ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[KWT]

Probably RL3AO though it probably would only need a small wrap round of convection near the center of the circulation for it to be organised enough given its small size. Also given the small size that should only help it to strengthen as well.

Everything setting up for one of those classic quick strengthening gulf hurricanes.

[jaxfladude]

Probably RL3AO though it probably would only need a small wrap round of convection near the center of the circulation for it to be organised enough given its small size. Also given the small size that should only help it to strengthen as well.

Everything setting up for one of those classic quick strengthening gulf hurricanes.

I hope not!!!
No nasty surprises Edouard!!!

Edit: Already on the Drudge Report in red large font text !!!
The hype is under way.....

[Honeyko]

It still needs to get a better structure. It needs convection over the center and some banding before it can get near cane strength.

It has convection over the center. A TD/TS doesn't bomb 5mb in an hour-ish unless it does.

[Duddy]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

[HurricaneHunter914]

Nearly 50 mph and the center is completly exposed. Wonder how strong it'll get once it gets under the convection.
Am I the only one who thinks that this will landfall later than Tuesday? It's moving pretty slow right now, is it forecasted to speed up?

[HURAKAN]

[vaffie]

It will get to the center in approximately 15 minutes, which will be about 75 minutes since it reported the 1002.6 mb reading. Roughly, anything below 1000.7 will confirm rapid intensification, anything below 999.7 explosive intensification.

[KWT]

Yep Duddy Derek said it actually hit the required limit by some way for explosive intensification, the exact type that took Humberto form a TD to a hurricane in around 12-15hrs.

[jordanmills]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

In Bay City? You'll be fine. I wouldn't evacuate for anything less than a cat 3 unless I actually lived ON the water, or my home floods regularly. Don't buy the media hype.

[Duddy]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

In Bay City? You'll be fine. I wouldn't evacuate for anything less than a cat 3 unless I actually lived ON the water, or my home floods regularly. Don't buy the media hype.

But I have a 7 month old baby. No power and no water would be bad.

[deltadog03]

2 things that worry me about the strength forecasts. 1.) This thing dosn't look the best on the Sat., but clearly is getting stronger...So...what happens when it really gets its act together???? 2.) When the northerly shear relaxes, I am wondering if we might see the LLC shift a bit to the South and get under the convection..Won't due much for the track, but it could give some more time over water to get stronger.

[Windtalker1]

My Forcast this early in the game:
You will see better structure by 11PM tonight. A fall of 6mb in 1 1/2 hours is impressive especially the way he looks now.
Rapidly falling pressure + Hardly any windsheer + staying over warm waters for a longer period of time (6 MPH) = Cat 2 at land fall in my books.
Just my guess.

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[JonathanBelles]

I have to mention SouthernBell has been saying all night and this morning that this may do an Humberto. I was skeptical at the time, but less so right now. I dont see this going hurricane tonight.

[terrapintransit]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

Here's Wilma........

[KWT]

Actually this looks rather similar to a hurricane in the EPAC, think it was the F storm with the convection on the southern side of the LLC but little on the northern side.

Still its slowly looking better with a slightly better defined shape then a few hours ago.

[njweather]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

Comparing this to the strongest hurricane on record in the Atlantic is a stretch.

Also, I believe Galveston has a thorough evacuation procedure, so if you need to evacuate, I'm sure they'll let you know ahead of time.

[Duddy]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

Here's Wilma........

Nice, but actually I was refering to her when she was in the carib.



Where it goes from white to orange to red in 1cm.

[americanrebel]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

In Bay City? You'll be fine. I wouldn't evacuate for anything less than a cat 3 unless I actually lived ON the water, or my home floods regularly. Don't buy the media hype.

Are you nuts, if you live within 10 miles of the coast, I would definitely evacuate, if you are told to do so.

[RL3AO]

This isn't Wilma. Wilma had perfect condidtions shear wise. Plus the waters of the Western Caribbean in 2005 compared to the waters of the Northern GOM in 2008 are not even close.

[Duddy]

Someone dig up old sat pics of Wilma.

Because this looks EXATCLY like Wilma did during it's RI.

And this is EI (Extreme Intensification!)



Guys, serious question, if it makes landfall around Galveston as a major, am I to stay?

Comparing this to the strongest hurricane on record in the Atlantic is a stretch.

Also, I believe Galveston has a thorough evacuation procedure, so if you need to evacuate, I'm sure they'll let you know ahead of time.

Yeah, but I live in Bay City, TX. About 80 miles southwest of Galveston.