'08 to repeat same scenario as '07?

[ftolmsteen]

I know it's early, but it looks like the Bermuda high is dominating the western atlantic and over FL and a portion of the eastern GOM just as it did for most of the season in '07 keeping everything south and to slam into the Yucatan.

[hurricanetrack]

It's early. You said it best. What the Bermuda High is doing come late August is anyone's guess. You could be spot on or it could shift just enough to allow for lots-o-storms in to the USA and surrounding island nations. Just gotta wait and see.

[Recurve]

sheer and a parked high are welcome at this point in the season still...rather than TSs bubbling up here this early.

If the high stays strong and sheer kills development in the west Atlantic, I'll breathe a sigh of relief for Florida. But who knows?

[boca]

I'll take depressions and weak tropical storms all day long as long as it helps out our long term drought for Florida.

[KWT]

If it holds, of course a big IF but that could end up being bad for the US...the reason is the waves have been gaining latitude in the mid-Atlantic over the last week, the mid-Atlantic wave was upto about 13-14N by 50-55W. By the summer waves will be exiting around that latitude and only get further north which will mean if the mean ridge holds there then its going to steers everything very close to the US and we'd be treading a fine rope as to where the mean through sets up IMO

[MiamiensisWx]

I know it's early, but it looks like the Bermuda high is dominating the western atlantic and over FL and a portion of the eastern GOM just as it did for most of the season in '07 keeping everything south and to slam into the Yucatan.

Do you have any certifiable evidence to support your assertion?

In fact, the H5 pattern has been the opposite of your description, with a ridge over the Southwest and a trough in the Midwest/Northeast. The subtropical ridge is displaced toward the Azores.

[Ed Mahmoud]

The next post on this thread rocks, or somehow I stuttered hitting 'post'.

[Ed Mahmoud]

It is the first week of Summer. Right now, the continents are warm relative to the oceans, in two months, the continents will be cool relative to the oceans. Things change. June and July are slow months, averaging a little more than one storm a year between them.


Mean trough position, if it doesn't shift, longitudionally, suggests that storms that form could menace the Eastern Gulf Coast, and the East Coast.

[NDG]

This troughiness set up kind of reminds me to 2004, but not exactly.

[Stangfriik]

I'll take depressions and weak tropical storms all day long as long as it helps out our long term drought for Florida.

Exactly what I was thinking. Here in Central Florida, lakes and the St John's which feeds most of them are extremely low.

I remember Lake Monroe here in town that had it's waters flowing over its wall during the '04 storms. Right now, it's at least 5ft below the top if not more.