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Frank2 wrote:KWT,
DP's are in the 60s and low 70s across that region (not particularly high), so, as you said the dry air is helping to slow any strengthening, and, it's close proximity to land is also helping, so...
deltadog03 wrote:Frank2 wrote:KWT,
DP's are in the 60s and low 70s across that region (not particularly high), so, as you said the dry air is helping to slow any strengthening, and, it's close proximity to land is also helping, so...
Td's of upper 60's to 70's are PLENTY of moisture to promote growth of thunderstorms....
Shockwave wrote:KWT wrote:Sanibel, the structure certainly is pretty impressive, in some ways it does remind me of Earl 1998 which didn't have very good convective coverage but a very good structure which allowed it to strengthen.
right now the dry air that has eaten into the core is also quite noteable still, like a chunk of the deep convection has been eaten into though there is convection in there firing up which may help to cover it up a little.
I've got to add something. Even with the dry air pushing in, Ed is still intensifying and the latest satelittle image looks VERY impressive I'm just thinking. If that dry air wasn't coming in...could we be easily looking at a Cat. 3 to possibly Cat. 4?
cheezyWXguy wrote:Shockwave wrote:KWT wrote:Sanibel, the structure certainly is pretty impressive, in some ways it does remind me of Earl 1998 which didn't have very good convective coverage but a very good structure which allowed it to strengthen.
right now the dry air that has eaten into the core is also quite noteable still, like a chunk of the deep convection has been eaten into though there is convection in there firing up which may help to cover it up a little.
I've got to add something. Even with the dry air pushing in, Ed is still intensifying and the latest satelittle image looks VERY impressive I'm just thinking. If that dry air wasn't coming in...could we be easily looking at a Cat. 3 to possibly Cat. 4?
actually yes. If the center had been covered its entire life, it may have been nearing hurricane strength at this time, and I probably would have put it at 100mph. Of course this is not the case, and we will be looking at a minimal hurricane at most.
Sanibel, you're posts are usually like something from The Far Side.
deltadog03 wrote:Frank2 wrote:KWT,
DP's are in the 60s and low 70s across that region (not particularly high), so, as you said the dry air is helping to slow any strengthening, and, it's close proximity to land is also helping, so...
Td's of upper 60's to 70's are PLENTY of moisture to promote growth of thunderstorms....
Steve wrote:>>It seems we have posters here who want to see Ed explode, and, others here who are trying to make some sense of the situation as per Ed's slow growth - please give us a chance to share our knowledge with you, since it'll help to stem any rumors...
Come on Frank. Seriously. Of all the people on the site to suggest that anyone has an agenda...
I don't so much think anyone wants it to "explode" which isn't really in the cards anyway. Upper limit is likely no greater than barely a Cat 1. That's not like someone -removed- for a 5 to come out of this. The real deal is that there are numerous posters in the potential path of Edouard that are interested in what it does because if it's more than they bargained for or anticipated, they need to use their own best judgment and advice of their local NWS/NOAA office in what they have to do. You're not going to bring in all the plants for some 20-25mph gusts, but if you're looking at something 40 or higher, its' another story. Same thing if you're talking about the differnce between 2 and 5 inches of rain. There is a big difference and there isn't a lot of time. JMO of course.
Steve
Frank2 wrote:It seems we have posters here who want to see Ed explode, and, others here who are trying to make some sense of the situation as per Ed's slow growth - please give us a chance to share our knowledge with you, since it'll help to stem any rumors...
Ed looks well-organized on satellite, but, as Derek mentioned, nothing yet per recon that is any higher than mentioned in the last NHC advisory...
It's close proximity to land is helping to slow it's development, but, we'll see what happens...
Shockwave wrote:4 o'clock is the next update right? If the satelittle does any justoce to what the update will be, what could we expect? 60-65 sustained winds?
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