ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[Ed Mahmoud]

Still a Northwest wind at 42040, from a due West wind earlier, but pressure dropping now, a little earlier than previous days diurnal drop. Still, hard to be certain this isn't mainly diurnal. Although todays peak pressure is lower than yesterday's peak.

[KWT]

I think a circulation will get going pretty quickly under that deep convection and if it does I see no reason why it won't develop pretty quickly.

[Derek Ortt]

floater added at http://www.nwhhc.com/satellite.html

[Bailey1777]

Derek,
What are your thoughts on 91L?

[hurricanefloyd5]

I wish this 91L would come to florida and bring more rain but ne texas can sure use the rain as well and more of it too!!!!!!!!!

[RL3AO]

[Air Force Met]

yeah... this one must be watched closely

So much for having a quiet work week....

I concur...needs to be watched carefully. Looks like a fun storm...hopefully it will be close enough to land and sheared enough to keep it from being nasty...

[Derek Ortt]

i dont see any shear currently

However, it should not track that far south of Louisiana, which should help to keep it from undergoing RI

[KatDaddy]

Hey AFM, we dont need another Alicia to celebrate her 25th anniversary

All kidding aside the N GOM is very warm and its under a ridge. Things could wind up fast and the model runs are eerie similiar to Alicia.

[HouTXmetro]

Hey AFM, we dont need another Alicia to celebrate her 25th anniversary

All kidding aside the N GOM is very warm and its under a ridge. Things could wind up fast and the model runs are eerie similiar to Alicia.

LOL, those are just BAMS. And who takes those models seriously? I"m going to wait on the Global models. Secondly, didn't Alicia start much further south?

[KWT]

Well we got to pray that doesn't happen KatDaddy, the only good thing is this probably won't have the time and will also possibly be a little too close to land to strengthen as fast as that system did but then we had Humberto last year....

[Category 5]

Indeed this needs to be watched VERY carefully.

[HouTXmetro]

Indeed this needs to be watched VERY carefully.

Can those images be looped? If so, whats the link?

[RL3AO]

Can those images be looped? If so, whats the link?

No. Until we get a floater, the best places for loops is RAMMB. You will need to wait a few more hours until there are enough images to get a decent loop.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/1kmsrvis_archive.asp?storm_identifier=AL912008

[coreyl]

Is this system moving and if so what direction?

[perk]

The first position issued on Alicia was 27.3n/ 90.5w. at 1009 milibars.

[RL3AO]

Is this system moving and if so what direction?

Its not moving at all right now. The models are moving it towards the Texas coast over the next 3 to 4 days.

[vbhoutex]

Well the radar loop answers my thoughts from the earlier thread before the invest. Whatever does develop is now beginning to detach/cut off (am I using the right wording?)from the trough and is becoming its' own entity. This is now on my "we must be concerned and watch closely" list. I'm not saying anything like Alicia will occur from this but this is so eerily similar to what happened with Alicia 25 yrs ago it isn't even funny. I'm not sure the synoptic set up is similar, but talk about deja-vu!!!(I would be freaking if we were visiting my mom in FL like when Alicia formed-that would be one too many similarities!!)

[KWT]

Well the last 24hrs track has shown this systemto have been moving in a SW direction but still perk Alicia was quite a bit further south when it started.

[Ivanhater]

Damn, Just south of me in Pensacola..just shows how fast things change in the tropics