TC Bertha

[HURAKAN]

AL, 02, 2008071700, , BEST, 0, 356N, 601W, 60, 995, TS,

Still 60 knots. Looking at the image, it doesn't look like 60 knots.

[cpdaman]

perhaps they will do some fujiwara action

the deep low is forecast to move north soon w/ bertha or what's left (tons of her energy is getting stripped and sucked into deep low's circulation) getting shunned SE then moving back ENE'rly.

nice fetch pointed toward the beaches from virginia to new jersey

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds25.png

Big surf on the way there for friday.

[Ed Mahmoud]

AL, 02, 2008071700, , BEST, 0, 356N, 601W, 60, 995, TS,

Still 60 knots. Looking at the image, it doesn't look like 60 knots.

Hardly looks like even a tropical storm...

[Brent]

AL, 02, 2008071700, , BEST, 0, 356N, 601W, 60, 995, TS,

Still 60 knots. Looking at the image, it doesn't look like 60 knots.

I can't believe it's still 60 knots. That looks like something not tropical.

[Chacor]

Definitely looks extratropical, or at least in transition.

[dld430]

Is that a new one that just popped off of Africa? looks pretty strong. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/avn-l.jpg

[RL3AO]

Is that a new one that just popped off of Africa? looks pretty strong. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/avn-l.jpg

Its even got its own thread.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=101928

[KWT]

It really foes look like its on the way out this time, convection is still firing on the eastern side but thats about it for Bertha I feel.

[HURAKAN]

Bertha's days are numbered.

[Chacor]

I'll put it this way. That would not be upgraded to a TS if it wasn't already one.

[HURAKAN]

Not dead, not just yet!

[DESTRUCTION5]

She is one Stubborn old bag!!!

[HURAKAN]

AL, 02, 2008071712, , BEST, 0, 343N, 589W, 50, 997, TS,

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 58
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM EDT THU JUL 17 2008

BERTHA COULD BECOME ONE OF THE TOP 10 LONGEST-LIVED STORMS IN
HISTORY IF IT SURVIVES UNTIL THE WEEKEND.

[Chacor]

That's not accurate. Taking 'until the weekend' to mean surviving the whole weekend, July 21 Monday 03z, it will have existed for 17.75 days, which hardly even threatens the Atlantic top ten, let alone top ten in history.

Of course, it depends on how you read the sentence in the discussion. It could also be interpreted as "Bertha has a chance at becoming one of the top ten longest-lived storms in history if it survives until the weekend", meaning it could stay around a while longer after that.

[Squarethecircle]

The Atlantic top ten ends at 18 days, which is actually very close to 17.75. And of course they mean the Atlantic; it's their only specialty.

[Chacor]

:uarrow: The Atlantic top ten ends at 18 days, which is actually very close to 17.75. And of course they mean the Atlantic; it's their only specialty.

You realise they are also the RSMC for the Eastern Pacific, yes?

[Squarethecircle]

So I'm forgetful. You know what I mean.

Seriously, I doubt they're big enough idiots to include the EPAC on their list.

[cpdaman]

she's baaack http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm6.html

well at least she is not forecast by any models to turn SE far enough to get under the ridge

[HURAKAN]