TC Bertha

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cycloneye
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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Western Atlantic

#3761 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 11, 2008 4:45 pm

Rita did not last long enough to get over 100.

I just found that there were other big pagers,Chris,Ernesto and Ingrid so Bertha is in 6th place.

1-Dean=583
2-Ivan=352
3-Wilma=282
4-Chris=265
5-Noel=196
6-Bertha=?????
7-Frances=187
8-Ernesto=177
9-Ingrid=132
10-Charley=124
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#3762 Postby KWT » Fri Jul 11, 2008 4:47 pm

No the real reason is because 2006 the board didn't really have as much as a central base for a hurricane as we do now, there was hundreds of smaller threads dedicated to a system. Therefore if Katrina was under the dame system as now it would have probably been far far higher, something to look into in the down season.
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#3763 Postby WmE » Fri Jul 11, 2008 4:48 pm

How many pages did Ioke of 2006 have? I bet it'S the record for a Pacific hurricane/typhoon.

Back to topic. It doesn't really look annular to me. The CDO is not really symmetric for example and there are still some bands attached. Outflow is still good.
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#3764 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Jul 11, 2008 4:51 pm

Quality over quantity....

Much like a two week fish storm vs. a five day landfalling major.

Which one has more importance to the overall community?
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Re: Re:

#3765 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 11, 2008 4:55 pm

cycloneye wrote:
HURAKAN wrote::grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: Bye Noel :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr:


After Noel,it will be a loooooong journey to 265 of Chris. :)


Do you see Bertha in any hurry to go?!?!?! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

Image
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#3766 Postby KWT » Fri Jul 11, 2008 4:58 pm

I'd be pretty confident that this will get pretty close to Chris/Wilma (how strange, a moderate TS with that many post...its like the invest last year that notched up 100+ pages!)

Anyway you can see the way the inner eyewall is still henging about, I've got a sneaky feeling it may just try to build back westwards and reconnect with the eyewall thats already in place further, very strange little evolution with this hurricane I will have to admit!
Reminds me of one of those large WPAC typhoons you sometimes see with the massive eye.
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Re:

#3767 Postby WmE » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:01 pm

KWT wrote:I'd be pretty confident that this will get pretty close to Chris/Wilma (how strange, a moderate TS with that many post...its like the invest last year that notched up 100+ pages!)

Anyway you can see the way the inner eyewall is still henging about, I've got a sneaky feeling it may just try to build back westwards and reconnect with the eyewall thats already in place further, very strange little evolution with this hurricane I will have to admit!
Reminds me of one of those large WPAC typhoons you sometimes see with the massive eye.


Chris was at one point forecasted to become a major hurricane in th Gulf of Mexico.
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Re: Re:

#3768 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:01 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
HURAKAN wrote::grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: Bye Noel :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr:


After Noel,it will be a loooooong journey to 265 of Chris. :)


Do you see Bertha in any hurry to go?!?!?! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

Image

wait...chris, as in TS chris of 65mph in 2006 had 265 pages!?!
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Re: Re:

#3769 Postby RL3AO » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:04 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:wait...chris, as in TS chris of 65mph in 2006 had 265 pages!?!


Lets examine why.

* It was 2006 and everyone was expecting 35 storms
* It was taking a track similar to Andrew and Katrina
* It lasted a week
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Re: Re:

#3770 Postby weatherguru18 » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:08 pm

RL3AO wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:wait...chris, as in TS chris of 65mph in 2006 had 265 pages!?!


Lets examine why.

* It was 2006 and everyone was expecting 35 storms
* It was taking a track similar to Andrew and Katrina
* It lasted a week


35 storms? LMAO. If that ain't the truth.
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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Western Atlantic

#3771 Postby cpdaman » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:12 pm

i predict 238 pages will be about it.

man this storm is sending swells from maine to florida, nice coverage

can't wait until we get some model consistency hopefully by sunday morning
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Re: Re:

#3772 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:24 pm

RL3AO wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:wait...chris, as in TS chris of 65mph in 2006 had 265 pages!?!


Lets examine why.

* It was 2006 and everyone was expecting 35 storms
* It was taking a track similar to Andrew and Katrina
* It lasted a week


This thread will struggle to get 300 pages, until this storm poses a threat to the US, which I don't expect it ever will.
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#3773 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:28 pm

That inner eyewall just does not want to give up, does it? Keeping the storm weaker and keeping it from organizing, which is both good and bad.
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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Western Atlantic

#3774 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:29 pm

Last visible of the day:

Image
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#3775 Postby Cyclone1 » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:37 pm

God, look at that eye! Is there some kinda record for eye width? I hate to say the "A" word, but isn't it looking more and more annular-ish?

EDIT: On second thought, might still be a while from that.
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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Western Atlantic

#3776 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:39 pm

Image

Image

Looking better now than a few hours ago. Smaller eye, convection all around it and deeper.
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#3777 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:42 pm

Image

Not bad at all. Tomorrow could be interesting if the eye contracts.
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Scorpion

#3778 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:51 pm

Yea, thats a much better shot. If only that junk inside the outer eye would disappear.
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#3779 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 11, 2008 5:58 pm

Another record about to fall:

According to Jeff Masters, Emily mantained hurricane intensity in the month of July more than any other storm to form in this month. The NHC archives indicates Emily attained hurricane intensity on July 14 at 0000 UTC and lasted as a hurricane until landfall on July 20 at 1200 UTC. This means that Emily was a hurricane roughly for 6 days and a half. Probably a little more.

Bertha became a hurricane on July 7 at 0900 UTC, which means that it may pass Emily's record by 14 at 0300 UTC (11 PM EDT July 13). The NHC forecasts keeps Bertha as a hurricane until July 14 at 1800 UTC. We will see what happens.
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MiamiensisWx

Re: Hurricane Bertha in Western Atlantic

#3780 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Jul 11, 2008 6:12 pm

It appears that the center (wind center?) is still moving NW. Long term movement has remained NW as well.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

TS Warning may be eventually warranted for Bermuda, especially when the large TS wind radii is taken into considerations.
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