Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#81 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:04 pm

Plane at operational altitud.
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#82 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:11 pm

1000.9 mb extrapolated.
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#83 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:15 pm

Yep lower then this morning but flight level winds no higher then they were some hours ago to be honest yet...
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#84 Postby kurtpage » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:21 pm

KWT wrote:Yep lower then this morning but flight level winds no higher then they were some hours ago to be honest yet...



171130 2801N 09106W 8456 01511 0077 +142 +142 315026 030 056 022 00
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#85 Postby dwg71 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:25 pm

Flight level winds are mostly in the 30's ....
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#86 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:27 pm

Yep dwg71 pressure is down a little bit but thus far winds haven't responded at all.
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#87 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:29 pm

KWT wrote:Yep dwg71 pressure is down a little bit but thus far winds haven't responded at all.

Yeah its usually hard when the area lacks convection. Its improving, but it still has a bit to go. Once convection really picks up and surrounds the center, I expect winds to begin increasing and pressure to start decreasing at a decent rate.
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#88 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:29 pm

Latest dropsonde suggests a pressure of 1000mb (1001 splashed into 12 kt winds).
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#89 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:31 pm

Overall, a slow deepening trend is definitely occurring as expected.
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Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#90 Postby kurtpage » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:31 pm

172530 2729N 09142W 8413 01593 0130 +129 +129 316027 032 042 021 00
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Derek Ortt

#91 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:33 pm

those SFMR winds are likely bogus.
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#92 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:36 pm

Agreed the system is deepening at a slow pace according to recon but the winds don't seem to have really responded from the looks of thing at the moment.
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#93 Postby dwg71 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:39 pm

I believe they leave it at 40Kts for now...
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#94 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 12:42 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:those SFMR winds are likely bogus.


Why?
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Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#95 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 2:02 pm

I'd say that those winds were not bogus now. Plenty of Surface Obs to show that those winds could be accurate. I was wondering why you thought they were bogus?

You would know more about it than I would, and I'd like to know what to look for with recon data and how you can tell if it's questionable.
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Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#96 Postby kurtpage » Mon Aug 04, 2008 2:25 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:I'd say that those winds were not bogus now. Plenty of Surface Obs to show that those winds could be accurate. I was wondering why you thought they were bogus?

You would know more about it than I would, and I'd like to know what to look for with recon data and how you can tell if it's questionable.



I asked the same question....It is because of Rain Contamination
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Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#97 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 04, 2008 2:26 pm

kurtpage wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:I'd say that those winds were not bogus now. Plenty of Surface Obs to show that those winds could be accurate. I was wondering why you thought they were bogus?
You would know more about it than I would, and I'd like to know what to look for with recon data and how you can tell if it's questionable.

I asked the same question....It is because of Rain Contamination


Ahhh... Thank you :D
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Re: Tropical Storm Edouard recon discussion

#98 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2008 4:25 pm

RADAR INDICATES CIRCULAR BANDING CONSISTENT WITH FIX ON EAST SIDE, 25 PERCENT COMPLETE.

Very interesting remark from the Vortex Message.
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#99 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 04, 2008 4:26 pm

Image
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#100 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 4:33 pm

Pressure now down to 998mb (999/11 kt), but still only supporting 40 kt.
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