June 10-15th severe weather thread

[Bunkertor]

Nearly unchanged, but they raised the CAPE forecast

SPC AC 151603

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

VALID 151630Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS ENE INTO THE OH VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE TX/OK PANHANDLE NE
INTO THE GREAT LAKES...

...SYNOPSIS...

ACTIVE SVR WEATHER DAY EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS CONTINUING
PRESENCE OF BROAD UPR RIDGE OVER THE SWRN U.S. AND ELONGATED UPR LOW
IN WRN ONTARIO MAINTAINS SEASONABLY STRONG WNW FLOW FROM THE NRN
PLNS INTO THE GRT LKS/OH VLY.

CORE OF STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SPREAD GRADUALLY ESE FROM THE ERN
DAKOTAS/MN THIS MORNING INTO WI/IA THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OH
VLY/LWR GRT LKS EARLY MONDAY. BUT A SERIES OF SMALLER IMPULSES
WITHIN THIS JET LIKELY WILL STRONGLY GOVERN STORM DEVELOPMENT...IN
CONJUNCTION WITH LOW-LVL HEATING/DESTABILIZATION.

AT LWR LVLS...EXPECT DIFFUSE COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM LK
SUPERIOR SW INTO CNTRL NEB TO BECOME A BIT BETTER DEFINED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...WITH THE FRONT REACHING A LWR MI-NRN MO-CNTRL KS LINE
BY EVENING. HOWEVER...SFC PATTERN LIKELY WILL REMAIN COMPLEX...WITH
SEVERAL CONVERGENCE FEATURES/FRONTAL SURGES AFFECTING THE UPR GRT
LKS...AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES SHUNTING THE EFFECTIVE COLD FRONT SWD
ACROSS IA/IL TODAY...AND SWD ACROSS KS/MO AND OK TONIGHT.

...LWR MO VALLEY TO CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS...
SEVERE MCS HAS DEVELOPED THIS MORNING SERN NE/SWRN IA AND IS
EXPECTED TO GROW UPSCALE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS IT FEEDS OFF A
VERY FAVORABLE WARM SECTOR. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND A VERY MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER COUPLED WITH STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WILL RAISE
MLCAPES TO 4000 J/KG OR HIGHER IN ADVANCE OF THE FORWARD PROPAGATING
MCS INTO ERN KS/MO AND EVENTUALLY NRN OK AND AR. WHILE SUPERCELLS
WILL BE LIKELY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING COLD
POOL...DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. WITH
THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY/LAPSE RATES AND DRY MID LEVELS...POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A DERECHO TYPE EVENT PRODUCING A SWATH OF
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS IT PROGRESSES
S/SEWD THRU ERN KS/WRN MO.

FARTHER W AND S...LOW LVL CONVERGENCE ALONG LEE TROUGH/DRY LINE
SEGMENT MAY ALLOW A FEW UPDRAFTS TO BREACH CAP AND YIELD ISOLD LATE
AFTN STORMS FROM W CNTRL TX NE ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK.
THESE COULD YIELD LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WIND...BUT SHOULD DISSIPATE
AFTER SUNSET.

SMALL MCS DROPPING SWD ERN OK MAY INTENSIFY IN RESPONSE TO HEATING
AS EXISTING COLD POOL INTERACTS WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. REF MCD 1393 FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON
THIS AREA.

..MID MS VLY INTO OH VLY/LWR GRT LKS...
SATELLITE-DERIVED PW DATA SHOW MOISTURE CONTINUING TO SPREAD ENE
INTO THE MID MS/LWR OH VLYS THIS MORNING...PRESUMABLY ALONG MODERATE
WSWLY LLJ. BOUNDARY LYR MOISTURE SHOULD ALSO GRADUALLY INCREASE AS
LOW LVL S-SW WINDS STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF COLD FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
MOVING SE INTO REGION. COMBINATION OF INCREASING MOISTURE WITH SFC
HEATING AND SEASONABLY COOL MID LVL TEMPS /AOB MINUS 12C AT 500
MB/SHOULD YIELD SBCAPE AROUND 2000 J/KG BY MID AFTN FROM NE MO/SE IA
EWD INTO SRN MI/NW OH.

HEATING ALONG/AHEAD OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM REMNANTS OF OVERNIGHT
MCS NOW IN NRN INDIANA...AND/OR ALONG SEGMENTS OF COLD
FRONT...LIKELY TO INITIATE SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF STORMS ALONG
INSTABILITY AXIS. COUPLED WITH INCREASING LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW /WITH SOME DEGREE OF VEERING WITH HEIGHT/...ENVIRONMENT APPEARS
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF ONE OR TWO ADDITIONAL CLUSTERS OF
SUSTAINED STORMS. EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
AND BOWING SEGMENTS COULD YIELD A FEW SWATH OF DMGG WIND...IN
ADDITION TO SVR HAIL AND PERHAPS ISOLD TORNADOES. SIZABLE
TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS COULD ENHANCE DMGG WIND THREAT VIA SUB-CLOUD
EVAPORATIVE COOLING.

ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY SHOULD AFFECT THE REGION THIS AFTN
THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...SOME STORMS LIKELY WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
NIGHT AS UPR JET STREAK DEVELOPS EWD. THE OVERNIGHT STORMS COULD
SPREAD A MORE LIMITED THREAT FOR DMGG WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL E/NE
INTO NW PA/UPSTATE NY EARLY MONDAY.

...UPR MS VLY/UPR GRT LKS...
FAST...SEASONABLY COOL...AND DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...AND THE
PRESENCE OF WEAK FRONTAL SURGES/CONFLUENCE AXES ROTATING AROUND
ONTARIO UPR LOW...WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE SETUP FOR BROKEN BANDS OF
STRONG TO SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF WI...ERN UPR MI AND MUCH OF LWR MI
TODAY. WV LOOP ALSO SHOWS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES ALONG CYCLONIC SIDE
OF UPR JET TO AID IN ASCENT. COUPLED WITH DEEP...UNIDIRECTIONAL
FLOW AND STEEP LOW TO MID LVL LAPSE RATES...EXPECT STORMS TO
ORGANIZE INTO FORWARD-PROPAGATING BANDS. EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF BOTH HIGH WIND AND SVR HAIL. SOME SPOTS COULD
SEE MORE THAN ONE EPISODE OF SVR WEATHER THIS AFTN BEFORE THE STORMS
WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

..NRN HI PLNS...
A NARROW AXIS OF LOW LVL ASCENT SHOULD DEVELOP WITH AFTN HEATING
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF S CNTRL MT AND NRN WY LATER TODAY. GIVEN
PROXIMITY OF UPR JET AND ASSOCIATED COOL AIR ALOFT/FORCING FOR
ASCENT...SETUP MAY YIELD WDLY SCTD AFTN/EVE STORMS THAT COULD YIELD
A FEW SPOTS OF HIGH WIND AND SVR HAIL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

..HALES/BOTHWELL.. 06/15/2008

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1614Z (6:14PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[CrazyC83]

Another watch coming - maybe another PDS?

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1394
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IA...NERN MO AND W CNTRL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 151617Z - 151745Z

STORMS MAY DEVELOP SEWD INTO PARTS OF SERN IA...NERN MO AND W CNTRL
IL. DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. A WW MAY
BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THIS AREA BEFORE 18Z.

MCS EXTENDS FROM S CNTRL IA SWWD THROUGH NWRN MO AND NERN KS. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BUILDING SWD AND SEWD NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE DOWNSTREAM FROM NE MO
INTO SE IA AND WRN IL WITH MLCAPE FROM 2500 TO 3000 J/KG LIKELY AS
TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 80S. MODEST SWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS
VEERING TO NWLY AND INCREASING TO 40 KT IS RESULTING IN 35 TO 40 KT
BULK SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES WITHIN THE MCS.

..DIAL.. 06/15/2008


ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

38869200 40369230 41019281 41279118 39509060

[KWT]

Given the large moderate area and the chances there for severe weather that well be the case crazy...i've got a sneaky feeling we will be busy with warnings sooner or later.

Also going to have to watch for a drecho later overnight I reckon.

[KWT]

Indeed we have severe thunderstorm warnings out now actually:

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
IAC051-151745-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0280.080615T1704Z-080615T1745Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1204 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT.

* AT 1203 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 19 MILES WEST OF
PULASKI...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF LANCASTER...AND MOVING EAST AT
43 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
PULASKI BY 1230 PM CDT...

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN IOWA.

LAT...LON 4074 9264 4069 9219 4060 9219 4059 9220
4060 9238 4059 9239 4059 9251 4059 9265
TIME...MOT...LOC 1704Z 277DEG 38KT 4064 9262

$$

JUNGBLUTH

[snoopj]

I just intersected the beginning of the MCS moving towards the KC area. I had some weird clouds on the leading edge. I'm going to try my best to describe it, but it was almost like the clouds were pushing down and rolling back into themselves at the same time. It was rather surreal looking. We got some wind and I'm sure the rain will be falling soon enough. I just thought it was an interesting looking cloud formation, especially with that rolling effect back into itself.

--j

[Bunkertor]

I just intersected the beginning of the MCS moving towards the KC area. I had some weird clouds on the leading edge. I'm going to try my best to describe it, but it was almost like the clouds were pushing down and rolling back into themselves at the same time. It was rather surreal looking. We got some wind and I'm sure the rain will be falling soon enough. I just thought it was an interesting looking cloud formation, especially with that rolling effect back into itself.

--j

A shelfcloud, i suppose... do you own a Digicam ?

[KWT]

Yeah to be honest that sounds like a shelf cloud or something similar to that.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
118 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

MIC039-135-151745-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-080615T1745Z/
CRAWFORD MI-OSCODA MI-
118 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM EDT
FOR OSCODA AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

AT 115 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR LUZERNE...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MIO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MIO...
MACK LAKE...
MCKINLEY...
FAIRVIEW...

ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEAST CRAWFORD
COUNTY IN SOUTH BRANCH TOWNSHIP...ALSO MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ALL
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DEADLY LIGHTNING. REMAIN INDOORS AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED. IF CAUGHT OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY
FROM TALL OBJECTS AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SHELTER.

LAT...LON 4451 8388 4452 8461 4458 8463 4482 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 1718Z 265DEG 21KT 4456 8427

$$

JPB

[snoopj]

I just intersected the beginning of the MCS moving towards the KC area. I had some weird clouds on the leading edge. I'm going to try my best to describe it, but it was almost like the clouds were pushing down and rolling back into themselves at the same time. It was rather surreal looking. We got some wind and I'm sure the rain will be falling soon enough. I just thought it was an interesting looking cloud formation, especially with that rolling effect back into itself.

--j

A shelfcloud, i suppose... do you own a Digicam ?

The last thing I'm taking shopping with me is a digital camera. I wasn't exactly storm chasing, so, no pictures. Either way, it was almost artistic in the way it moved. I wasn't the only one in the parking lot that stopped and looked at it.

After reading about a shelf cloud, I'm inclined to call it one as well. We just had the gust front pass as I was standing in line for the check out.

-j

[KWT]

Ah well it still sounds cool to watch!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1238 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

MOC197-151748-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0164.000000T0000Z-080615T1745Z/
SCHUYLER MO-
1238 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN SCHUYLER COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1245 PM CDT...

AT 1236 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 4059 9234 4041 9235 4040 9236 4046 9259
4060 9267 4060 9277 4060 9253 4061 9252
4061 9236
TIME...MOT...LOC 1738Z 283DEG 43KT 4049 9221

$$

2

[KWT]

Well no tornado warnings out yet those are probably a couple of hours away yet I suspect but we are still getting quite a few severe thunderstorm warnings coming out here is just one of em:

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
MOC185-151930-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0359.080615T1825Z-080615T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
125 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

* AT 120 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR MONEGAW SPRINGS...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF
EL DORADO SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 29 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
OSCEOLA AND LOWRY CITY BY 145 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF MONEGAW SPRINGS...VISTA...ICONIUM AND HARPER ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3821 9352 3795 9352 3792 9353 3794 9393
3804 9397 3820 9379 3821 9364 3821 9358
3822 9358 3822 9353
TIME...MOT...LOC 1825Z 256DEG 25KT 3803 9387

$$

WISE

[CrazyC83]

Might be time for editing: 80 mph does not make a PDS watch...

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 542
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS
MUCH OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

EXTREMELY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...LARGE HAIL
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE
IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT
LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 537...WW 539...WW
540...WW 541...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE MCS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP S/SEWD ACROSS ERN
KS/WRN MO. WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND STEEP LAPSE RATES IN
WARM SECTOR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER
WITH POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 32030.


...HALES

[KWT]

Yep not all that surprising to be honest that the PDS has been issued. Main risk does seem to be high winds, maybe suggestive of a later Drecho?

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
223 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

MOC185-151933-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0359.000000T0000Z-080615T1930Z/
ST. CLAIR MO-
223 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 230 PM CDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS EXITING THE WARNED AREA...
THUS THE WARNING IS BEING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3820 9352 3795 9352 3792 9353 3793 9370
3820 9374 3821 9364 3821 9358 3822 9357
3822 9353
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 261DEG 23KT 3804 9347

$$

WISE

[CrazyC83]

Yeah they are thinking that a derecho will develop, either from this rather weak bow echo (certainly no derecho) or something new from the west (which is just waiting to develop).

I'm trying to figure out the last time there were multiple PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watches issued on the same day. I know it hasn't happened since at least 2003, but the record for most in a single day (that I can find) is 4 on July 8, 2001.

http://w1.spc.woc.noaa.gov/exper/archiv ... tches.html

[KWT]

I suspect it will be a new line that will develop from the west but who knows!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
234 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

NEC147-152000-
/O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0220.000000T0000Z-080615T2000Z/
RICHARDSON NE-
234 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN RICHARDSON COUNTY...

AT 229 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF RULO...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST
OF FALLS CITY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A
STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS.

LAT...LON 4000 9558 4024 9552 4024 9548 4018 9546
4012 9538 4009 9538 4007 9541 4004 9540
4002 9533 4000 9531 3999 9532
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 283DEG 49KT 4013 9538

$$

GRIFFIS

[CrazyC83]

The old bow echo has split up - half of it has turned east through Illinois and towards Indiana, and the rest is continuing south.

[CrazyC83]

TORNADO WARNING
KSC089-123-141-183-152015-
/O.NEW.KGID.TO.W.0075.080615T1938Z-080615T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
238 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 234 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HARLAN...OR 33 MILES NORTHWEST OF BELOIT...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTY AT 250 PM CDT
RURAL SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL COUNTY AT 300 PM CDT
RURAL NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

LAT...LON 3979 9829 3949 9847 3962 9881 3986 9872
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 299DEG 18KT 3965 9864

$$

BRYANT

[KWT]

Thats interesting we may need to watch for possibly severe weather later on where the system has split I wonder?

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC001-007-019-107-152030-
/O.NEW.KJAX.SV.W.0209.080615T1940Z-080615T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
340 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN ALACHUA COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA
SOUTHEASTERN BRADFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA
SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA
NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT

* AT 340 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MELROSE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 26 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAKE
GENEVA AND KINGSLEY.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3005 8201 2990 8176 2967 8203 2973 8217
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 211DEG 23KT 2975 8207

$$

SHULER

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
246 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

MOC015-152000-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-080615T2000Z/
BENTON MO-
246 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR BENTON COUNTY...

AT 244 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR WARSAW...MOVING EAST AT 32 MPH. THIS STORM
IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 70
MPH...CAUSING DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER POLES IN COLE CAMP.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF BENTON
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF EDMONSON...LAKEVIEW HEIGHTS...ZORA
AND HASTAIN.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF
THIS STORM CAN EXPECT DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAPABLE OF
CAUSING DAMAGE TO PROPERTY AND UPROOTING LARGE TREES. SEEK SHELTER
INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3839 9308 3815 9308 3823 9353 3843 9352
3851 9352 3852 9351 3851 9329 3853 9328
3854 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 267DEG 28KT 3827 9332

$$

WISE

[Bunkertor]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
250 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

KSC089-123-141-183-152015-
/O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0075.000000T0000Z-080615T2015Z/
SMITH KS-JEWELL KS-OSBORNE KS-MITCHELL KS-
250 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE...SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL
AND SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTIES...

AT 246 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN SMITH
COUNTY...OR 29 MILES WEST OF BELOIT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTY AT 300 PM CDT
RURAL SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL COUNTY AT 300 PM CDT
RURAL NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTY AT 300 PM CDT
RURAL NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3950 9849 3951 9850 3957 9863 3962 9873
3979 9865 3973 9834 3949 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 302DEG 17KT 3961 9859

$$

[KWT]

Looks like the 1st tornado warning then Bunkertor...


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
MOC085-185-152100-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0363.080615T1953Z-080615T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
253 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHWESTERN HICKORY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT.

* AT 249 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOWRY CITY...OR 15 MILES WEST OF WARSAW...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
7 MILES NORTHEAST OF OSCEOLA BY 300 PM CDT.
WEAUBLEAU BY 320 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF ICONIUM...HARPER AND GERSTER ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF
THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3822 9353 3786 9347 3783 9380 3816 9389
3821 9375 3821 9368 3821 9367 3821 9358
3822 9357
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 332DEG 35KT 3814 9361

$$
CLAYCOMB