ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[RL3AO]

We have a tropical storm.

[stevetampa33614]

whoa lets not get ahead of ourselves. Pressures fall, as they do when a low closes.


no rapid intensification is underway. The definetion of RI is like Dennis, Wilma, and Katrina.

[vaffie]

If confirmed, a 1004 mb reading would indicate that it is roughly 9 hours ahead of schedule already--since that is approximately where the NHC was putting it at 1-2 am tonight by my calculations.

[KWT]

Honeyko, what wil lbe very interesting is what happens during Dmax could wel lsee this system gets its game on very rapidly if that core is organising as fast as it looks like it may be, sure hope this isn't trying to pull a Humberto on us!

[HouTXmetro]

Not good if the center has been adjusted SW.... More time over the Loop Current and improving conditions!

[Duddy]

Any chance we'll have some fun in Matagorda, TX?

Also, is recon is showing RI?

[RL3AO]

URNT15 KNHC 032112
AF308 01BBA INVEST HDOB 24 20080803
210330 2807N 08759W 9800 00206 0034 +233 +210 341015 016 999 999 03
210400 2806N 08757W 9799 00198 0026 +237 +210 289011 015 999 999 03
210430 2807N 08756W 9803 00197 0027 +236 +210 191017 023 999 999 03
210500 2807N 08754W 9739 00266 0042 +223 +210 178027 029 999 999 03
210530 2806N 08753W 9688 00321 0052 +220 +210 173026 029 999 999 03
210600 2805N 08751W 9653 00357 0061 +204 +204 168041 046 999 999 03
210630 2805N 08750W 9670 00345 0065 +190 +190 162049 050 999 999 03
210700 2805N 08749W 9665 00353 0069 +186 +186 158052 054 999 999 03
210730 2804N 08747W 9664 00357 0074 +188 +188 159048 049 999 999 03
210800 2804N 08746W 9740 00294 0078 +194 +194 159045 045 999 999 03
210830 2803N 08745W 9785 00256 0079 +196 +196 162046 047 999 999 03
210900 2802N 08744W 9871 00181 0081 +199 +199 162046 048 999 999 03
210930 2801N 08743W 9836 00214 0084 +196 +196 165045 046 999 999 03
211000 2800N 08742W 9844 00210 0087 +200 +200 163042 044 999 999 03
211030 2759N 08741W 9843 00213 0090 +189 +189 168045 047 999 999 03
211100 2759N 08740W 9844 00213 0091 +195 +195 168046 047 999 999 03
211130 2758N 08740W 9841 00218 0094 +190 +190 169042 043 999 999 03
211200 2757N 08739W 9846 00214 0096 +189 +189 170043 044 999 999 03
211230 2756N 08738W 9843 00219 0097 +185 +185 174044 044 999 999 03
211300 2755N 08737W 9843 00219 0098 +184 +184 179043 043 999 999 03
$$

52kt FL, 54kt SFMR, 1002.6mb extrapolated

[HURAKAN]

What reduction are we using? 90%?

[terrapintransit]

1002.6mb already

[KWT]

Wow...looks like we are seeing pretty explosive deepening at a time where we should be seeing it more hold steady. Ah well this is certainly a TS now

[Diva]

Honeyko, what wil lbe very interesting is what happens during Dmax could wel lsee this system gets its game on very rapidly if that core is organising as fast as it looks like it may be, sure hope this isn't trying to pull a Humberto on us!

Yeah, me too...especially considering the cone is in the same area that Humberto made himself known in!

[Aquawind]

Well we can certainly say they have a better idea of what the core of this system looks like after this recon data. Now will this trend continue is the question. Seems like not much is going to hinder the trend of strengthening.

[HurricaneHunter914]

54 kts at SFMR would put him at 55-60mph at the surface right? Dang, this is strengthening quick.

[stevetampa33614]

Any chance we'll have some fun in Matagorda, TX?

Also, is recon is showing RI?

Recon is showing intensification. RI is overused, Rapid Intensification is something that goes from a TS to a Cat 5 (wilma) or a swirl of could that turns into a Cat1 within 24 hours(humberto).

No such thing is or has happened to this yet.

The Recon probably just missed something prevouisly. Its sat presentation is the same.

[vaffie]

1002.7 mb! 54 knot winds! My my, things are changing fast. Tomorrow's gonna be a long day!

[Johnny]

For people in the cone...better start prepping NOW. This could very easily be worse than what is currently forecasted.

[Aric Dunn]

well that is very interesting i might say//.... 54kt Fl

pressure 1002 hhhmmm....

[CrazyC83]

I'd say we'll have a special advisory at 5 pm CDT with a 50 kt storm and a 1003mb pressure.

[Derek Ortt]

whoa lets not get ahead of ourselves. Pressures fall, as they do when a low closes.


no rapid intensification is underway. The definetion of RI is like Dennis, Wilma, and Katrina.

Your statement is 100% factually incorrect

RI is defined as a pressure fall of 1.75mb/hr

[KWT]

stevetampa33614, this is rapid strengthening in my book, a 5mb drop in pressure in the psace of about 60-90 mins is real impressive IMO, easily as quick as Humberto at the present moment and thats scary to say!