TC Bertha

CajunMama · #661 Postby **CajunMama** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:33 am

It's been taken care of. Now back to 92L

Category 5 · #662 Postby **Category 5** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:35 am

Duddy wrote:
Category 5 wrote:
simeon9benjamin wrote:This should be a TD in the morning.

Good now you can support your claims here as well.

Posting outragous claims without any evidence (especially without a disclaimer) is against the rules BTW.

Sorry but I gotta step in.

Saying that a depression of the coast of Texas will become a Cat 5 by morning is an outrageous claim.

Saying a cluster of storms may become a depression within 12 hours is not.

Point taken but don't just say in a one sentence post that this is a TD without any sort of data or facts to back it up.

#663 Postby **brunota2003** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:35 am

Aww...no talking about the Universe too? *pout* xD j/k

Seriously, only 30 minutes until the new TWO comes out!

#664 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:35 am

Thank you!

Aric Dunn · #665 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:36 am

like omg this is so fun

#666 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:37 am

CajunMama wrote:It's been taken care of. Now back to 92L

Thank you!

Duddy · #667 Postby **Duddy** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:38 am

Aric Dunn wrote:like omg this is so fun

How in the WORLD did I live without this board before 2006?!?!?!

Category 5 · #668 Postby **Category 5** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:40 am

brunota2003 wrote:Aww...no talking about the Universe too? *pout* xD j/k

Seriously, only 30 minutes until the new TWO comes out!

This TWO will be very interesting and will hopefully answer some of the speculation on the immediate future of 92L.

Weatherfreak000 · #669 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:43 am

The point is simple here, is that a Tropical Depression? Better chance than not.

But its all for naught if the storm dies immediately after it's classified and after all the terribly organized storms that get bashed here so often I figured that would be obvious.

It's not like we're magicians enchanting the storm to not develop....tomorrow morning at 8 A.M. will provide the short-term answers.

#670 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:45 am

It will probably be very similar to their previous outlook, will probably put "possible tropical development within 24hrs"

#671 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:56 am

8 hrs and counting of continuous deep convection near LLC

#672 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:58 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU JUL 3 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT
200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME TODAY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

#673 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 12:59 am

Aric Dunn · #674 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:00 am

see like omg its just TBE .

#675 Postby **Fego** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:00 am

Just a bit more..

000
AXNT20 KNHC 030556
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU JUL 03 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0530 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE....

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG TROPICAL
WAVE...IS CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED NM SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS NEAR 12N22W...ANALYZED 1009 MB. THIS LOW HAS BEEN
TRACKING W ABOUT 10 KT OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE
CIRCULATION IS WELL DEFINED AND CONVECTION (SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS MODERATE IN NATURE) HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY WITHIN
90-120 NM OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR IT TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME
TODAY.

Category 5 · #676 Postby **Category 5** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:01 am

Now it's a question of when. They might wait for VIS to come up before they make the call. Not sure though.

#677 Postby **NDG** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:01 am

Good chance of being upgraded by 5 AM if not by 11AM at the latest if deep convection continues near LLC, a couple of more hours and the first vis sat pic should come in.

Aric Dunn · #678 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:03 am

you better believe that they are waiting to see if this convection continues its trend..
its 6 hours a going on this current burst.. but the big difference from the other burst is this one is beginning to show some banding features and the intense convection is persisting..

hurricane · #679 Postby **hurricane** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:14 am

Looks like this will be a fish strom going by the computers.

#680 Postby **Fego** » Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:22 am

NDG wrote:Good chance of being upgraded by 5 AM if not by 11AM at the latest if deep convection continues near LLC, a couple of more hours and the first vis sat pic should come in.

Lets say 8:00 a.m or 2:00 p.m. btw I don't like that change from 5-11 to 2-8.

TC Bertha

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Re: INVEST 92L in the Eastern Atlantic

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