APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED, PARTIALLY-
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTIVE
BANDING OVER THE SOUTH QUADRANT. A 102356Z SSMIS IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS
FORMATIVE BANDING AND LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER.
HOWEVER, THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH
GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LIMITING
FACTOR IS CURRENTLY RELATIVELY DRY AIR NORTH OF THE CENTER EVIDENT
ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT, WHICH IS INHIBITING
SUSTAINED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE DISTURBANCE.
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES AN IMPROVING ENVIROMENT WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BUILDING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTER AND
SLOW DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
![Image](http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_pages/thumbs/WPAC/tc08/93W.INVEST/pacific/southern_hemisphere/geo/vis/2km/20080711.0513.gms6.x.vis2km.93WINVEST.15kts-1010mb-207N-1257E.100pc.jpg)