ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
The LLC has weakened and become elongated, since yesterday. The new convection is due to the upper-level convergence, being cause by the increasing amount of shear and dry air it getting into as it moves further west. There is still not enough inflow getting into the system, for any low-level convergence. I think the probablity for development is low.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
This looks like a system that will crash and dissipate on the islands ahead.
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
The system has a nice southern inflow band now feeding into it. That is a sign to me that it is on the verge of getting its act together...
I truly think 94L is more organized than at first glance. I would not be fooled by its apparent lack of organization that we have seen over the past 12 hours.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
I truly think 94L is more organized than at first glance. I would not be fooled by its apparent lack of organization that we have seen over the past 12 hours.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
Last edited by gatorcane on Tue Jul 15, 2008 10:33 am, edited 5 times in total.
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http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, there are two areas of showers and thunderstorms to monitor. One is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. There is a definite circulation with this system and more thunderstorms are developing with this system. There is still a chance this could develop into a tropical depression in the next day or two. Behind this system (about 700 miles to the east-southeast) is another tropical wave that has quite a bit of thunderstorm activity that will also be monitored for any further development.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, there are two areas of showers and thunderstorms to monitor. One is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. There is a definite circulation with this system and more thunderstorms are developing with this system. There is still a chance this could develop into a tropical depression in the next day or two. Behind this system (about 700 miles to the east-southeast) is another tropical wave that has quite a bit of thunderstorm activity that will also be monitored for any further development.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
As noted earlier,NHC is still interested in this system,first by tasking a plane for tommorow afternoon and now the graphic of danger zones.


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- Gustywind
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
gatorcane wrote:The system has a nice southern inflow band now feeding into it. That is a sign to me that it is on the verge of getting its act together...
I truly think 94L is more organized than at first glance.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
Agree too Gatorcane, and that's why i'm a little suspicious about the outcome of this system, still alive and getting very slightly organized hours after hours, but for sure for us in the East carib we should not let our guard down...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
It is has a SW inflow, even if it might be elongated, is far from being back to an open wave any time soon, so it still has to be monitored.
zoomed in loop
zoomed in loop
Last edited by NDG on Tue Jul 15, 2008 10:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
NDG wrote:It is has a SW inflow, even if it might be elongated, is far from being back to an open wave any time soon, so it still has to be monitored.
[url]http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/1kmsrvis_loop.asp?storm_identifier=AL942008&starting_image=2008AL94_1KMSRVIS_200807130845.GIF
[/url]
about the inflow that is what I said above


Good call by the way. 94L is not even close to being dead yet.
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000
AWCA82 TJSJ 151526
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1126 AM AST TUE JUL 15 2008
A STRONGER TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 46 WEST THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND...BRINGING INCREASING SEAS...STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
AWCA82 TJSJ 151526
RWSVI
WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1126 AM AST TUE JUL 15 2008
A STRONGER TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 46 WEST THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND...BRINGING INCREASING SEAS...STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
It needs more inflow, from the north, to create good convergence. If it doesn't get that, the LLC can't tighten up.
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- Gustywind
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
gatorcane wrote:NDG wrote:It is has a SW inflow, even if it might be elongated, is far from being back to an open wave any time soon, so it still has to be monitored.
[url]http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/1kmsrvis_loop.asp?storm_identifier=AL942008&starting_image=2008AL94_1KMSRVIS_200807130845.GIF
[/url]
about the inflow that is what I said above![]()
![]()
Good call by the way. 94L is not even close to being dead yet.
Absolutely Gatorcane things can always turn quickly than predicted it's a reason to continue to see how its evolves near the 50W...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
I looked at the visible loop and couldn't see the spin I saw last night, also because it racing west its not getting its act together.Their is good SW inflow which was pointed out.
Last edited by boca on Tue Jul 15, 2008 10:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L East of the Windward Islands
boca wrote:I looked at the visible loop and couldn't see the spin I saw last night, also because it racing west its not getting its act together.
Boca its definitely there but harder to see because some deep convection has developed over it. I estimate it is at 50N 12W moving due west.
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NDG wrote:By the way is moving now it might passing through the Islands as soon Friday, not the weekend.
It's current speed is also working against it now. It's moving into more hostile conditions faster.
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