Convection is presisting and shear is not strong ahead

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 6:18 am

Let's wait for the recon this morning to see if it finds a closed circulation under that big blob of convection but I dont see nothing that may suggest a closed one but recon and visible pics will show if there is one or not.The ULL is moving west and out of the caribbean and that will leave favorable conditions in comming days for the system so all GOMERS you will have to watch this closely.

deb_in_nc · #2 Postby **deb_in_nc** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 6:39 am

I'll either spend my 2 week vacation here or in NC. Planning to leave Friday for NC for 2 weeks. May end up spending it here, depending on what this system does. The fishing trip might have to do without me. :cry:

Debbie

Steve H. · #3 Postby **Steve H.** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 6:41 am

Let's get real folks. She's starting to crank now....finally. Conditions look ripe ahead of her. I think they will dubb her Claudette today, and yes they will find a closed circulation. Cheers!!

Guest · #4 Postby **Guest** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 7:04 am

Cheers Steve! I think our Claudette"r" has arrived......teasing and pleasing - thats for sure.

Patricia

ColdFront77 · #5 Postby **ColdFront77** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 2:09 pm

Steve H. wrote:Let's get real folks. She's starting to crank now....finally. Conditions look ripe ahead of her. I think they will dubb her Claudette today, and yes they will find a closed circulation. Cheers!!

A tropical depression is only declared when a closed circulation is found.

Colin · #6 Postby **Colin** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 4:22 pm

It's showtime...does not look like anything will try to weaken Claudette, and wouldn't be surprised to see it strenghthen into a Hurricane in the next day or 2! :o

rainstorm · #7 Postby **rainstorm** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 5:02 pm

not sure. it is still moving way too fast, and it will son get hit with shear. it could open back into a wave.

southerngale · #8 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 5:23 pm

I don't think so rainstorm....JMO

Lindaloo · #9 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 5:39 pm

I agree with Kelly.

Local met here said that it will cross the Yucatan and get into the BOC. Any opinions?

Rainband · #10 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 5:42 pm

Too early to call model runs are from the wave..not initialized properly with a LLC :roll:

Lindaloo · #11 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 5:44 pm

Thanks Johnathan.

Rainband · #12 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 6:08 pm

Lindaloo wrote:Thanks Johnathan.

Your welcome Lindaloo!!!

Colin · #13 Postby **Colin** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 6:52 pm

Anything is possible...can't go with just one situation ATTM.

Rainband · #14 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 7:16 pm

Colin wrote:Anything is possible...can't go with just one situation ATTM.

I agree

ColdFront77 · #15 Postby **ColdFront77** » Tue Jul 08, 2003 8:50 pm

There is some strong shear ahead of Tropical Storm Claudette, but as the upper level low moves away that shear is expected to decrease.

Convection is presisting and shear is not strong ahead

Convection is presisting and shear is not strong ahead

Oh well...

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