SW Caribbean

[HouTXmetro]

Seems to be a bit of a spin over the Yucatan this evening. Might be an illusion. Need to keep an eye on the SW Carb though......MGC

Iv'e been watching that area all day. Though it was an illusion myself until this evening. Looks like a legit spin to me.

[boca]

The flare up today was due to a tropical wave. Once that wave runs into Central America the convection should die down by tomorrow. The area should flare up again by Sat when that wave approaching the Leewards moves into the Western Caribbean.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 84W S OF 20N MOVING W
15-20 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP LAYERED
MOISTURE. THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION SHOWS THE WAVE ALONG THE MOST
CONCENTRATED MOISTURE SURGE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 12N79W TO INLAND OVER
NICARAGUA NEAR 14N83W.

That was from the tropical weather disscussion from 8:05pm.

[Sanibel]

The one by Nicaragua looks best but it is headed right west for land. The east of Lessers wave is also showing signs of curvature, but both look too early and too thin and too close to shear.

[senorpepr]

[Frank2]

That's a good map - reminds me of my surface map plotting days at the NHC...

[KWT]

I think this area won't be do anything to be honest, maybe the best chance is as the northern part of the wave axis that is helping to form 91L moves into central/western Caribbean.