TC Bertha

[CrazyC83]

Not at all surprised - I actually predicted this would happen. Looks to be about 90-95 kt now.

[cycloneye]

Cat 2 ,85 kts,974 mbs by ATCF:

AL, 02, 2008070918, , BEST, 0, 245N, 578W, 85, 974, HU, 64, NEQ, 25, 15, 15, 15,

and this? Sorry, I just don't know.

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/

[mutley]

Just curious...where is this info. found at?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real ... t/adt.html

[HURAKAN]

Sorry but 85 knots seems a little low. I would go to around 100 knots.

[srainhoutx]

Getting very close to CAT 3 again.

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

This is how Bertha looks using the "Weather" icon in Google. Excellent.

[ColdFusion]

Being that I coined the term in 1995 with Hurricane Luis...I believe that it will intensify to at least 100 mph within 22 hours.

It's kind of humorous to do a forum search for the word 'fist' and see how many times you remind everyone that you coined the word, and the lack of use of the term by anyone else, except when in a direct conversation with you.

[tolakram]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It looks about as good as it did when it was a 105 knots. NICE EYE!

[HURAKAN]

CATEGORY 3 [111-132 MPH] Falls exactly in the range.

[cycloneye]

Even from very far you can see the clear eye.

[WmE]

Even from very far you can see the clear eye.

That's a great pic!

[drezee]

Being that I coined the term in 1995 with Hurricane Luis...I believe that it will intensify to at least 100 mph within 22 hours.

It's kind of humorous to do a forum search for the word 'fist' and see how many times you remind everyone that you coined the word, and the lack of use of the term by anyone else, except when in a direct conversation with you.

So how many times did I remind everyone? twice in 5 years... And your point is...

[Cyclone1]

Bertha doesn't fail to impress again. Look at that tail stretching down the the Antilles.

[HURAKAN]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 JUL 2008 Time : 181500 UTC
Lat : 24:39:19 N Lon : 57:46:57 W

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.4 / 980.5mb/ 74.6kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
4.4 5.4 5.7

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : -0.1mb

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 16 km

Center Temp : +6.7C Cloud Region Temp : -58.0C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 2.2T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

***************************************************

2008JUL09 171500 3.8 989.7/ -0.1 / 61.0 3.8 4.1 5.7 0.5T/hour OFF OFF -1.46 -58.87 EYE 16 IR 24.46 57.66 COMBO
2008JUL09 174500 4.1 985.3/ -0.1 / 67.4 4.1 5.4 5.8 2.2T/6hr OFF OFF 8.54 -58.60 EYE 16 IR 24.51 57.72 COMBO
2008JUL09 181500 4.4 980.5/ -0.1 / 74.6 4.4 5.4 5.7 2.2T/6hr OFF OFF 6.74 -58.00 EYE 16 IR 24.66 57.78 COMBO

Going up fast!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Can cat5's form over the centeral Atlantic? The answer to that is a big yes...Isabel,Dog,Easy all did so. So don't be suprized if Bertha keeps on strengthing!!!

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif

[TCmet]

In fact, I think it looks better now. More symmetrical.

Fact remains, due to the relatively small size (but growing), it will probably still be subject to the same rapid weakening that we saw yesterday if/when it reencounters some higher levels of shear.

It looks about as good as it did when it was a 105 knots. NICE EYE!

[cheezyWXguy]

Being that I coined the term in 1995 with Hurricane Luis...I believe that it will intensify to at least 100 mph within 22 hours.

It's kind of humorous to do a forum search for the word 'fist' and see how many times you remind everyone that you coined the word, and the lack of use of the term by anyone else, except when in a direct conversation with you.

So how many times did I remind everyone? twice in 5 years... And your point is...

I think its a good term...also, accurate...i noticed it with dean for sure..and I think Ivan showed the characteristic when it first became a hurricane...not sure tho

[drezee]

I think its a good term...also, accurate...i noticed it with dean for sure..and I think Ivan showed the characteristic when it first became a hurricane...not sure tho

It is typically with developing systems. Bertha is one of the exceptions, but it sort of redeveloped.