ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[HouTXmetro]

How much longer are we expecting a SW/WSW motion of the system?

[Ivanhater]

Not surprised this is firing , I believe the Pensacola South buoy was reporting 88 degrees a couple days ago

[lonelymike]

Nice rainmaker for TX at most probably. I'm sure the people on the plains will appreciate any break from the heat.

[rockyman]

According to this (turn on "Fronts"), the new blow-up is near the center of low pressure...also note the trough snaking to the SW of the low

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir4.html

[HouTXmetro]

According to this (turn on "Fronts"), the new blow-up is near the center of low pressure...also note the trough snaking to the SW of the low

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir4.html

That's exactly where I thought it would be, near the MLC.

[jhamps10]

ok I can't post a loop of this with a nice closeup that i get with my gr3 program, but those who do have the program you can see the convection blow up and start to curve around a bit after a few frames get loaded off of KEVX radar. You can't see it as good on the NWS website radar, I looked myself to see.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Semi-OT

radar on this shows tornado warning NE of Birmingham...

care to guess the directions again... thats west of Birmingham not NE. oh well, back on topic but for an invest it has that nice cyclonic shape for development. and correct me if I am wrong here, but isn't the waters near Galveston right around 90*?

Well, excuuuuuuuse me.

[tolakram]

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 121745.GIF

and and latest visual

[weatherrabbit_tx]

pressures should start dropping, maybe....time will tell

[tolakram]

Buoy data ...




http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42040


http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42039

[Chacor]

Just caught up on this since it developed overnight my time. Looks pretty good right now, if a bit lacking in convection on the latest NRL image.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Buoy data ...




http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42040


http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42039

Above and beyond diurnal trend. Surface pressures are defintely falling. Once we have an East wind somewhere near the coast of the Western Florida Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi or Louisiana, we are probably close to sub-tropical depression status...

[dixiebreeze]

Uh oh!

02/2345 UTC 27.7N 88.8W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean

[Chacor]

Uh oh!

02/2345 UTC 27.7N 88.8W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean

That means nothing right now.

[LSU2001]

Uh oh!

02/2345 UTC 27.7N 88.8W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean

please elaborate. T 1.0 =????

[dixiebreeze]

Uh oh!

02/2345 UTC 27.7N 88.8W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean

please elaborate. T 1.0 =????

Dvorak Current Intensity Chart

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



CI MWS MWS MSLP MSLP Saffir-Simpson
Number (Knots) (MPH) (Atlantic) (NW Pacific) Category
1 25 KTS 29 MPH (Approximate)
1.5 25 KTS 29 MPH
2 30 KTS 35 MPH 1009 mb 1000 mb
2.5 35 KTS 40 MPH 1005 mb 997 mb
3 45 KTS 52 MPH 1000 mb 991 mb
3.5 55 KTS 63 MPH 994 mb 984 mb
4 65 KTS 75 MPH 987 mb 976 mb 1 (64-83 KTS)
4.5 77 KTS 89 MPH 979 mb 966 mb 1 (64-83 KTS); 2 (84-96 KTS)
5 90 KTS 104 MPH 970 mb 954 mb 2 (84-96 KTS); 3 (97-113 KTS)
5.5 102 KTS 117 MPH 960 mb 941 mb 3 (97-113 KTS)
6 115 KTS 132 MPH 948 mb 927 mb 4 (114-135 KTS)
6.5 127 KTS 146 MPH 935 mb 914 mb 4 (114-135 KTS)
7 140 KTS 161 MPH 921 mb 898 mb 5 (136+ KTS)
7.5 155 KTS 178 MPH 906 mb 879 mb 5 (136+ KTS)
8 170 KTS 196 MPH 890 mb 858 mb 5 (136+ KTS)


CI -- Current Intensity
MWS -- Mean Wind Speed
MSLP -- Mean Sea Level Atmospheric Pressure in Millibars

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Uh oh!

02/2345 UTC 27.7N 88.8W T1.0/1.0 91L -- Atlantic Ocean

please elaborate. T 1.0 =????

Around 20-25 knots and they see some organizion with the overall convection, with possible hints at a LLC.

[LSU2001]

Thanks guys, It has been awhile since I watched the tropics, esp. a storm in the formative stage.
Tim

[stevetampa33614]

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc%5Frealtime/1kmsrvis_loop.asp?storm_identifier=AL912008&starting_image=2008AL91_1KMSRVIS_200806121745.GIF

and and latest visual

Thats a really cool visible loop. Its almost like they dropped a Nuclear bomb on the storm and you see the mushroom cloud

Damn we need a tin foil hat smiley

[tolakram]

This could get interesting. Usually nighttime upgrades don't happen but if this thing rapidly organizes, because of its location ... The forecast track might give them some breathing room though.

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