ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[Aric Dunn]

nice pic Aric

also us poor folk's radar is also seeing that dry spot on the east side of the center filling in with developing bands ..... crikey!

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... o&loop=yes

latest trend for the last half hours is interesting as the that dry slot is filling in and the core or small eye is much more defined ... with a small ring of convection beginning to take shape

That "dry slot" may actually be filled with heavy precipitation that is too far from the radar to be detected. In fact, I think those bands you see "developing" now were always present --just out of range.

its possible to a point.. but it has not moved that much on my loop so that does not hold. its barely moving over the past hour or so .. but the convection is filling ..

[wxmann_91]

nice pic Aric

also us poor folk's radar is also seeing that dry spot on the east side of the center filling in with developing bands ..... crikey!

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... o&loop=yes

latest trend for the last half hours is interesting as the that dry slot is filling in and the core or small eye is much more defined ... with a small ring of convection beginning to take shape

That "dry slot" may actually be filled with heavy precipitation that is too far from the radar to be detected. In fact, I think those bands you see "developing" now were always present --just out of range.

Actually, microwave data from a couple of hours ago does confirm that there is some dry air entraining into the inner core.

[brunota2003]

Remember too, it might not of been out of range. There is such a LARGE precip shield on the western half of this Hurricane, that the return echoes from the eastern half were being eaten up by the rain on the way back to the Doppler. It is not unusual to see this on LR radar images.

[carversteve]

Is it just me,or is dolly moving nnw..it just looks like at the present motion it would go north of brownsville..mabe by a bit..Not an official observation..jimo..any comments apprecated!!

[SouthFloridawx]

From it's radar presentation it appears the the Eastern side is filling in pretty good. With the "bursting" cloud tops as we get the last couple of visible shots this evening. Looks like she's intensifying.

[Chacor]

Looks like it's intensifying in a hurry.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-rgb.html

Looks can be deceiving.

[Tireman4]

What in the world did I just see on Abrams and Bettis? Dr. Lyons was talking about the very worst case scenario of a Cat 4/5 hitting Houston and the oil fields and then Stephanie Abrams asked him if that could happen tomorrow. He stuttered a moment and then said "It's not out of the realm of the possible." Was he considering that this storm could pull MUCH further north? Or was I just totally missing something on this TWC piece? Anyone else see it?


Why would he say that? He may know something we dont or who knows.

[Chacor]

What in the world did I just see on Abrams and Bettis? Dr. Lyons was talking about the very worst case scenario of a Cat 4/5 hitting Houston and the oil fields and then Stephanie Abrams asked him if that could happen tomorrow. He stuttered a moment and then said "It's not out of the realm of the possible." Was he considering that this storm could pull MUCH further north? Or was I just totally missing something on this TWC piece? Anyone else see it?

Why would he say that? He may know something we dont or who knows.

I would put it down to overhype.

[KWT]

Is that a hint of the eye again SouthFloridawx near 25N, 95.2W?

[cpdaman]

"nice pic Aric

also us poor folk's radar is also seeing that dry spot on the east side of the center filling in with developing bands ..... crikey!"

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... o&loop=yes


latest trend for the last half hours is interesting as the that dry slot is filling in and the core or small eye is much more defined ... with a small ring of convection beginning to take shape

That "dry slot" may actually be filled with heavy precipitation that is too far from the radar to be detected. In fact, I think those bands you see "developing" now were always present --just out of range.

Actually, microwave data from a couple of hours ago does confirm that there is some dry air entraining into the inner core.

well that was not really being debated, we are talking about possible changes within the hour

[SouthFloridawx]

Is that a hint of the eye again SouthFloridawx near 25N, 95.2W?

Ya know... it looks like it.

http://tinyurl.com/6g9roo

[SouthFloridawx]

Looks like it's intensifying in a hurry.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-rgb.html

Looks can be deceiving.

Why do you think that?

[OuterBanker]

Cryo, I have found that I can no longer wear shoes while watching TWC, In fact I can no longer watch any longer than 10 minutes at a time when land falling hurricanes occur. I have too much invested in HD. I guess I come back because I do remember when they actually had weathermen who actually cared about the weather. I guess I'm, a cockeyed optimist I keep hoping one day they will return to the weather.

[Steve]

Saw some cool bands just outside of Hanhville and Boutte on the way home. Dolly is a long way off, but you can see that even all the way up here there is an influence. Luckily I only caught a little of this band on the 310.

[sphelps8681]

What in the world did I just see on Abrams and Bettis? Dr. Lyons was talking about the very worst case scenario of a Cat 4/5 hitting Houston and the oil fields and then Stephanie Abrams asked him if that could happen tomorrow. He stuttered a moment and then said "It's not out of the realm of the possible." Was he considering that this storm could pull MUCH further north? Or was I just totally missing something on this TWC piece? Anyone else see it?


Why would he say that? He may know something we dont or who knows.

I saw the same thing. What could possible cause this to happen?

[jasons2k]

To demonstrate how reading a radar image can take a keen eye, here's a 00Z radar with the NHC's 00Z position marked by crosshairs (24.9N/95.7W). Note that the eye isn't that giant opening, it's the small area on the southwest side of the large opening. That's what you need to track.

I stand corrected. Yes, I see the smaller circulation to the SW has now wrapped and that is the eye. The opening to the SE threw me off - thank you.

Here I have it:

[HouTXmetro]

What in the world did I just see on Abrams and Bettis? Dr. Lyons was talking about the very worst case scenario of a Cat 4/5 hitting Houston and the oil fields and then Stephanie Abrams asked him if that could happen tomorrow. He stuttered a moment and then said "It's not out of the realm of the possible." Was he considering that this storm could pull MUCH further north? Or was I just totally missing something on this TWC piece? Anyone else see it?


Why would he say that? He may know something we dont or who knows.

I saw the same thing. What could possible cause this to happen?

Ummm.... NO

[cpdaman]

so is new "dry spot" on the south side of the center been there all along, or cloud tops to the east blocking it, ummm.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... o&loop=yes

[artist]

[ekal]

so is new "dry spot" on the south side of the center been there all along, or cloud tops to the east blocking it, ummm.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... o&loop=yes

IR and visible show some of the strongest convection with this system to be south of the center. That is why I find it hard to believe that there is an actual dry slot there.