ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[Wx_Warrior]

Scratching my head wondering why many don't think Space City will get wet...

[fasterdisaster]

OK guys, this is getting weird. The storm is honestly heading straight for just west of Lake Morgan around where TS Matthew 2004 made landfall and this is way more than a wobble.

The storm is not headed for Lake Morgan. In fact, Lake Morgan is not even in the NHC 11pm cone. The storm would actually have to turn around and head NE to reach Lake Morgan, and that is not very likely.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

when I said just west I kinda meant like 100 miles haha. Maybe not that far east but seriously this is continously heading NW and will be on land in 12 hours at this rate

[JonathanBelles]

This means that it is shifting east already..and at 60 mph? Is that now? or estimated from when recon passed earlier?

REPORTS FROM COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

[Chacor]

THERE HAVE BEEN SEVERAL INTENSE CONVECTIVE BURSTS NEAR THE
CENTER...AND THE WSR-88D DOPPLER AT LAKE CHARLES IS SHOWING WINDS
OF 60-65 KT AT 10000 FT NORTH OF THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 50 KT.

Discussion.

[mattpetre]

So do you think things are looking better for the south side of Houston now wxman57?

I see quite a bit of confusing info coming from the satellite vs. radar presentation at this point and just don't know what to think anymore. I think the lopsided nature that the storm has taken on in recent hours makes it seem much less ominous at this point, but I'm not letting my guard down till D-max is reached and that outflow to the south remains supressed at least through the night tonight.

[Diva]

Winds at the rig 30 miles SE of Sabine Pass are picking up slightly. Gusts to 39mph and sustained at 30+mph.

Local met said landfall could be near High Island. That's where Humberto made landfall.

[njweather]

The 10PM NHC track shows it hitting NE Houston. Seeing as storms tend to ramp up near the coast, I imagine most of Houston will get some heavy rain to say the least...

[fasterdisaster]

Scratching my head wondering why many don't think Space City will get wet...

Because at this rate it's going to landfall 40 miles east of there.

[Wx_Warrior]

Sabine Pass under voluntary.

[HURAKAN]

Very important to note: 11 PM Discussion

IT'S IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT THERE
IS VERY LITTLE PRACTICAL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A VERY STRONG TROPICAL
STORM AND A LOW-END HURRICANE.

[fasterdisaster]

Very important to note: 11 PM Discussion

IT'S IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT THERE
IS VERY LITTLE PRACTICAL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A VERY STRONG TROPICAL
STORM AND A LOW-END HURRICANE.

Ya but...it's way cooler to say 'Hurricane Edouard'

[Wx_Warrior]

And which way will Ed go from there? Look at the NHC track once TS Edouard hits land.

[Cape Verde]

I must have missed where this suddenly became a Louisiana storm.

[Category 5]

Very important to note: 11 PM Discussion

IT'S IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT THERE
IS VERY LITTLE PRACTICAL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A VERY STRONG TROPICAL
STORM AND A LOW-END HURRICANE.

This point cannot be stated enough. Many people don't pay attention to a 60kt TS but go nuts when they hear a 65kt Hurricane.

[MGC]

The radar loop out of Lake Charles sure does give the allusion that Edouard is moving NW. The band of intense convection in Ed's NW quadrant is likely making it appear that way. Not to impressed with Edouard's radar returns. Lack of convection on S side. Ed will likely remain a one sided storm convection wise. On its current path a Sabine Pass landfall might happen......MGC

[Ed Mahmoud]

Not any kind of forecast, but from the looks of radar and satellite, it certainly looks like it won't make it past the Sabine before landfall.

[stevetampa33614]

I must have missed where this suddenly became a Louisiana storm.

Ill sum it up.

I think there is a debate on wether that is the case.. The thread is trying to figure out wether the LLC/entire system is in fact moving WNW or if its just a convective illusion.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I think Houston will still be getting some rain. The motion of this storm after landfall will not be like Rita or Humberto where the system turned more northward, but instead it should continue moving toward the WNW through or just NE of Houston.

[dhweather]

Very important to note: 11 PM Discussion

IT'S IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT THERE
IS VERY LITTLE PRACTICAL DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A VERY STRONG TROPICAL
STORM AND A LOW-END HURRICANE.

This point cannot be stated enough. Many people don't pay attention to a 60kt TS but go nuts when they hear a 65kt Hurricane.

Just ask those that had to suffer terrible flooding from TS Allison in Houston a few years ago.

[dhweather]

I'm beginning to wonder of the LLC has become decoupled from the mid and upper levels of the storm due to the shear from the ULL over the Yucatan.