Central Atlantic / Eastern Atlantic
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 212 PM AST SAT JUN 21 2008/
SYNOPSIS...
THE LATEST TROPICAL WAVE THAT BROUGHT SOME SQUALLS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON FRIDAY IS NOW LOCATED SOUTH OF
HAITI. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC. THIS WILL FORCE THE NEXT AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVE...NOW
LOCATED ROUGHLY 1600 MILES TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO...TO RIDE ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MEANWHILE...LATEST QUIKSCAT
PASS SHOWS CLEARLY DEFINED NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN VORT MAXES OF A NEW
TROPICAL WAVE EXITING THE AFRICAN COAST.
DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST SOUNDING AT TJSJ SHOWS MUCH DRIER AIR IN THE MID- AND
UPPER-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
LATEST EASTERLY WAVE. LATEST AEROSOL OPTICAL THICKNESS TOOLS
INDICATE DECENT AMOUNTS OF SAHARAN DUST IN THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY
CREATING HAZY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS HAZE IS
EXPECTED TO DROP OFF TOMORROW IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LEVEL TUTT
REFLECTION UPSTREAM. THE NEXT AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVE SHOULD PUSH
THROUGH THE LOCAL ISLANDS BY MONDAY MORNING. THE LATEST GFS
GUIDANCE INITIALIZES PROPERLY WITH THE WAVE POSITION AND BOTH THE
GFS AND NAM STAY ON TRACK WITH THE MONDAY MORNING TIMING OF THE
EVENT WITH SPEED MAXES IN THE 700 MB WIND FIELDS...BRINGING
INCREASED MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST FLOW. THAT BEING SAID...EXPECT
INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS WELL AS THE
POSSIBILITY OF GUSTY WINDS FOR MONDAY.
IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...LATEST TIME HEIGHT PLOTS FROM MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGEST MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL DRYING TO TAKE PLACE
BY TUESDAY AND LASTING THROUGH THE NEW MONTH. MODELS BRING
PERIPHERY OF SURFACE HIGH ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC FARTHER
SOUTH...SUGGESTING THAT FUTURE AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVES MAY BE
PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...LIMITING THEIR AFFECTS.
AVIATION...
FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE ALL OF
THE LOCAL TAF SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. VERY BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF PASSING SHOWER ACTIVITY
AFTER 0200Z-0400Z.
MARINE...
WWIII MODEL CONTINUES TO BE VERY AGGRESSIVE IN THE TIMING OF THEa
NEXT TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL AFFECT SEAS SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS THE
REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT SEAS IN THE 6-9 FOOT
RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL WATERS AS THE WAVE PASSES WITH 7-8
SECOND PERIODS. MEANWHILE...WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED WITH THE WAVE
AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 25 KNOTS ON MONDAY. THEREFORE...EXPECT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO BE RAISED FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
FOR MUCH OF THE LOCAL WATERS.
Interresting twave discussion and scenarios ahead....let's see what happens in the next weather forecast.
SYNOPSIS...
THE LATEST TROPICAL WAVE THAT BROUGHT SOME SQUALLS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON FRIDAY IS NOW LOCATED SOUTH OF
HAITI. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC. THIS WILL FORCE THE NEXT AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVE...NOW
LOCATED ROUGHLY 1600 MILES TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO...TO RIDE ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MEANWHILE...LATEST QUIKSCAT
PASS SHOWS CLEARLY DEFINED NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN VORT MAXES OF A NEW
TROPICAL WAVE EXITING THE AFRICAN COAST.
DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST SOUNDING AT TJSJ SHOWS MUCH DRIER AIR IN THE MID- AND
UPPER-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
LATEST EASTERLY WAVE. LATEST AEROSOL OPTICAL THICKNESS TOOLS
INDICATE DECENT AMOUNTS OF SAHARAN DUST IN THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY
CREATING HAZY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS HAZE IS
EXPECTED TO DROP OFF TOMORROW IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LEVEL TUTT
REFLECTION UPSTREAM. THE NEXT AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVE SHOULD PUSH
THROUGH THE LOCAL ISLANDS BY MONDAY MORNING. THE LATEST GFS
GUIDANCE INITIALIZES PROPERLY WITH THE WAVE POSITION AND BOTH THE
GFS AND NAM STAY ON TRACK WITH THE MONDAY MORNING TIMING OF THE
EVENT WITH SPEED MAXES IN THE 700 MB WIND FIELDS...BRINGING
INCREASED MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST FLOW. THAT BEING SAID...EXPECT
INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS WELL AS THE
POSSIBILITY OF GUSTY WINDS FOR MONDAY.
IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...LATEST TIME HEIGHT PLOTS FROM MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGEST MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL DRYING TO TAKE PLACE
BY TUESDAY AND LASTING THROUGH THE NEW MONTH. MODELS BRING
PERIPHERY OF SURFACE HIGH ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC FARTHER
SOUTH...SUGGESTING THAT FUTURE AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVES MAY BE
PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...LIMITING THEIR AFFECTS.
AVIATION...
FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE ALL OF
THE LOCAL TAF SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. VERY BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF PASSING SHOWER ACTIVITY
AFTER 0200Z-0400Z.
MARINE...
WWIII MODEL CONTINUES TO BE VERY AGGRESSIVE IN THE TIMING OF THEa
NEXT TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL AFFECT SEAS SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS THE
REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT SEAS IN THE 6-9 FOOT
RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL WATERS AS THE WAVE PASSES WITH 7-8
SECOND PERIODS. MEANWHILE...WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED WITH THE WAVE
AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 25 KNOTS ON MONDAY. THEREFORE...EXPECT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO BE RAISED FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
FOR MUCH OF THE LOCAL WATERS.
Interresting twave discussion and scenarios ahead....let's see what happens in the next weather forecast.
0 likes
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re:
Gustywind wrote:.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 212 PM AST SAT JUN 21 2008/
SYNOPSIS...
THE LATEST TROPICAL WAVE THAT BROUGHT SOME SQUALLS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON FRIDAY IS NOW LOCATED SOUTH OF
HAITI. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC. THIS WILL FORCE THE NEXT AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVE...NOW
LOCATED ROUGHLY 1600 MILES TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO
RICO...TO RIDE ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MEANWHILE...LATEST QUIKSCAT
PASS SHOWS CLEARLY DEFINED NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN VORT MAXES OF A NEW
TROPICAL WAVE EXITING THE AFRICAN COAST.
DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST SOUNDING AT TJSJ SHOWS MUCH DRIER AIR IN THE MID- AND
UPPER-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
LATEST EASTERLY WAVE. LATEST AEROSOL OPTICAL THICKNESS TOOLS
INDICATE DECENT AMOUNTS OF SAHARAN DUST IN THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY
CREATING HAZY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS HAZE IS
EXPECTED TO DROP OFF TOMORROW IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LEVEL TUTT
REFLECTION UPSTREAM. THE NEXT AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVE SHOULD PUSH
THROUGH THE LOCAL ISLANDS BY MONDAY MORNING. THE LATEST GFS
GUIDANCE INITIALIZES PROPERLY WITH THE WAVE POSITION AND BOTH THE
GFS AND NAM STAY ON TRACK WITH THE MONDAY MORNING TIMING OF THE
EVENT WITH SPEED MAXES IN THE 700 MB WIND FIELDS...BRINGING
INCREASED MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST FLOW. THAT BEING SAID...EXPECT
INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS WELL AS THE
POSSIBILITY OF GUSTY WINDS FOR MONDAY.
IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...LATEST TIME HEIGHT PLOTS FROM MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGEST MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL DRYING TO TAKE PLACE
BY TUESDAY AND LASTING THROUGH THE NEW MONTH. MODELS BRING
PERIPHERY OF SURFACE HIGH ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC FARTHER
SOUTH...SUGGESTING THAT FUTURE AFRICAN EASTERLY WAVES MAY BE
PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...LIMITING THEIR AFFECTS.
AVIATION...
FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE ALL OF
THE LOCAL TAF SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. VERY BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF PASSING SHOWER ACTIVITY
AFTER 0200Z-0400Z.
MARINE...
WWIII MODEL CONTINUES TO BE VERY AGGRESSIVE IN THE TIMING OF THEa
NEXT TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL AFFECT SEAS SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS THE
REGION BY MONDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT SEAS IN THE 6-9 FOOT
RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL WATERS AS THE WAVE PASSES WITH 7-8
SECOND PERIODS. MEANWHILE...WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED WITH THE WAVE
AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 25 KNOTS ON MONDAY. THEREFORE...EXPECT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO BE RAISED FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
FOR MUCH OF THE LOCAL WATERS.
Interresting twave discussion and scenarios ahead....let's see what happens in the next weather forecast.
This was from the AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AWCA82 TJSJ 220934
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
534 AM AST SUN JUN 22 2008
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT.
BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS WERE NOTED ACROSS THE AREA. THE REMOTE
AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION IN SAINT CROIX REPORTED THAT IT HAD
RECEIVED .02 INCHES OVERNIGHT. THE WIND WAS MAINLY FROM THE EAST
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH OR LESS.
A LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE WEST ALLOWING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS TO CONTINUE TO
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY.
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON
MONDAY...WITH MODERATE TO LOCALIZED HEAVY SHOWERS AND SQUALLS TO
AFFECT BOTH LAND AREAS AND THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. A WIND SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR STRONG GUSTY
WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.
AWCA82 TJSJ 220934
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
534 AM AST SUN JUN 22 2008
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT.
BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS WERE NOTED ACROSS THE AREA. THE REMOTE
AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION IN SAINT CROIX REPORTED THAT IT HAD
RECEIVED .02 INCHES OVERNIGHT. THE WIND WAS MAINLY FROM THE EAST
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH OR LESS.
A LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE WEST ALLOWING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS TO CONTINUE TO
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY.
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON
MONDAY...WITH MODERATE TO LOCALIZED HEAVY SHOWERS AND SQUALLS TO
AFFECT BOTH LAND AREAS AND THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. A WIND SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR STRONG GUSTY
WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.
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Re: Tropical Waves Between Lesser Antilles and West Africa
Yep, that's a tropical wave with showers and squalls, all right - "normal" tropical weather for this time of year, though it doesn't mean anything else will form from it...
0 likes
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221047
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W S OF 16N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. BROAD
MID LEVEL INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 225 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS.
..........................................................................
BROAD E/W UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE TROPICAL ATLC FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TO OVER THE E CARIBBEAN ENHANCING THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE AND THE ITCZ.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221047
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W S OF 16N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. BROAD
MID LEVEL INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 225 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS.
..........................................................................
BROAD E/W UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE TROPICAL ATLC FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TO OVER THE E CARIBBEAN ENHANCING THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE AND THE ITCZ.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
Re:
Gustywind wrote:Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221047
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W S OF 16N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. BROAD
MID LEVEL INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
WITHIN 225 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS.
..........................................................................
BROAD E/W UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE TROPICAL ATLC FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TO OVER THE E CARIBBEAN ENHANCING THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE AND THE ITCZ.
Pretty much nothing to see beside a tropical wave on the itcz over the centeral Atlantic. This wave has "zero" percent chance of doing a godforsaken thing over the next 36-48 hours or intil it's into the western Caribbean. Maybe this is the wave the Gfs was hinting at? Still thats 7-8 days off. I would say another 48-60 hours to get into the Eastern Caribbean, and then another 2-3 days to move into the western Caribbean. But in the mean time the tutt and the Sal should kill any chance of development.
0 likes
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145332
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Tropical Waves Between Lesser Antilles and West Africa
Shear is doing its thing with it.
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It has to, Luis! It's my birthday today and we'll all be out on the houseboat celebrating. Notice how it has turned into an amazingly beautiful day from the overcast this morning?? 
Will you be on the beach at midnight? Three x's backward and good luck for the year! Thank you, John the Baptist
Will you be on the beach at midnight? Three x's backward and good luck for the year! Thank you, John the Baptist
0 likes
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145332
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re:
caribepr wrote:It has to, Luis! It's my birthday today and we'll all be out on the houseboat celebrating. Notice how it has turned into an amazingly beautiful day from the overcast this morning??
Will you be on the beach at midnight? Three x's backward and good luck for the year! Thank you, John the Baptist
Congrats and have many more.Go here viewtopic.php?f=10&t=101475 Yes,no dust around today,so blue skies meaning a typical tropical weather day here.Not going on midnight to beach.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AWCA82 TJSJ 221555
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1155 AM AST SUN JUN 22 2008
PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND TERRITORIAL WATERS THIS MORNING. NWS DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWED SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA WATERS MOVING WEST
NORTHWEST AND EXITING THE AREA BY LATE MORNING. THIS LEFT ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS TO MOVE ACROSS NORTH PORTIONS OF THE TERRITORY AND
ADJACENT WATERS BETWEEN 9:30 AND 11 AM. AT 10 AM...THE NOAA CORAL
REEF MONITORING STATION OFF THE MOUTH OF SALT RIVER IN ST CROIX
REPORTED EAST WINDS AT 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 21 KNOTS.
A LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVED ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND
WILL PASS ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THEIR LOCAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THIS WILL LEAVE EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MODEST
MOISTURE TO MOVE ACROSS THE TERRITORY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
LOOK FOR PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS
THE AREA. TYPICAL AFTERNOON RAIN BANDS WILL BECOME WELL DEVELOPED
OFF OF THE LOCAL WEST AND NORTHWEST COASTS.
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS
EARLY ON MONDAY...WITH MODERATE TO LOCALIZED HEAVY SHOWERS AND
SQUALLS TO AFFECT BOTH LAND AREAS AND THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. A
WIND SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.
FOR LOCAL MARINE INTERESTS...NO ACTIVE ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS ARE
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS DUE TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 221555
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1155 AM AST SUN JUN 22 2008
PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND TERRITORIAL WATERS THIS MORNING. NWS DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWED SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA WATERS MOVING WEST
NORTHWEST AND EXITING THE AREA BY LATE MORNING. THIS LEFT ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS TO MOVE ACROSS NORTH PORTIONS OF THE TERRITORY AND
ADJACENT WATERS BETWEEN 9:30 AND 11 AM. AT 10 AM...THE NOAA CORAL
REEF MONITORING STATION OFF THE MOUTH OF SALT RIVER IN ST CROIX
REPORTED EAST WINDS AT 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 21 KNOTS.
A LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVED ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND
WILL PASS ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THEIR LOCAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THIS WILL LEAVE EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MODEST
MOISTURE TO MOVE ACROSS THE TERRITORY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
LOOK FOR PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS
THE AREA. TYPICAL AFTERNOON RAIN BANDS WILL BECOME WELL DEVELOPED
OFF OF THE LOCAL WEST AND NORTHWEST COASTS.
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS
EARLY ON MONDAY...WITH MODERATE TO LOCALIZED HEAVY SHOWERS AND
SQUALLS TO AFFECT BOTH LAND AREAS AND THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. A
WIND SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.
FOR LOCAL MARINE INTERESTS...NO ACTIVE ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS ARE
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS DUE TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS.
$$
0 likes
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AWCA82 TJSJ 222009
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
409 PM AST SUN JUN 22 2008
PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ALONG THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND TERRITORIAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED BANDS AND
LINES OF SHOWERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS MOVED THROUGH THE
TERRITORY...WHILE BRIEF RAINBANDS DEVELOPED OFF OF THE WEST COASTS.
A BROAD LOW LEVEL TROUGH HAS MOVED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
TODAY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST...AND EXIT THE AREA THIS
EVENING. DRIER MORE STABLE AIR WILL BRIEFLY PREVAIL ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT.
A BROAD WIND SURGE WAS ENTERING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND ADJACENT
EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON...OUT AHEAD OF AN ACTIVE TROPICAL
WAVE NEARING 50 WEST. WINDY CONDITIONS...AND SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS WIND SURGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND ADJACENT WATERS JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. SQUALLY...WINDY...AND
UNSETTLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE DAY. STRONG TRADE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
FOR LOCAL MARINE INTERESTS...NO ACTIVE ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS ARE
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT TONIGHT FOR EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS DUE TO INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS.
$$
AWCA82 TJSJ 222009
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
409 PM AST SUN JUN 22 2008
PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ALONG THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND TERRITORIAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED BANDS AND
LINES OF SHOWERS...WITH GUSTY WINDS MOVED THROUGH THE
TERRITORY...WHILE BRIEF RAINBANDS DEVELOPED OFF OF THE WEST COASTS.
A BROAD LOW LEVEL TROUGH HAS MOVED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
TODAY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST...AND EXIT THE AREA THIS
EVENING. DRIER MORE STABLE AIR WILL BRIEFLY PREVAIL ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT.
A BROAD WIND SURGE WAS ENTERING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND ADJACENT
EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON...OUT AHEAD OF AN ACTIVE TROPICAL
WAVE NEARING 50 WEST. WINDY CONDITIONS...AND SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS WIND SURGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND ADJACENT WATERS JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. SQUALLY...WINDY...AND
UNSETTLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE DAY. STRONG TRADE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
FOR LOCAL MARINE INTERESTS...NO ACTIVE ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS ARE
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT TONIGHT FOR EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS DUE TO INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS.
$$
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145332
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Tropical Waves Between Lesser Antilles and West Africa
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W S OF 16N MOVING W NEAR 20-25 KT.
BROAD MID LEVEL INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY. VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
OBSERVED WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN
8N-14N.
http://www.storm2k.org/weather/hw3.php? ... hwvmetric=
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W S OF 16N MOVING W NEAR 20-25 KT.
BROAD MID LEVEL INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY. VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
OBSERVED WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN
8N-14N.
http://www.storm2k.org/weather/hw3.php? ... hwvmetric=
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Ed Mahmoud
Re: Tropical Waves Between Lesser Antilles and West Africa
Nice blob firing up near 40ºW. If it is still there in the morning, I may declare an unofficial stage beige blob watch.
Edit to add: Beige is, of course, a lower unofficial level of blob watching than mauve or taupe.
Edit to add: Beige is, of course, a lower unofficial level of blob watching than mauve or taupe.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 230506
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON JUN 23 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0415 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 54W S OF 18N MOVING W 20-25 KT. WAVE WAS
RELOCATED BASED ON MIMIC-TPC ANIMATION AND BROAD INVERTED-V
SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED
SHOWERS COVER A BROAD AREA FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 50W-61W. THIS
WAVE WILL BE BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE LESSER ANTILLES
DURING THE NIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE WAVE
PASSES.
http://www.meteo.gp/EspacePro/donnees/s ... Tagant.jpg
Right now the wave is approaching our area, i have some scattered lightning, and the thunder is rumbling sometimes, no showers no winds for the moment but the feel that in all this moisture that something will happen because convection has refired during the night... time to finish to write ...cumulonimbus are here it"s raining too
AXNT20 KNHC 230506
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON JUN 23 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0415 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 54W S OF 18N MOVING W 20-25 KT. WAVE WAS
RELOCATED BASED ON MIMIC-TPC ANIMATION AND BROAD INVERTED-V
SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED
SHOWERS COVER A BROAD AREA FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 50W-61W. THIS
WAVE WILL BE BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE LESSER ANTILLES
DURING THE NIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE WAVE
PASSES.
http://www.meteo.gp/EspacePro/donnees/s ... Tagant.jpg
Right now the wave is approaching our area, i have some scattered lightning, and the thunder is rumbling sometimes, no showers no winds for the moment but the feel that in all this moisture that something will happen because convection has refired during the night... time to finish to write ...cumulonimbus are here it"s raining too
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Re: Tropical Waves Between Lesser Antilles and West Africa
Heavy showers and tstorms here in Basse-Terre with this system during the second part of the night; also gusts to 30 kts...
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Re: Tropical Waves Between Lesser Antilles and West Africa
and to cmplete: 2 inches of rain!!!
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