ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[SkyDragon]

Still 94L at NRL...

NRL is still listing Christobal as noname...hasn't updated yet.

Cristobal, no H

[RL3AO]

Its still a wave. Now its a wave with 35kt winds.

AL, 94, 2008071918, , BEST, 0, 157N, 797W, 35, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 90, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

[Ivanhater]

Yep:
AL, 94, 2008071918, , BEST, 0, 157N, 797W, 35, 1008, DB,

Noticed this was picked up by our model map software and Invest 94L and is now displaying a tropical storm icon on the maps. Usually that means a TS with next package (5PM EDT).

18Z 15.7/-79.7/35kts/TS042008

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com

Well now I am just confused..TS04?

[SkyDragon]

Yep:
AL, 94, 2008071918, , BEST, 0, 157N, 797W, 35, 1008, DB,

Noticed this was picked up by our model map software and Invest 94L and is now displaying a tropical storm icon on the maps. Usually that means a TS with next package (5PM EDT).

18Z 15.7/-79.7/35kts/TS042008

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com

Well now I am just confused..TS04?

Tropical Storm 4(Dolly)

[cycloneye]

Hold on! No change at ATCF site yet.

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/

[RL3AO]

There is no sign from the NHC that they are upgrading this.

[wxman57]

Regardless of the wind speed found, a TS requires an LLC. A wave can produce TS winds.

[SkyDragon]

Yep:
Usually that means a tropical storm at the next package.

This is probably one of those unusual times.

[JonathanBelles]

Still trying to collect my marbles, but just reading all of the threads, I dont see any upgrade here from recon data at 5p.

[ColdFusion]

Still trying to collect my marbles, but just reading all of the threads, I dont see any upgrade here from recon data at 5p.

Yes, that is the overwhelming consensus.

[KWT]

Very interesting to see some of the things come up Ts04 but the6y may well just have this at 35kts and stil lan open wave, certainly is pakcing impressive winds!

[SkyDragon]

This is just like when Bertha was thought to be a TD but was still a invest.

[deltadog03]

Still don't see any LLC...There appears to be a MLC, but nothing at the SFC...BTW, where do I fall in the forecaster stereo types?? LOL Still think the overall structure is still trying to get better.

[RL3AO]

Where did this TS04 come from because it certainly wasn't the NHC.

[tigergirl]

Still 94L at NRL...

NRL is still listing Christobal as noname...hasn't updated yet.

Cristobal, no H

Wow! Thanks for correcting my grammer!!
Sorry about the spelling.

Just wanted to note that the nrl has not update even T.S. Cristobal

[Brent]

Where did this TS04 come from because it certainly wasn't the NHC.

I think Scott's system saw 35 kt and changed the header to TS04??? Otherwise it makes no sense. There is no LLC and therefore, no TS.

[KWT]

I think even if it doesn't really do anything now eventually I find it likely that something is going to work its way down to the center, its just a matter of when really IMO.

[GeneratorPower]

We should see something from NHC, either a STDS if no upgrade or advisories at 5pm if so.

[SkyDragon]

The NHC is starting to update for 5pm now.

[RL3AO]

We should see something from NHC, either a STDS if no upgrade or advisories at 5pm if so.

I think they will just wait until the TWO. Thats what they've done the past few days.