Models split at GOM at 1200 UTC look at grafic

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 7:59 am

http://www.wright-weather.com/data/wxp/ ... udette.gif

Continue the split of the models all over the place in the GOM from Mexico to the texas coast.

Guest · #2 Postby **Guest** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 8:01 am

One point I have noticed in prior years and now - once the hurricane/storm gets in the GOM - the models will probably start being more diverse or coming together in consensus where this storm is hitting. I think it will be a new game, set and match once Claudette hits the GOM.

Just my 2 cents.
Patricia

OtherHD · #3 Postby **OtherHD** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 8:03 am

GOOOOO LBAR!!! :lol:

Yeah, it's a long shot, I think it'll go south of here.

GulfBreezer · #4 Postby **GulfBreezer** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 8:03 am

There seems to be a big area of discrepency there........where is that "hook" to the south coming from?

Guest · #5 Postby **Guest** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 8:07 am

As you know these things can speed up - slow down - travel over warm-jet eddies - alot of variables to add to the equation once she's in the GOM.

I'm not ruling anyone out in the GOM. Let her run her natural course.

#6 Postby **wx247** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 8:19 am

I still don't understand the reasoning behind the GFDL's erratic little movements. The 48-66 hour time frame is strange and I don't know why it would do that.

#7 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 8:26 am

The hook to the S is coming from a high moving into the TX area from the W in a few days. It appears to me that that track is an older one since the others lose the more westerly component near the end which was due to thinking that Claudette would be weaker than she is apparently going to be in the GOM and therefore moving slower and being influenced by the incoming high. Unfortunately with Ms. Claudette cranking like she is now apparenly is it may not be as much of a player as thought. With her new found strength and current speed she could beat the high and still make a TX landfall. This, unfortunately, is not -removed- on my part. Personally, I think now the question is which part of TX gets her? As always time will tell. Gotta do a lot more looking for a more definite pattern since I have been without my tools since last night at 11pm. Talk about withdrawal!!(lost cable for last 9 hours!)

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 9:06 am

Oh be honest David..You want her and so does OtherHD LOL... :lol:

Guest · #9 Postby **Guest** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 9:06 am

ME TOO!!!!!! LOL!

Rainband · #10 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 9:09 am

ticka1 wrote:ME TOO!!!!!! LOL!

Be careful what you wish for..I hope it goes into THE GOM stalls and heads here!!!!!!! :roll:

Not really too much warm water to cross!!! :o Enjoy you cane Texans!!! :wink:

Guest · #11 Postby **Guest** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 9:10 am

With all my hot air - it will go elsewhere Rainband - they have for 20 years now.

:-)

Rainband · #12 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 9:12 am

ticka1 wrote:With all my hot air - it will go elsewhere Rainband - they have for 20 years now.

Maybe thats my problem lol :wink:

southerngale · #13 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:16 pm

Sorry about your Roadrunner David...that stinks at a time like this! :roll:

Models split at GOM at 1200 UTC look at grafic

Models split at GOM at 1200 UTC look at grafic

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