I'm back to tracking ULL for excitement

[boca]

There's an ULL at 25N and 67W moving west which might give us a shot at rain early next week before it gets picked up by the westerlies.I think the 3pm calling for thunderstorms is a thing of the past.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

[HURRICANELONNY]

THAT'S FUNNY. THIS MORNINGS FORECAST ABOUT THE ULL WAS TO:http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=MFL&StateCode=FL&SafeCityName=Fort_Lauderdale

[boca]

Yep still tracking the ULL at 25n and 68w moving steadily westward towards Southern Florida can't wait for it to get here. Maybe it will cause enough instability for a shower to last more than 10 seconds.(Yes that was sarcasm).

[feederband]

Yep still tracking the ULL at 25n and 68w moving steadily westward towards Southern Florida can't wait for it to get here. Maybe it will cause enough instability for a shower to last more than 10 seconds.(Yes that was sarcasm).

Well I am going to wishcast it further north...I want it...

[gatorcane]

Yep still tracking the ULL at 25n and 68w moving steadily westward towards Southern Florida can't wait for it to get here. Maybe it will cause enough instability for a shower to last more than 10 seconds.(Yes that was sarcasm).

Rain chances are on the increase, but with a deep easterly flow pattern we are in, not much more can be expected. Look for showers albeit isolated along the coast at night....

NWS Mia snippet:

HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTH FLORIDA WILL THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL
ATLANTIC WATERS MOVES WEST TO NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL BAHAMA
ISLANDS. THIS WILL KEEP THE SURFACE WINDS FROM THE EAST...AND THE
DRIER AIR OVER THE CWA. THE ONLY AREA THAT COULD SEE A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN AREAS OF THE CWA...DUE TO
THE COLLISION OF THE SEA BREEZES. SO WILL HAVE A 20 PERCENT POPS
FOR THE WESTERN AREAS OF THE CWA.

THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST TO NORTHWEST ON
SUNDAY AND BY MONDAY BE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. THERE WILL ALSO BE A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW INTO THE
CWA DURING THIS TIME. THIS WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF THE CWA SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS.
SO HAVE RAISE THE POPS TO CHANCE CAT OVER SOUTH FLORIDA FOR BOTH
DAYS.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

That ULL has a nice spin to it! Some convection too!!
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh.html

[Frank2]

Yes, it's a ULL, all right - thankfully nothing that impressive at the surface, 'else we'd be in trouble, since it's heading this way...

The good news is that it's forecast to bring enough instablility to cause some strong thunderstorms to form across South Florida tomorrow afternoon - hopefully all will be mindful of the lightning hazard, since many seem to ignore that, even when thunder is close by...

[Cyclone1]

If it rains, all will be right again.

If it doesn't rain, all the world will come to an end.

You wish you were as poetic as me.






Shut up, I'm bored.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

haha cyclone
really love that rain!

[Derek Ortt]

Are seeing some shallow convection, but nothing indicative of TT

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

[boca]

I guess one sure way of identifying an ULL transitioning to the surface would be if convection wouldn't decrease at night .Its been decreasing at night and increasing during the day.I'm want this ULL to transition into a depression for a wash out rainy day.We need it in a bad way.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The back side (east side of the low) has a lot of moisture...
I expect this low once it crosses Florida to pull up
the Caribbean moisture and turn up the rainy season over
south florida.

[boca]

The back side (east side of the low) has a lot of moisture...
I expect this low once it crosses Florida to pull up
the Caribbean moisture and turn up the rainy season over
south florida.

That's the stuff I want to hear. That statement is music to my ears.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Just look at the moisture on the SE side of it in Derek's link!
That would be great! It almost looks like an outer band
of a tropical system, but this is not tropical, at least not yet.
I wonder if it could go tropical before moving into southeast Florida
Monday.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Are seeing some shallow convection, but nothing indicative of TT

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

Derek is there any future possibility of tropical development of this low?

[HURAKAN]

From Accuweather.

[boca]

If you see the convection dying down at night it's not going to develop down to the surface,but if it flares up after sunset we really would have something to watch.

[Blown Away]

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT SAT JUN 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WAS STILL LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THE HIGH WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH MONDAY WHILE WEAKENING...AS THE MID TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST
EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMA ISLAND TO MOVE WEST TO NORTHWEST...AND
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA OR CENTRAL FLORIDA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY

[Derek Ortt]

I dont see any development from this at this time

[ncupsscweather]

Chances of this becoming tropical in nature are very slim.