ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[Diva]

Guess the center is over the rig that is 30 SE of Sabine Pass because their winds are only at 7 mph right now. Gusts to 67 mph though.

[Nederlander]

Looks like everyone from Crystal Beach eastward into the Golden Triangle will probably get the worst of it.. I know this may be the wrong forum, but what are the risks of tornadoes for a storm like this??

[Nederlander]

Guess the center is over the rig that is 30 SE of Sabine Pass because their winds are only at 7 mph right now. Gusts to 67 mph though.

Yeah James Brown said the center was over that rig 30 mi. S of Sabine Pass during his 3:00 update

[mpic]

Gregg Norman on 13 KHOU is still predicting us to get some effects of wind and rain even though it's hitting east of here. Maybe I shouldn't go to work after all? This newbww is a little nervous.

Newbee. see, I can't type!

[Just Joshing You]

Everyone was talking about a Galveston landfall, but it doesn't look like that's possible given its current track. Galveston is what? 50-75 miles away from the strong outer bands?

[Bailey1777]

Seems to really be heading towards the middle of Galveston Bay now

[Nederlander]

most forecast tracks that i have seen have moved from a galveston landfall to the bolivar peninsula and eastward (high island, sabine pass)...

[Extremeweatherguy]

Current center location and storm direction: http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3114/273 ... 8c.jpg?v=0

Do not focus on the middle of the line. Storm effects will stretch well north and south of where this makes landfall on the coast. The highest winds will be near and just north of the landfall location, but anyone within the inner bands can experience tropical storm force winds and heavy rains.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[paintplaye]

Everyone was talking about a Galveston landfall, but it doesn't look like that's possible given its current track. Galveston is what? 50-75 miles away from the strong outer bands?

The center is not that blob of no rain. It is farther to the west. With the projected coords and the track it should be galveston...

[Bailey1777]

Looks like it's right at Galveston to me right on with the NHC.

[Texas Snowman]

If it does hit close to Crystal Beach, there is a pretty good amount of beach front development in that area.

[Nederlander]

If it does hit close to Crystal Beach, there is a pretty good amount of beach front development in that area.

yea we have a cabin on Crystal Beach, most of the new developments are up on high piers (15-20+ ft.) though..

[carolina_73]

If it wasn't for the dry air and shear in place a couple of days ago this could of been a very nasty Mr. Ed.

[Bailey1777]

Get ready Galveston!!! Have fun Extreme

[Texas Snowman]

Yep, I stayed in one of those houses on stilts while on a duck hunt last fall near High Island.

Most structures will be safe from any flooding, just a question of what type of wind damage there would be.

Now on the marsh side of the Bolivar Pen. and Galveston Island, not nearly as many houses on stilts. If they get an offshore flow through the Bay, could be some minor flooding there I suppose.

[Evac3]

James said High Island and was showing 65 mph.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Latest report from Lake Charles, LA = 35mph sustained winds with gusts to 49mph.

[Chacor]

Up to 55 kt.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.

[mpic]

Yep, I stayed in one of those houses on stilts while on a duck hunt last fall near High Island.

Most structures will be safe from any flooding, just a question of what type of wind damage there would be.

Now on the marsh side of the Bolivar Pen. and Galveston Island, not nearly as many houses on stilts. If they get an offshore flow through the Bay, could be some minor flooding there I suppose.

The west end of the Island tends to get cut off from the rest due to high tides covering the road in and out of that end. Yesterday, the Mayor reminded people of that fact as it could stay flooded for a couple of days, but no mandatory evacs were issued.

[greg_kfdm_tv]

The center of Edouard is currently directly over our weather station in the Gulf about 30 miles southeast of Sabine Pass. Peak gust on the west side of 67 mph. Current pressure 29.43" (996 mb). The temperature and dewpoint climbed 7 degrees in the center to 82 degrees with an 82 dewpoint.

I expect landfall between High Island and Sabine Pass around 7 A.M.