPORT ONGOING AND NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT
ALONG THIS CORRIDOR THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A TENDENCY FOR CONVECTION
TO BACKBUILD INTO THE LLJ AXIS ACROSS ERN KS TO MID MS VALLEY.
STRENGTHENING LLJ THROUGHOUT THIS REGION BENEATH STRONG WLY MID
LEVEL FLOW WILL MAINTAIN STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL
SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...SOME TORNADIC...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR ONE
OR MORE MCSS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO THE OH VALLEY. ALTHOUGH
DAMAGING WINDS...SOME SIGNIFICANT...AND HAIL WOULD THE PRIMARY
THREATS WITH THE MCSS...STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD ALSO RESULT IN
A CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES WITH ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITHIN
ANY LINE SEGMENTS/BOW STRUCTURES.
FARTHER SW...WRN KS IMPULSE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT ONGOING CLUSTER
OF TSTMS...NOW MOVING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KS/NWRN OK...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY LIKELY ALONG A PAIR OF SURFACE BOUNDARIES
EXTENDING SWWD FROM NERN KS THROUGH CENTRAL/ERN KS INTO FAR NRN OK.
A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER CENTRAL/ERN KS /MLCAPE EXCEEDING 2500
J/KG/...WITH VERY LITTLE CAP SUGGESTS NEW DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR
SWWD FROM ERN KS AND ONGOING STORMS IN SWRN KS/NWRN OK WILL BE
MAINTAINED AS THEY TRACK ENEWD THIS EVENING. VERY LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS ACTIVITY.
...MID ATLANTIC REGION...
A CORRIDOR OF MOISTURE RETURN NWD THROUGH ERN VA TO SERN PA COMBINED
WITH SURFACE HEATING AHEAD OF THE EWD MOVING MCV/SHORT WAVE
TROUGH...NOW APPROACHING THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...HAS AIDED IN
DESTABILIZATION. TSTMS DEVELOPED ALONG THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ZONE/MOISTURE AXIS...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY PEAKING IN INTENSITY FROM
NOW THROUGH ABOUT 02Z. THEREAFTER...BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING/
STABILIZATION SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE BASED ACTIVITY.
A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS MAY REACH PARTS OF PA SWD THROUGH MD TO
NRN VA AS A POTENTIAL MCS DEVELOPING OVER THE OH VALLEY LATER THIS
EVENING/TONIGHT MOVES EWD INTO THIS REGION LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS EWD INTO SRN NEB/NRN KS...
THE MID LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THIS REGION COMBINED WITH A COLLECTIVE
COLD POOL ATTENDANT TO ONGOING CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVER SWRN NEB INTO
WEST CENTRAL KS SHOULD SUPPORT A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS THIS
EVENING. DOWNSTREAM MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
INDICATING STRONG DCAPE VALUES /1200-1800 J/KG/ SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AS THIS ACTIVITY PROGRESSES EWD. LARGE
HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE GIVEN STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND 40 KT SUPPORTIVE OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS.
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NERN CO
LATER THIS EVENING...AS ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A GREAT BASIN SHORT WAVE
TROUGH SPREADS EWD OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD ALSO BE
SEVERE.
..PETERS.. 06/04/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0115Z (9:15PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
WUUS53 KICT 040126
SVRICT
KSC173-191-040230-
/O.NEW.KICT.SV.W.0231.080604T0126Z-080604T0230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
826 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
SOUTHERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT.
* AT 823 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES WEST OF ARGONIA TO 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARGONIA TO 15 MILES WEST OF CALDWELL...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
MCCONNELL AIR FORCE BASE...ARGONIA...BELLE PLAINE...CALDWELL...
CLEARWATER...CONWAY SPRINGS...DERBY...GEUDA SPRINGS...HAYSVILLE...
HUNNEWELL...MAYFIELD...MILAN...MULVANE...OAKLAWN...OXFORD...SOUTH
HAVEN...VIOLA...WELLINGTON...SOUTH WICHITA...LAKE AFTON...PERTH...
RIVERDALE...WELLINGTON AIRPORT.
SAFETY INFORMATION FOR THIS WARNING FOLLOWS:
THE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS!
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AVOID USING THE
TELEPHONE OR OTHER ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT...WHILE LIGHTNING IS IN THE
AREA.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.
SVRICT
KSC173-191-040230-
/O.NEW.KICT.SV.W.0231.080604T0126Z-080604T0230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
826 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
SOUTHERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT.
* AT 823 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES WEST OF ARGONIA TO 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARGONIA TO 15 MILES WEST OF CALDWELL...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
MCCONNELL AIR FORCE BASE...ARGONIA...BELLE PLAINE...CALDWELL...
CLEARWATER...CONWAY SPRINGS...DERBY...GEUDA SPRINGS...HAYSVILLE...
HUNNEWELL...MAYFIELD...MILAN...MULVANE...OAKLAWN...OXFORD...SOUTH
HAVEN...VIOLA...WELLINGTON...SOUTH WICHITA...LAKE AFTON...PERTH...
RIVERDALE...WELLINGTON AIRPORT.
SAFETY INFORMATION FOR THIS WARNING FOLLOWS:
THE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS!
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AVOID USING THE
TELEPHONE OR OTHER ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT...WHILE LIGHTNING IS IN THE
AREA.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.
0 likes
-
tomboudreau
- Category 5
- Posts: 1869
- Age: 48
- Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2003 6:07 pm
- Location: Carnegie, PA
- Contact:
Not sure if anyone has posted this link...but I thought I would.
http://www.wunderground.com/tornado/
Shows where all tornado warnings are, where tornadoes have touched down, tornado damage reports, mesoscale cyclones, etc. Just thought I would share.
http://www.wunderground.com/tornado/
Shows where all tornado warnings are, where tornadoes have touched down, tornado damage reports, mesoscale cyclones, etc. Just thought I would share.
Last edited by tomboudreau on Tue Jun 03, 2008 8:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
843 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
EASTERN DE WITT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
PIATT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT.
* AT 843 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 4 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF FORSYTH...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF DECATUR...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 23 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORSYTH... OREANA... ARGENTA... CERRO GORDO... WELDON... MONTICELLO... DE LAND... BEMENT...
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
843 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
EASTERN DE WITT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
PIATT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
* UNTIL 930 PM CDT.
* AT 843 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 4 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF FORSYTH...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF DECATUR...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 23 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORSYTH... OREANA... ARGENTA... CERRO GORDO... WELDON... MONTICELLO... DE LAND... BEMENT...
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1188
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0858 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN KS...NRN/CNTRL MO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 437...
VALID 040158Z - 040330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 437 CONTINUES.
THE NUMBER OF TSTMS AND BACKBUILDING NATURE TO THE LINE ALONG/S OF
I-70/35 NEAR KANSAS CITY HAS BEEN INSTRUMENTAL IN DEVELOPING A COLD
POOL. THIS WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE RISK OF DMGG WINDS/HAIL
DOWNSTREAM IN AREAS BETWEEN I-70 AND ROUTE 50 NEAR/N OF SEDALIA
THROUGH 03Z. FLANKING LINE STORMS WILL RIDE EWD ALONG THE OUTFLOW
FOLLOWING THE LEADING BOW AND TRAINING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
EXIST. ISOLD TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE INTERACTION WITH
BOUNDARIES.
HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT STILL APPEARS TO BE IN NCNTRL/NERN MO INVOF
THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THAT REGION. SUPERCELLS
APPEAR TO BE HAVING A TOUGH TIME SUSTAINING LOW-LEVEL ROTATION...BUT
GIVEN SUNSET/DECREASING LCLS AND INCREASING SLY LLJ...POTENTIAL WILL
STILL EXIST FOR A TORNADO OR TWO.
..RACY.. 06/04/2008
ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...EAX...
38559444 38859479 39429471 40049421 40309301 40279196
39979157 39539156 38899239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0858 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN KS...NRN/CNTRL MO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 437...
VALID 040158Z - 040330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 437 CONTINUES.
THE NUMBER OF TSTMS AND BACKBUILDING NATURE TO THE LINE ALONG/S OF
I-70/35 NEAR KANSAS CITY HAS BEEN INSTRUMENTAL IN DEVELOPING A COLD
POOL. THIS WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE RISK OF DMGG WINDS/HAIL
DOWNSTREAM IN AREAS BETWEEN I-70 AND ROUTE 50 NEAR/N OF SEDALIA
THROUGH 03Z. FLANKING LINE STORMS WILL RIDE EWD ALONG THE OUTFLOW
FOLLOWING THE LEADING BOW AND TRAINING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
EXIST. ISOLD TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE INTERACTION WITH
BOUNDARIES.
HIGHEST TORNADO THREAT STILL APPEARS TO BE IN NCNTRL/NERN MO INVOF
THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THAT REGION. SUPERCELLS
APPEAR TO BE HAVING A TOUGH TIME SUSTAINING LOW-LEVEL ROTATION...BUT
GIVEN SUNSET/DECREASING LCLS AND INCREASING SLY LLJ...POTENTIAL WILL
STILL EXIST FOR A TORNADO OR TWO.
..RACY.. 06/04/2008
ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...EAX...
38559444 38859479 39429471 40049421 40309301 40279196
39979157 39539156 38899239
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Re: June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US
Time to hit the bathtub...
--------------------
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
924 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PIATT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
CENTRAL CHAMPAIGN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT.
* AT 924 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
MONTICELLO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHITE HEATH...
SEYMOUR...
CHAMPAIGN...
SAVOY...
URBANA...
THOMASBORO...
SIDNEY...
--------------------
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
924 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PIATT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
CENTRAL CHAMPAIGN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT.
* AT 924 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
MONTICELLO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHITE HEATH...
SEYMOUR...
CHAMPAIGN...
SAVOY...
URBANA...
THOMASBORO...
SIDNEY...
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