June 2nd 2008: Arthur's Out, Now What?

[liveweatherman]

Invest 91 (Active) seems to be the next..


Significance of Arthur Tropical Storm Arthur never had an official advisory over water. Each advisory was inland and this is the first occurence of this in our database for obvious reasons. In my opinion, the system should have been classified a depression while east of Belize mainly because of the flooding potential. Since I don't know the story, I can't speak ill of the NHC but Arthur should have been classified 12-18 hours earlier. The question is: will the remnants of Arthur serve as a catalyst for another tropical cyclone like Alma? There is a disturbance in the EPAC which I will discuss next. What's next? continue

[Frank2]

Nothing left this morning but a lot of cirrus debris, so, quiet for now...

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh.html

Later, folks...

[stormy1970al]

Just another hot, scorchy day along the Gulf Coast for us with a very slight chance of pop up shower from the heating of the day.

[Category 5]

All we can do is wait now. Remember, it's still early June. Theres plenty to come in the Atlantic, the EPAC, and certainly the WPAC.

[jinftl]

It is June 3....not August 3 or September 3....we could very well have weeks of quiet..dare i even say..even a couple of months of quiet ahead...but certainly seeing as that we have barely made it to the first pitch of the first inning of this season, there is no doubt alot of excitement ahead in time!

[liveweatherman]

There are few tropical waves in the Atlantic..but not expected to develop over 24 hr..
An area of thunderstorms located in the EPAC centered near 10N 101W may bear watching.

Latest Tropical Discussion Here: Atlantic and East Pacific Basin


BASIN OUTLOOK:
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040549
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUN 3 2008

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

WHILE THE LOW PRESSURE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO HAS
WEAKENED...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

-FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

-FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180
NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

[Meso]

And now we play the waiting game :/ .. All models except the CMC don't show any development..Not even the GFS throughout 384 hours.

[Category 5]

And now we play the waiting game :/ .. All models except the CMC don't show any development..Not even the GFS throughout 384 hours.

aka, no models are showing development.

[Patrick99]

We wait. My bet is that something tries to get going near the very end of June or early July, then we wait again until August.

[T-man]

We won't have to wait that long. I suspect a home brew in the 7-10 day range, right down there in the unsettled mess south of these parts. Maybe all it will be is a lot of tropical moisture being drawn north. But at this time of year, a storm is never out of the question. Need a week or so for hostile enviroment to ease on out.

[caribepr]

From the Belizean news blog yesterday...

http://www.belizean.com/national/tropic ... emergency/

[JonathanBelles]

Well after Arthur seems to be Bertha

[Sanibel]

It is cool to see how a potentially significant cyclone wasn't supported by another zone.