H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Is this mission still on? If so it will be leaving with in the next 4 hours

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 20/0600Z, 1200Z
B. AFXXX 06AAA CYCLONE
C. 20/0115Z
D. 17.2N 81.6W
E. 20/0500Z TO 20/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[cycloneye]

They have another one that departs at 4:00 AM EDT:

A. 20/1200Z
B. NOAA2 06AAA CYCLONE
C. 20/0800Z
D. 19.8N 84.0W
E. 20/1100Z TO 20/1600Z
F. SFC TO 14,000 FT

[americanrebel]

Sounds like the NHC is really getting worried about this thing if they are sending another plane out in 6 1/2 hours when the next one hasn't even left scheduled to leave in an half hour. So this is when we will most likely go from Invest to TD to TS overnight. If they find out that the storm is going in between the Yucatan and Cuba, this could become a very dangerous system.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Sounds like the NHC is really getting worried about this thing if they are sending another plane out in 6 1/2 hours when the next one hasn't even left scheduled to leave in an half hour. So this is when we will most likely go from Invest to TD to TS overnight. If they find out that the storm is going in between the Yucatan and Cuba, this could become a very dangerous system.

That schedule was from this morning. Derek thinks the late evening/early morning one will be canx, as they rarely fly a nightime mission on an invest.


The one that leaves just before sunrise, that might still be on if 94L still looks decent in the overnight.



Just an educated, but unofficial guess.

[cycloneye]

Question for the pro mets.Will NHC send a plane early sunday morning as the TCPOD says with departing time at 4:00 AM EDT?

[Chacor]

Wasn't recon due to leave about 25 minutes ago? I'm not seeing a HDOB.

[sgastorm]

Recon is on its way. I think someone else is posting the obs there. Not sure about maps.

[americanrebel]

so are you going to do the maps like Hurakan?

[littlevince]

Just for curiosity, they can't fly over Cuba or they don't want?

[senorpepr]

Just for curiosity, they can't fly over Cuba or they don't want?

It requires special clearance to fly over Cuba.

[HURAKAN]

Right!

Best description: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml

[bvigal]

(OK, didn't need that.)
94L looks better this morning, and looks north of 17.5N. I almost hope the plane finds a CC and put an end to the suspense!

[Ed Mahmoud]

(OK, didn't need that.)
94L looks better this morning, and looks north of 17.5N. I almost hope the plane finds a CC and put an end to the suspense!

I see winds with a Westerly component on the recon, this *probably* becomes Dolly today.

[Numlock]

I might be reading the recon numbers wrong since I just woke up, but it looks like they've found west and southwest surface winds already. It's not a tight LLCC but it's an LLCC nonetheless. They should probably go ahead and pull the trigger at 11.

[BreinLa]

Where did 94L go from the map?

[cycloneye]

Where did 94L go from the map?

Its automatic.Soon it will change to Tropical Storm Dolly with the storm symbol.

[mf_dolphin]

The maps update automaticaly. Right now I would say that they haven't issued any new information on Invest 94L due to a coming upgrade. We'll just have to wait and see

[BreinLa]

dang we're getting fancy I didn't know they updated automatically thanks

[americanrebel]

ok I know the current recon is still ongoing but didn't the next recon flight already leave, if not when is it leaving?

[CrazyC83]

It's quite possible the information may be a bit delayed at the NHC and could come out as a special advisory at about 11:30 instead of the normal time.