Where is Claudette heading?

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Do you think Claudette will definately head where the latest model guidance indicates?

Yes
3
14%
No
18
86%
 
Total votes: 21

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ColdFront77

Where is Claudette heading?

#1 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:30 pm

Let's see how this goes...
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:34 pm

If this wobble is something more than no..If it's just a wobble I say probably. I just go by what the "experts say" :roll: Though from what I read it may be more so I voted no!! :wink: Time will tell :o
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southerngale
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#3 Postby southerngale » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:37 pm

5 days out? Nope, I don't think it will go exactly where they say.
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Guest

#4 Postby Guest » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:39 pm

She's not in the GOM yet - anything can happen once she cross mexico - so my vote of no was recorded.
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#5 Postby bfez1 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:41 pm

I think it will basically go where they say it's going now. Between upper Mexico and lower Texas and if it is at all off then I say central Texas coast.
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#6 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:43 pm

I think people are being a little too over confident with the models, I mean it's still 5 days out! I won't trust any of them until she's in the gulf and then we'll see what will really happen.
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ColdFront77

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:45 pm

I agree. It at least seems that the confidence level with Claudette as been for a landfall across Texas. Very well indeed could happen, but there are a lot of variables involved with this system, not to mention all tropical systems.
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#8 Postby GulfBreezer » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:01 pm

Claudette has not finished throwing her curve balls yet! IMO......I don't think she is going where the models are currently pointing, I think the models will gradually shift north as the days progress.......I am stocking up on coffee, because I think I am gonna need it!
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#9 Postby southerngale » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:02 pm

NW 14mph now
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wrkh99

#10 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:03 pm

Who says that she will hit mexico ?


What happens if she doesn't ?
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#11 Postby southerngale » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:04 pm

she went from 17.8N 83.6W to 18.3N 83.6W - DUE NORTH!!!!!!!!!
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ColdFront77

#12 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:04 pm

The estimated position went 0.5ºN, 0.0ºW from 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM Eastern Time.
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Guest

#13 Postby Guest » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:08 pm

Kelly - I am plotting her and I saw that and noticed it was due NORTH.

Yeah James - what if it doesn't - what happens next? More questions with no answers.
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Guest

#14 Postby Guest » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:09 pm

Tom - How far is she now from making landfall on the mexico coast?

P
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wrkh99

#15 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:10 pm

just a guess but if she doesn't hit mexico I would put landfall more in the TX/LA area.
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Rainband

#16 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:11 pm

All I know is I am more interested now than I was yesterday. :roll:
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#17 Postby GulfBreezer » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:13 pm

OK..........now........what if she misses the Yucatan altogether :?: :?:
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Rainband

#18 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:20 pm

GulfBreezer wrote:OK..........now........what if she misses the Yucatan altogether :?: :?:
Then interested will go to worried LOL :roll: :o :o :lol: :lol: :lol:
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ColdFront77

#19 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:21 pm

This morning, I was thinking that the center may miss the Yucatan peninsula.

As of 2:00 PM Eastern/1:00 PM Central, the center of Tropical Storm Claudette was approximately 265 miles SE of Cancun, Mexico.
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#20 Postby mf_dolphin » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:43 pm

We have to remember that the error in the models is hundreds of miles potentially. We just have to keep on the track and look to the models for suggestions of where Claudette will be in 72. I like watching the difference in the various model runs to determine track changes...
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