ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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#3601 Postby O Town » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:22 am

She looks alot better than I thought she would this morning.
Looks like she is well on her way to TD or TS.

Image
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#3602 Postby wxsouth » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:23 am

I wouldn't put any stock in those low pressures (~1004mb). These were extrapolated from 15,000ft. The aircraft is just now reaching the low levels where the extrapolated pressures are more valid.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3603 Postby lrak » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:24 am

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#3604 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:24 am

If this is named before Bertha's next advisory, which will probably be it's last, then we will have 3 active storms. In July. :eek:
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Re:

#3605 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:27 am

Cryomaniac wrote:If this is named before Bertha's next advisory, which will probably be it's last, then we will have 3 active storms. In July. :eek:


Maybe 4,as the monster is putting its feet in the water as we speak.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3606 Postby lrak » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:29 am

man I didn't even know that thing was coming off the coast. :double:
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Re: Re:

#3607 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:31 am

cycloneye wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:If this is named before Bertha's next advisory, which will probably be it's last, then we will have 3 active storms. In July. :eek:


Maybe 4,as the monster is putting its feet in the water as we speak.


Surely it wont be named before Bertha's next (last) advisory?
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#3608 Postby sgastorm » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:35 am

Did anyone ask for Northwest or west winds?
URNT15 KWBC 201228
NOAA2 05AAA INVEST HDOB 21 20080720
121830 1754N 08330W 9562 00463 0079 +236 +224 107003 005 016 000 00
121900 1753N 08332W 9530 00496 0080 +236 +219 036002 003 014 001 00
121930 1752N 08334W 9560 00468 0080 +239 +219 027004 005 999 999 03
122000 1750N 08334W 9551 00478 0081 +240 +220 351004 004 010 001 00
122030 1748N 08334W 9552 00477 0083 +239 +226 340004 004 014 000 00
122100 1746N 08334W 9551 00481 0084 +237 +231 315004 006 014 001 00
122130 1744N 08334W 9552 00478 0085 +240 +224 293007 008 009 001 00
122200 1742N 08334W 9568 00466 0086 +235 +228 282007 008 014 002 00
122230 1741N 08334W 9565 00468 0088 +232 +225 264009 009 013 002 00
122300 1739N 08334W 9567 00471 0090 +231 +226 251009 010 015 002 00
122330 1737N 08334W 9568 00469 0090 +233 +221 251010 010 014 001 00
122400 1735N 08334W 9568 00473 0092 +231 +220 248009 010 012 000 00
122430 1734N 08334W 9567 00473 0093 +231 +219 247008 009 011 000 00
122500 1732N 08334W 9567 00476 0094 +231 +222 249007 008 012 000 00
122530 1730N 08334W 9567 00473 0094 +232 +218 251008 009 011 001 00
122600 1728N 08334W 9565 00477 0095 +234 +219 247009 010 012 000 03
122630 1727N 08334W 9565 00475 0096 +233 +221 253007 008 011 001 03
122700 1725N 08334W 9568 00474 0096 +233 +219 244006 007 011 001 00
122730 1723N 08334W 9567 00476 0097 +233 +218 256004 005 011 000 00
122800 1721N 08334W 9566 00475 0097 +234 +217 273004 005 013 001 03
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Re:

#3609 Postby zaqxsw75050 » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:37 am

sgastorm wrote:Did anyone ask for Northwest or west winds?
URNT15 KWBC 201228
NOAA2 05AAA INVEST HDOB 21 20080720
121830 1754N 08330W 9562 00463 0079 +236 +224 107003 005 016 000 00
121900 1753N 08332W 9530 00496 0080 +236 +219 036002 003 014 001 00
121930 1752N 08334W 9560 00468 0080 +239 +219 027004 005 999 999 03
122000 1750N 08334W 9551 00478 0081 +240 +220 351004 004 010 001 00
122030 1748N 08334W 9552 00477 0083 +239 +226 340004 004 014 000 00
122100 1746N 08334W 9551 00481 0084 +237 +231 315004 006 014 001 00
122130 1744N 08334W 9552 00478 0085 +240 +224 293007 008 009 001 00
122200 1742N 08334W 9568 00466 0086 +235 +228 282007 008 014 002 00
122230 1741N 08334W 9565 00468 0088 +232 +225 264009 009 013 002 00
122300 1739N 08334W 9567 00471 0090 +231 +226 251009 010 015 002 00
122330 1737N 08334W 9568 00469 0090 +233 +221 251010 010 014 001 00
122400 1735N 08334W 9568 00473 0092 +231 +220 248009 010 012 000 00
122430 1734N 08334W 9567 00473 0093 +231 +219 247008 009 011 000 00
122500 1732N 08334W 9567 00476 0094 +231 +222 249007 008 012 000 00
122530 1730N 08334W 9567 00473 0094 +232 +218 251008 009 011 001 00
122600 1728N 08334W 9565 00477 0095 +234 +219 247009 010 012 000 03
122630 1727N 08334W 9565 00475 0096 +233 +221 253007 008 011 001 03
122700 1725N 08334W 9568 00474 0096 +233 +219 244006 007 011 001 00
122730 1723N 08334W 9567 00476 0097 +233 +218 256004 005 011 000 00
122800 1721N 08334W 9566 00475 0097 +234 +217 273004 005 013 001 03


interesting.... looks like they found plenty of W wind today.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3610 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:38 am

I was gonna say..It appears*** we have a closed LLC. Winds are light out of the west around 10kts, but it appears to be closed.
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#3611 Postby Chacor » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:38 am

Very light west winds there.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3612 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:39 am

You can't get much more west then that. Say hello to you know who.
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Re: Re:

#3613 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:41 am

Cryomaniac wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:If this is named before Bertha's next advisory, which will probably be it's last, then we will have 3 active storms. In July. :eek:


Maybe 4,as the monster is putting its feet in the water as we speak.


Surely it wont be named before Bertha's next (last) advisory?


Of course not.The low center is still well inside.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3614 Postby lrak » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:43 am

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3615 Postby perk » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:43 am

deltadog03 wrote:I was gonna say..It appears*** we have a closed LLC. Winds are light out of the west around 10kts, but it appears to be closed.

Delta where can i get info on how read those recon obs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3616 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:45 am

This goe's a long ways in confirming my thinking of the LLC near 17.5/82 or so west. These west winds are at 17.2/83.5.

It pretty much kills the notion of a LLC down near 16 north, unless my theory of two LLC's is correct.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3617 Postby zaqxsw75050 » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:45 am

pojo wrote:Here is the numbers and what they mean

061230 1658N 08215W 7000 03000 9000 +108 +108 352159 161 145 100 00
Taking the last line:

1) 06:12:30 GMT
2) 16.58N
3) 82.15W
4) Static pressure in airplane of 700.0hPa
5) Geopotential height of 3000m
6) 30 second surface pressure mean extrapolation of 900.0hPa
7) 30 second mean air temperature of +10.8C
8) 30 second mean dew point of +10.8C
9) 30 second mean wind direction of 352 degrees
10) 30 second mean wind of 159kts
11) Ten second gust of 161kts
12) Peak ten second SFMR surface wind of 145kts
13) SFMR precipitation rate of 100mmh[sup]-1[/sup]
14) Suspect data codes are as follows:

First column indicates status of positional variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 Lat/lon questionable
2 Geopotential altitude or static pressure questionable
3 Both lat/lon and GA/PS questionable

Second column indicates status of meteorological variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 T or TD questionable
2 Flight-level winds questionable
3 SFMR parameter(s) questionable
4 T/TD and FL winds questionable
5 T/TD and SFMR questionable
6 FL winds and SFMR questionable
9 T/TD, FL winds, and SFMR questionable


viewtopic.php?f=59&t=101890&start=0
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3618 Postby Portastorm » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:45 am

Irak, she's cute right now. Three days from now I'm concerned she's going to look a lot bigger (and meaner). :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3619 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:45 am

When I went to bed last night at 9pm everyone was talking about it moving inland into Nicaragua or Honduras. I guess that talk has ended? ;-)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3620 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:46 am

lrak wrote:Image


:lol: Looking more like it with every set of recon obs.
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