ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[Honeyko]

Westward movement is apparent now, as is solidification of the middle bands on radar.

Brownsville is really going to get raked by the right flank. The south-border plywood shantytowns are toast, IMO. I hope nobody's still in 'em.

[HarlequinBoy]

[paintplaye]

Westward movement is apparent now, as is solidification of the middle bands on radar.

Brownsville is really going to get raked by the right flank. The south-border plywood shantytowns are toast, IMO. I hope nobody's still in 'em.

No it still is a wnw movement. i agree though Brownsville is going to get hit hard.

[hiflyer]

looks like 300 deg at about 7kts on grlevel3 for just under the past two hours....extrap would put it right smack on the border at the coast.....off to work....

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I pin hole eye is becoming clear on IR. If current trends keep up I expect this to be around 90-95 mph by 8am. But who knows I could be tricked by this weird storm once again.

[ca12los]

Update from Brownsville:
Still awaiting tropical storm force winds.....
People are going to wake up to a cat 2 I believe. Dolly is looking terrific. I am starting to get the jitters now.

[HURAKAN]

[Honeyko]

There's three or four mesos rolling around the "bowl" of a forming larger, outer eyewall now. It looks like a mess on radar, but don't be fooled -- the cells associated with the mesos will have the strongest gusts in the storm.

First-light visibles promise to be interesting, provided cirrus isn't obscuring things.

[americanrebel]

Looks like she has moved a WHOLE 5 miles in the last hour on a due NW path.

[RL3AO]

Pressure might be below 975 extrap.

[Starburst]

according to the last vortex it is heading 320

[paintplaye]

according to the last vortex it is heading 320

That would take it right above Brownsville.

[hiflyer]

One note...several have mentioned shantytowns on the south side of the border....from experience these are normally built on land no one wants....such as old river channels, low lying, floodable. The wind may not be as big as a problem as water may be down the road. The other part would be the tides....when is high tide for the coast such as S Padre Island?

[HarlequinBoy]

Update from Brownsville:
Still awaiting tropical storm force winds.....
People are going to wake up to a cat 2 I believe. Dolly is looking terrific. I am starting to get the jitters now.

Best luck to you. Hunker down and stay safe!

[RL3AO]

080930 2536N 09629W 6968 02903 9722 +135 +060 009016 018 022 000 00

972.2 extrap

[SouthFloridawx]

I kind of figured this would bomb out a little before landfall. I hope it doesn't get any worse.

[Starburst]

wow that is what 6mb in just a little of 2 hours.

[paintplaye]

Very impressive storm but if the track is right for the degrees that it is going then Brownsville might be saved.

[HURAKAN]

So far it seems the winds have not responded to the drop in pressure.

[Starburst]

I think Brownsville will still be pretty hard hit, even if landfall is a tad north of Brownsville.