TC Bertha

[weatherguru18]

Hey srainhoutx!

[WmE]

Can somebody help me out with terminology? I can't think of what a hurricane is called when there isn't very many clouds being vented off. Very clean cut so to speak. The only hurricane I can think of is Isabel...it was Isabel right? It's going to drive me crazy!

Look at my avatar. The second most impressive hurricane of 2006. (after Ioke) Daniel was an annular cane as well. An other example is Epsilon (not so sure). They are more likely to form over the EPac due to the conditions there.

[weatherguru18]

An Annular 'Cane. This is what I was thinkin' of....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Hurricane_Isabel.JPG

[gotoman38]

I think NHC will probably upgrade to category-3, its close enough now to warrant it being upgraded IMO. Also still looks pretty good though I'd imagine it must be getting close to her peak right now given the heat content in the region.

gotoman38, yep for all these long trackers you tend to find these threads get close to if not above 100 pages long, esp when there is a threat to the USA.

Yes, I know - been tracking with the occasional post when I think I can contribute for several years - just this thread has particularly impressed me!

Question: The title on this latest IR image is stating 974mb - isn't that a leftover from the first RI cycle?

02LBERTHA.85kts-974mb-245N-578W

[WmE]

An Annular 'Cane. This is what I was thinkin' of....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Hurricane_Isabel.JPG

Do you notice the mesovortices in the huge, symmetric eye, that's also a characteristic of an anular cane.

[kurtpage]

I say thank god for storm2k. I don't know what I do with out it!

I am in the same boat!

[weatherguru18]

An Annular 'Cane. This is what I was thinkin' of....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Hurricane_Isabel.JPG

Do you notice the mesovortices in the huge, symmetric eye, that's also a characteristic of an anular cane.

Yup, I noticed. Not sure what causes that though.

[cheezyWXguy]

I think NHC will probably upgrade to category-3, its close enough now to warrant it being upgraded IMO. Also still looks pretty good though I'd imagine it must be getting close to her peak right now given the heat content in the region.

gotoman38, yep for all these long trackers you tend to find these threads get close to if not above 100 pages long, esp when there is a threat to the USA.

Yes, I know - been tracking with the occasional post when I think I can contribute for several years - just this thread has particularly impressed me!

Question: The title on this latest IR image is stating 974mb - isn't that a leftover from the first RI cycle?

02LBERTHA.85kts-974mb-245N-578W

that is easily the best the eye has ever looked, however she definitely needs convection on her west side...if she can get that then we will easily have a 120mph hurricane. Dean's eye didnt even look this good until it was just east of the yucatan!

[weatherguru18]

I say thank god for storm2k. I don't know what I do with out it!

I am in the same boat!

I noticed your join date. Is that because of Rita? You can learn a lot here.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html
The eye looks amazing! The convection, not so much. It appears to be decreasing slowly.

[weatherguru18]

Bertha's structure is ok...I've seen much better obviously. I don't see her getting much stronger than she is now. IMO, at 11pm advisory look for a 100kt hurricane. I noticed earlier somebody mentioned a possible hurricane watch for Bermuda. Any thoughts? Probably be wise, though I'm sure everybody on the island is very well capable of handling a Cat. 3.

[KWT]

Yep the eye is very impressive and very clear right now though as has been said the convection is a little lacking on that western side not sure quite why that would be the case?

[weatherguru18]

Yep the eye is very impressive and very clear right now though as has been said the convection is a little lacking on that western side not sure quite why that would be the case?

dry air and or shear would be my guess. Again, look at the cloud structure. There is definitely a northward pull.

[cheezyWXguy]

Yep the eye is very impressive and very clear right now though as has been said the convection is a little lacking on that western side not sure quite why that would be the case?

lastest ramsdis image shows convection rewrapping around the storm from the northwest...its a narrow band, but its an improvement.

[srainhoutx]

Bertha's structure is ok...I've seen much better obviously. I don't see her getting much stronger than she is now. IMO, at 11pm advisory look for a 100kt hurricane. I noticed earlier somebody mentioned a possible hurricane watch for Bermuda. Any thoughts? Probably be wise, though I'm sure everybody on the island is very well capable of handling a Cat. 3.

Probably a bit too early for a watch. Bermuda is well aware of Bertha's presence. Another 24 hours, maybe. Hey guru18

[HURAKAN]

[cheezyWXguy]

didnt work

[RattleMan]

didnt work

Forgot the "F" in "GIF".

[tolakram]

Appears to be running into increasing shear.

[kurtpage]

I say thank god for storm2k. I don't know what I do with out it!

I am in the same boat!

I noticed your join date. Is that because of Rita? You can learn a lot here.

Well, I had been a "lurker" since about 2004, but yes, Rita is what actually made me sign-up to post